When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
15 games · 2025 · Alabama · pick one to list those games
40% went over. Of the 6 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 14% of games.
All 15 games
2025 · Alabama · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
IU -7.5 | 46.5 | 0172741 | U | IU Q2 | 3–38 |
2025 · Postseason |
OU -2.5 | 42.5 | 10344458 | Q3 | ALA Q2 | 34–24 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UGA -1.5 | 48.5 | 7142135 | U | UGA Q1 | 28–7 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ALA -7 | 48.5 | 10233347 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–20 |
 EIU @  ALA2025 · Week 13 |
ALA -54.5 | 59.5 | 14284256 | U | ALA Q4 Late cover flip |
0–56 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ALA -6.5 | 46.5 | 10314144 | U | OU Q1 | 23–21 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ALA -10.5 | 49.5 | 3202329 | U | ALA Q2 Late cover flip |
9–20 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ALA -12.5 | 47.5 | 10202951 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over Lead lost |
29–22 |
2025 · Week 8 |
ALA -8.5 | 60.5 | 7304357 | U | ALA Q2 | 20–37 |
2025 · Week 7 |
ALA -3.5 | 50.5 | 14273751 | Q4 | MIZ Q3 Late over |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 6 |
ALA -13.5 | 58.5 | 7283444 | U | ALA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–30 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UGA -2.5 | 52.5 | 7384545 | U | ALA Q1 | 24–21 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ALA -18.5 | 45.5 | 7214252 | Q4 | ALA Q2 | 14–38 |
2025 · Week 2 |
ALA -34.5 | 50.5 | 21425273 | Q3 | ALA Q2 | 0–73 |
2025 · Week 1 |
ALA -13.5 | 46.5 | 14243448 | Q4 | FSU Q1 | 17–31 |
IU
OU
UGA
AUB
LSU
SC
TENN
MIZ
VAN
WIS
ULM
FSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 33% 5
Q2 40% 6
Q3 7% 1
Q4 13% 2
OT 0% 0
Push 7% 1
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 77% of 13 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 80% of 15 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.