Barclays Center · at Nets
LineNo line yet
Total—
 SA | This season | BKN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 119–104 · win probability SA 87%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 223.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
SA 5, BKN 1 · 2026-27 so far
SABigBKN offense vs SA defense
Offense 29th of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
SABigSA offense vs BKN defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 22nd, on the model’s ratings
SABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: SA 13.1%, BKN 18.2%. Forced: SA 15.7%, BKN 15.9%
SABigShooting
Effective FG%: SA 53.3 and allows 52.1; BKN 50.7 and allows 55.3
BKNSmallHome court
BKN at home. This season: BKN 0-3 at home, SA 2-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
SA has played the 15th-hardest schedule, BKN the 19th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SASmallFree throws
Free throw rate: SA 24.5, BKN 32.9. Allowed: SA 21.7, BKN 33.5
Even
Three-pointers
SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%; BKN hits 35.1% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 39.0% and 48.0% of their shots
Even
Recent form
Last 5: SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0; BKN 3-2 ATS, margin -8.0
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SA 27.2%, BKN 25.4%. Defensive: SA 75.8%, BKN 77.8%
Context
Tempo
About 105 possessions: SA plays 104.3 a game (11th fastest), BKN 105.1 (10th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SA 100%, BKN 100%. Transfers in: SA 0, BKN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -15.5
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model223.2
Model edge—
Projected score
SA 119.4 · BKN 103.8
Win probability
SA 87%
1st half
Spread
SA -8.9
Total
112.0
Projected score
SA 60.4 · BKN 51.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| BKNlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SA 6–4 BKNSA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 5 meetings · SA 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025-26 | SA 126 @ BKN 110 | BKN +10.5 | SA W |
| Oct 26, 2025-26 | BKN 107 @ SA 118 | SA -10.5 | SA W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | BKN 113 @ SA 127 | SA -3.5 | SA W |
| Dec 27, 2024-25 | SA 96 @ BKN 87 | BKN +7.5 | SA W |
| Mar 17, 2023-24 | BKN 115 @ SA 122 | SA -1.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nets
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
BOSL 124-125
+12.5
30
vs
DET
DETL 94-110
−7.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
27
@BOS
BOSL 124-125
+25.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−18.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
−42.5
over 3under 3avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs has the better starters
Position by position: Spurs 4, Nets 1, even 0
SpursBetterNets
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
←SABig
G K. Ellis5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 21
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
←SABig
G N. Traore10.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 1
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
←SABig
F J. Randle20.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 39
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
→BKNSmall
F M. Porter21.2 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 91
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
←SABig
C D. Sharpe8 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 6
SpursBetterNets
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
←SABig
BKN defense22nd of 30 · -1.7
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
←SABig
BKN offense29th of 30 · -5.5
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
←SABig
Backcourt-12.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
←SABig
Frontcourt+7.8 · 3 players
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
←SABig
Bench-17.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSA betterBKN betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
NetsGuards
K. Ellis24 minN. Traore21 minT. Mann24 minD. Powell21 minB. Saraf21 min
Forwards
J. Randle34 minM. Porter32 minC. Johnson22 minN. Clowney22 minD. Wolf21 minJ. Minott11 min
Centers
D. Sharpe23 minM. Wagner19 min
Out
M. BrownDay-To-DayE. DeminOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
SA117.3 #12BKN108.2 #25Points per possession
SA1.12 #10BKN1.03 #29Pace (possessions)
SA104.3 #11BKN105.1 #10Shooting
Effective FG%
SA53.3 #16BKN50.7 #263-point %
SA34.9 #17BKN35.1 #153-point attempt rate
SA39.0 #24BKN48.0 #3Free throw rate
SA24.5 #24BKN32.9 #6Possessions
Turnover rate
SA13.1 #2BKN18.2 #27Offensive rebound rate
SA27.2 #16BKN25.4 #23Assists per game
SA27.5 #9BKN22.8 #28Defense
Points allowed
SA110.2 #12BKN116.0 #21Points allowed per possession
SA1.06 #6BKN1.11 #18Opponent effective FG%
SA52.1 #11BKN55.3 #23Opponent 3-point %
SA37.3 #23BKN35.8 #19Turnovers forced
SA15.7 #14BKN15.9 #12Defensive rebound rate
SA75.8 #7BKN77.8 #2Steals per game
SA9.2 #10BKN9.0 #14Blocks per game
SA7.0 #1BKN4.7 #17| SA | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.3 #12 | Points per game | 108.2 #25 |
| 1.12 #10 | Points per possession | 1.03 #29 |
| 104.3 #11 | Pace (possessions) | 105.1 #10 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.3 #16 | Effective FG% | 50.7 #26 |
| 34.9 #17 | 3-point % | 35.1 #15 |
| 39.0 #24 | 3-point attempt rate | 48.0 #3 |
| 24.5 #24 | Free throw rate | 32.9 #6 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.1 #2 | Turnover rate | 18.2 #27 |
| 27.2 #16 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.4 #23 |
| 27.5 #9 | Assists per game | 22.8 #28 |
| Defense | ||
| 110.2 #12 | Points allowed | 116.0 #21 |
| 1.06 #6 | Points allowed per possession | 1.11 #18 |
| 52.1 #11 | Opponent effective FG% | 55.3 #23 |
| 37.3 #23 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.8 #19 |
| 15.7 #14 | Turnovers forced | 15.9 #12 |
| 75.8 #7 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.8 #2 |
| 9.2 #10 | Steals per game | 9.0 #14 |
| 7.0 #1 | Blocks per game | 4.7 #17 |
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.
Nets
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers98–90
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
A week or more of rest.