When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2026 · Week 6 · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 7 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 36% of games.
All 14 games
2026 · Week 6 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 6 |
SF -7.5 | 51.5 | 16233340 | U | WSH Q4 | 17–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
DAL -1.5 | 54.5 | 7172736 | U | GB Q1 | 13–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
KC -7.5 | 41.5 | 12222528 | U | KC Q2 | 6–22 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BUF -5.5 | 54.5 | 10263663 | Q4 | LV Q4 Late over |
33–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LAR -13.5 | 51.5 | 6182134 | U | ARI Q1 | 18–16 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CHI -1.5 | 50.5 | 14283554 | Q4 | CHI Q1 | 31–23 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BAL -3 | 40.5 | 10101323 | U | CLE Q4 | 10–13 |
2026 · Week 6 |
IND -6.5 | 43.5 | 0131946 | Q4 | TEN Q4 Late over |
26–20 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NE -7.5 | 42.5 | 10203045 | Q4 | NYJ Q3 Late over |
19–26 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NO -1.5 | 46.5 | 7203761 | Q4 | NO Q3 | 34–27 |
2026 · Week 6 |
CAR -3 | 39.5 | 3172039 | U | CAR Q3 | 25–14 |
2026 · Week 6 |
PIT -2.5 | 37.5 | 316193845 | Q4 | PIT OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–19 |
2026 · Week 6 |
JAX -2.5 | 42.5 | 7315265 | Q3 | HOU Q1 | 34–31 |
2026 · Week 6 |
SEA -3 | 40.5 | 317172831 | U | DEN Q2 | 14–17 |
WSH
SF
DAL
GB
LAC
KC
BUF
LV
ARI
LAR
CHI
ATL
BAL
CLE
TEN
IND
NYJ
NE
NO
NYG
CAR
PHI
PIT
TB
HOU
JAX
SEA
DENWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 29% 4
Q2 14% 2
Q3 21% 3
Q4 29% 4
OT 7% 1
The team leading at halftime won 73% and covered 55% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 79% and covered 57% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 22+ | 5 | 20% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.