FedExForum · at Grizzlies · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 SA | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 6-0 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 6-0 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 118–111 · win probability SA 70%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 229.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: MEM has more of the edges
SA 4, MEM 5 · 2026-27 so far
MEMBigThree-pointers
SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%; MEM hits 41.7% and allows 30.0%. Threes are 39.0% and 42.1% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
SA has played the 15th-hardest schedule, MEM the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MEMBigShooting
Effective FG%: SA 53.3 and allows 52.1; MEM 55.9 and allows 49.2
SABigFree throws
Free throw rate: SA 24.5, MEM 25.3. Allowed: SA 21.7, MEM 31.4
MEMBigRecent form
Last 5: SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0; MEM 5-0 ATS, margin +14.2
SASmallSA offense vs MEM defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 13th, on the model’s ratings
SASmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: SA 13.1%, MEM 15.4%. Forced: SA 15.7%, MEM 15.7%
MEMSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SA 27.2%, MEM 30.6%. Defensive: SA 75.8%, MEM 75.0%
MEMSmallHome court
MEM at home. This season: MEM 2-0 at home, SA 2-0 away
SASmallMEM offense vs SA defense
Offense 11th of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: SA plays 104.3 a game (11th fastest), MEM 103.6 (13th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SA 100%, MEM 100%. Transfers in: SA 0, MEM 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -7.5
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model229.0
Model edge—
Projected score
SA 118.2 · MEM 110.8
Win probability
SA 70%
1st half
Spread
SA -4.4
Total
114.7
Projected score
SA 59.5 · MEM 55.2
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| MEMlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 6-0 100% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 20 since 2021-22
SA 5–15 MEMMEM leads · 20 games since 2021-22 · SA 11-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025-26 | SA 123 @ MEM 98 | MEM +16.5 | SA W |
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | SA 105 @ MEM 106 | MEM +5.5 | MEM W |
| Dec 2, 2025-26 | MEM 119 @ SA 126 | SA -5.5 | SA W |
| Nov 18, 2025-26 | MEM 101 @ SA 111 | SA -6.5 | SA W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | SA 130 @ MEM 128 | MEM -5.5 | SA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
OKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vs
SAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vs
MIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grizzlies
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-0
100% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@
GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+7.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
+3.5
29
@
POR
PORW 124-103
+28.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+0.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
−22.5
29
@POR
PORW 124-103
−6.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+11.5
over 2under 4avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies has the better starters
Position by position: Spurs 1, Grizzlies 2, even 2
SpursBetterGrizzlies
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
=Even
G T. Jerome25.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 97
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
→MEMSmall
F C. Boozer17.7 pts · 10.5 reb · 5.7 ast
Score 87
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
←SABig
F C. Coward13 pts · 8.6 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 33
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
→MEMSmall
F J. Wells12.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 85
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
=Even
C Z. Edey7 pts · 7 reb · 1 ast
Score 92
SpursBetterGrizzlies
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
←SASmall
MEM defense13th of 30 · +1.1
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
=Even
MEM offense11th of 30 · +1.3
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
←SABig
Backcourt+16.5 · 1 player
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
→MEMBig
Frontcourt+29.5 · 4 players
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
←SABig
Bench-18.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSA betterMEM betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
GrizzliesGuards
T. Jerome30 minJ. Mashack22 minJ. Small21 minC. Spencer19 minW. Clayton11 min
Forwards
C. Boozer31 minC. Coward28 minJ. Wells27 minJ. Grant24 minT. Hendricks19 minO. Prosper19 min
Centers
Z. Edey20 minI. Stewart18 minC. Cooper3 min
Out
S. PippenDay-To-DayQ. PostDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
SA117.3 #12MEM121.2 #1Points per possession
SA1.12 #10MEM1.16 #4Pace (possessions)
SA104.3 #11MEM103.6 #13Shooting
Effective FG%
SA53.3 #16MEM55.9 #53-point %
SA34.9 #17MEM41.7 #13-point attempt rate
SA39.0 #24MEM42.1 #19Free throw rate
SA24.5 #24MEM25.3 #22Possessions
Turnover rate
SA13.1 #2MEM15.4 #16Offensive rebound rate
SA27.2 #16MEM30.6 #5Assists per game
SA27.5 #9MEM27.0 #13Defense
Points allowed
SA110.2 #12MEM106.0 #3Points allowed per possession
SA1.06 #6MEM1.03 #2Opponent effective FG%
SA52.1 #11MEM49.2 #3Opponent 3-point %
SA37.3 #23MEM30.0 #3Turnovers forced
SA15.7 #14MEM15.7 #15Defensive rebound rate
SA75.8 #7MEM75.0 #9Steals per game
SA9.2 #10MEM6.3 #28Blocks per game
SA7.0 #1MEM5.2 #11| SA | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 117.3 #12 | Points per game | 121.2 #1 |
| 1.12 #10 | Points per possession | 1.16 #4 |
| 104.3 #11 | Pace (possessions) | 103.6 #13 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.3 #16 | Effective FG% | 55.9 #5 |
| 34.9 #17 | 3-point % | 41.7 #1 |
| 39.0 #24 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #19 |
| 24.5 #24 | Free throw rate | 25.3 #22 |
| Possessions | ||
| 13.1 #2 | Turnover rate | 15.4 #16 |
| 27.2 #16 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.6 #5 |
| 27.5 #9 | Assists per game | 27.0 #13 |
| Defense | ||
| 110.2 #12 | Points allowed | 106.0 #3 |
| 1.06 #6 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #2 |
| 52.1 #11 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.2 #3 |
| 37.3 #23 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.0 #3 |
| 15.7 #14 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #15 |
| 75.8 #7 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.0 #9 |
| 9.2 #10 | Steals per game | 6.3 #28 |
| 7.0 #1 | Blocks per game | 5.2 #11 |
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.
Grizzlies
6-0 overall · 6-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Kings136–105
- W@ Trail Blazers124–103
- W@ Jazz110–105
- W@ Kings123–112
- W@ Warriors111–108
A week or more of rest.