When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
14 games · 2024 · Arizona State · pick one to list those games
64% went over. Of the 9 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 22% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 7% of games.
All 14 games
2024 · Arizona State · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 52.5 | 1720254870 | OT | ASU Q3 Late over |
39–31 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ISU -1.5 | 51.5 | 17345564 | Q3 | ASU Q1 | 19–45 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ASU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14354256 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 49–7 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ASU -3.5 | 48.5 | 7244551 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 23–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 7213038 | U | ASU Q1 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ASU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14385266 | Q4 | ASU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ASU -4.5 | 56.5 | 7354263 | Q4 | ASU Q1 Late over |
42–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CIN -4.5 | 50.5 | 17313838 | U | CIN Q2 | 14–24 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UTAH -5.5 | 46.5 | 12223646 | U | ASU Q1 | 19–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ASU -2.5 | 48.5 | 14283166 | Q4 | ASU Q4 | 31–35 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TTU -4.5 | 57.5 | 14274052 | U | TTU Q1 | 22–30 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TXST -2.5 | 58.5 | 14425659 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 31–28 |
2024 · Week 2 |
ASU -6.5 | 57.5 | 10304053 | U | ASU Q1 | 23–30 |
2024 · Week 1 |
ASU -6.5 | 47.5 | 17274855 | Q3 | ASU Q1 | 7–48 |
TEX
ASU
ISU
ARIZ
BYU
KSU
UCF
OKST
CIN
UTAH
KU
TTU
TXST
MSST
WYOWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 71% 10
Q2 14% 2
Q3 7% 1
Q4 7% 1
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 100% and covered 92% of 12 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 92% and covered 85% of 13 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 22+ | 2 | 50% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.