Frost Bank Center · at Spurs · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 LAC | This season | SA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SA 118–106 · win probability SA 80%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 223.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SA has more of the edges
LAC 1, SA 6 · 2026-27 so far
SABigLAC offense vs SA defense
Offense 28th of 30 against a defense 7th, on the model’s ratings
SABigTurnovers
Turnover rate: LAC 20.4%, SA 13.1%. Forced: LAC 17.0%, SA 15.7%
SABigShooting
Effective FG%: LAC 52.9 and allows 56.9; SA 53.3 and allows 52.1
SABigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAC 26.5%, SA 27.2%. Defensive: LAC 70.9%, SA 75.8%
SASmallSA offense vs LAC defense
Offense 5th of 30 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: LAC plays 101.7 a game (23rd fastest), SA 104.3 (11th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
LAC has played the 10th-hardest schedule, SA the 15th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LACSmallThree-pointers
LAC hits 38.6% and allows 38.2%; SA hits 34.9% and allows 37.3%. Threes are 42.3% and 39.0% of their shots
SASmallHome court
SA at home. This season: SA 2-2 at home, LAC 0-4 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: LAC 28.0, SA 24.5. Allowed: LAC 24.7, SA 21.7
Even
Recent form
Last 5: LAC 2-3 ATS, margin -13.8; SA 2-3 ATS, margin +11.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAC 100%, SA 100%. Transfers in: LAC 0, SA 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelSA -11.7
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model223.8
Model edge—
Projected score
LAC 106.1 · SA 117.7
Win probability
SA 80%
1st half
Spread
SA -6.4
Total
112.2
Projected score
LAC 52.9 · SA 59.3
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAClast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| SAlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
LAC 11–6 SALAC leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · SA has won the last 3 meetings · LAC 10-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025-26 | SA 118 @ LAC 99 | LAC -2.5 | SA W |
| Mar 16, 2025-26 | SA 119 @ LAC 115 | LAC +8.5 | LAC W |
| Mar 6, 2025-26 | LAC 112 @ SA 116 | SA -7.5 | LAC W |
| Apr 8, 2024-25 | SA 117 @ LAC 122 | LAC -12.5 | SA W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | LAC 128 @ SA 116 | SA +3.5 | LAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clippers
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
SAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@
LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
25
@
OKC
OKCL 101-108
+9.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−17.5
30
@
MIN
MINL 101-127
−19.5
1
@
GS
GSL 112-124
−10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
25
@OKC
OKCL 101-108
−14.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−34.5
30
@MIN
MINL 101-127
+5.5
1
@GS
GSL 112-124
+15.5
over 3under 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Spurs
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−10.5
23
vs
HOU
HOUL 110-114
−8.5
24
@
DAL
DALW 122-106
+1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+7.5
28
@
UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−7.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsOKC
OKCL 104-116
−9.5
23
vsHOU
HOUL 110-114
−0.5
24
@DAL
DALW 122-106
−1.5
27
vsSAC
SACW 130-103
+0.5
28
@UTAH
UTAHW 117-111
−4.5
31
vsMIN
MINW 121-111
+1.5
over 2under 4avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Spurs has the better starters
Position by position: Clippers 0, Spurs 4, even 1
ClippersBetterSpurs
G D. Garland20.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 27
→SABig
G D. Harper18.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.8 ast
Score 98
G K. Dunn8.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 25
→SASmall
G D. Vassell12 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.5 ast
Score 53
G K. Sanders8.5 pts · 3 reb · 2 ast
Score 31
→SABig
G D. Fox16.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 7 ast
Score 84
F R. Hachimura13.4 pts · 6 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 83
=Even
G S. Castle14.5 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 69
F I. Jackson8 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 8
→SABig
F V. Wembanyama28 pts · 10.7 reb · 3 ast
Score 98
ClippersBetterSpurs
LAC offense28th of 30 · -3.5
→SABig
SA defense7th of 30 · +3.7
LAC defense12th of 30 · +1.7
→SASmall
SA offense5th of 30 · +2.9
Backcourt-5.9 · 3 players
→SABig
Backcourt+42.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
→SABig
Frontcourt+17.3 · 1 player
Bench+3.5 · 5 players
→SABig
Bench+19.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLAC betterSA betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
ClippersGuards
D. Garland33 minK. Dunn30 minK. Sanders23 minK. Wagler25 minJ. Pickett16 minG. Dick14 min
Forwards
R. Hachimura30 minI. Jackson22 minB. Miller8 minN. Martinelli5 min
Centers
B. Lopez22 min
Out
D. JonesDay-To-Day
SpursGuards
D. Harper34 minD. Vassell33 minD. Fox32 minS. Castle29 minJ. McLaughlin6 minJ. Gillespie2 min
Forwards
V. Wembanyama33 minJ. Champagnie28 minK. Johnson22 minC. Bryant9 minH. Barnes8 minD. Jones Garcia6 min
Centers
L. Kornet15 minT. Reed4 min
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
LAC106.5 #28SA117.3 #12Points per possession
LAC1.04 #27SA1.12 #10Pace (possessions)
LAC101.7 #23SA104.3 #11Shooting
Effective FG%
LAC52.9 #18SA53.3 #163-point %
LAC38.6 #5SA34.9 #173-point attempt rate
LAC42.3 #17SA39.0 #24Free throw rate
LAC28.0 #17SA24.5 #24Possessions
Turnover rate
LAC20.4 #30SA13.1 #2Offensive rebound rate
LAC26.5 #21SA27.2 #16Assists per game
LAC24.3 #26SA27.5 #9Defense
Points allowed
LAC113.8 #15SA110.2 #12Points allowed per possession
LAC1.13 #22SA1.06 #6Opponent effective FG%
LAC56.9 #28SA52.1 #11Opponent 3-point %
LAC38.2 #26SA37.3 #23Turnovers forced
LAC17.0 #8SA15.7 #14Defensive rebound rate
LAC70.9 #20SA75.8 #7Steals per game
LAC11.3 #3SA9.2 #10Blocks per game
LAC4.2 #22SA7.0 #1| LAC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 106.5 #28 | Points per game | 117.3 #12 |
| 1.04 #27 | Points per possession | 1.12 #10 |
| 101.7 #23 | Pace (possessions) | 104.3 #11 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.9 #18 | Effective FG% | 53.3 #16 |
| 38.6 #5 | 3-point % | 34.9 #17 |
| 42.3 #17 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.0 #24 |
| 28.0 #17 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #24 |
| Possessions | ||
| 20.4 #30 | Turnover rate | 13.1 #2 |
| 26.5 #21 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.2 #16 |
| 24.3 #26 | Assists per game | 27.5 #9 |
| Defense | ||
| 113.8 #15 | Points allowed | 110.2 #12 |
| 1.13 #22 | Points allowed per possession | 1.06 #6 |
| 56.9 #28 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.1 #11 |
| 38.2 #26 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.3 #23 |
| 17.0 #8 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #14 |
| 70.9 #20 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.8 #7 |
| 11.3 #3 | Steals per game | 9.2 #10 |
| 4.2 #22 | Blocks per game | 7.0 #1 |
Clippers
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Warriors112–124
- L@ Timberwolves101–127
- Lvs Lakers87–103
- L@ Thunder101–108
- L@ Lakers117–125
A week or more of rest.
Spurs
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Timberwolves121–111
- W@ Jazz117–111
- Wvs Kings130–103
- W@ Mavericks122–106
- Lvs Rockets110–114
A week or more of rest.