When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Jacksonville State · pick one to list those games
64% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Jacksonville State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OHIO -5.5 | 56.5 | 21344157 | Q4 | JXST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Week 15 |
JXST -4.5 | 58.5 | 17345064 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
12–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JXST -0.5 | 62.5 | 10202336 | U | WKU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–19 |
2024 · Week 13 |
JXST -5.5 | 57.5 | 7172532 | U | JXST Q4 | 11–21 |
2024 · Week 12 |
JXST -12.5 | 58.5 | 6374465 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 31–34 |
2024 · Week 11 |
JXST -9.5 | 55.5 | 1449587481 | Q3 | LT Q1 Lead lost |
44–37 |
2024 · Week 10 |
LIB -2.5 | 63.5 | 14283852 | U | JXST Q1 | 31–21 |
2024 · Week 9 |
JXST -20.5 | 64.5 | 24244862 | U | JXST Q3 | 20–42 |
2024 · Week 7 |
JXST -21.5 | 58.5 | 10395367 | Q4 | JXST Q2 | 13–54 |
2024 · Week 6 |
JXST -17.5 | 49.5 | 10385987 | Q3 | JXST Q3 | 63–24 |
2024 · Week 4 |
JXST -6.5 | 60.5 | 14285151 | U | JXST Q1 | 7–44 |
2024 · Week 3 |
JXST -2.5 | 53.5 | 2148516271 | Q4 | EMU Q1 | 34–37 |
2024 · Week 2 |
LOU -27.5 | 56.5 | 14424963 | Q4 | LOU Q4 Late over |
14–49 |
2024 · Week 1 |
JXST -3.5 | 54.5 | 20415182 | Q4 | CCU Q1 | 55–27 |
OHIO
JXST
WKU
SHSU
FIU
LT
LIB
MTSU
NMSU
KENN
USM
EMU
LOU
CCUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 57% 8
Q2 7% 1
Q3 14% 2
Q4 21% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 75% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 93% of 14 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.