When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2025 · Tulane · pick one to list those games
29% went over. Of the 4 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 50% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 14% of games.
All 14 games
2025 · Tulane · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
MISS -16.5 | 57.5 | 14203051 | U | MISS Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TULN -29.5 | 51.5 | 14212127 | U | CLT Q1 | 0–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TULN -7.5 | 54.5 | 17273350 | U | TULN Q2 | 37–13 |
2025 · Week 12 |
TULN -17.5 | 61.5 | 10313859 | U | FAU Q4 | 24–35 |
2025 · Week 11 |
MEM -3.5 | 53.5 | 21525570 | Q3 | TULN Q1 | 38–32 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TULN -5.5 | 54.5 | 16435774 | Q3 | UTSA Q1 | 26–48 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TULN -10.5 | 44.5 | 062041 | U | ARMY Q1 Lead lost |
17–24 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TULN -6.5 | 53.5 | 3122845 | U | TULN Q4 Late cover flip |
19–26 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TULN -14.5 | 52.5 | 14384545 | U | TULN Q3 | 31–14 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MISS -11.5 | 61.5 | 10262655 | U | MISS Q2 | 10–45 |
2025 · Week 3 |
DUKE -1.5 | 53.5 | 14334761 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
27–34 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TULN -13.5 | 51.5 | 28384164 | Q4 | USA Q1 | 33–31 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TULN -6.5 | 45.5 | 10232626 | U | TULN Q2 | 3–23 |
TULN
MISS
UNT
CLT
TEM
FAU
MEM
UTSA
ARMY
ECU
TLSA
DUKE
USA
NUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 7
Q2 21% 3
Q3 14% 2
Q4 14% 2
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 69% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 8 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.