When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
15 games · 2025 · Ole Miss · pick one to list those games
53% went over. Of the 8 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 15 games
2025 · Ole Miss · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
MIA -3 | 52.5 | 3303358 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
31–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
UGA -6 | 53.5 | 6334373 | Q4 | MISS Q3 | 39–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
MISS -16.5 | 57.5 | 14203051 | U | MISS Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MISS -7.5 | 62.5 | 21313757 | U | MISS Q2 | 38–19 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MISS -11.5 | 53.5 | 17444458 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
24–34 |
 CIT @  MISS2025 · Week 11 |
MISS -52.5 | 63.5 | 21354249 | U | CIT Q1 | 0–49 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MISS -13.5 | 56.5 | 17243444 | U | MISS Q4 | 14–30 |
2025 · Week 9 |
OU -5.5 | 52.5 | 13325160 | Q4 | MISS Q1 | 34–26 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UGA -7.5 | 56.5 | 10416178 | Q3 | UGA Q4 Late cover flip |
35–43 |
2025 · Week 7 |
MISS -32.5 | 58.5 | 7173145 | U | WSU Q1 | 21–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MISS -3.5 | 58.5 | 10243043 | U | MISS Q2 | 19–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MISS -11.5 | 61.5 | 10262655 | U | MISS Q2 | 10–45 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MISS -4.5 | 60.5 | 14596676 | Q3 | MISS Q3 | 35–41 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MISS -7.5 | 51.5 | 7304753 | Q4 | UK Q1 Late over |
30–23 |
2025 · Week 1 |
MISS -33.5 | 61.5 | 7324970 | Q4 | MISS Q3 | 7–63 |
MIA
UGA
TULN
MSST
FLA
SC
OU
WSU
LSU
ARK
UK
GASTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 5
Q2 20% 3
Q3 27% 4
Q4 20% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 67% of 15 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 73% and covered 60% of 15 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 22+ | 7 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.