Mid-American ConferencePower #15717-15 SU19-13 ATS13-19 O/U
Toledo went 17-15 straight up, 19-13 against the spread (59% covers, average cover margin +2.0 points), 13-19 on over/unders in 2025-26, including 8-10 ATS as a favorite and 11-3 ATS as an underdog.
Last 5 (result · ATS · O/U):LWU·WWO·WLO·WWU·LWU
Cover margin by gameTotal margin by game
Points by which TOL beat (up) or missed (down) its closing linePoints the final score landed over (up) or under (down) the closing total
−4.5
USA−14.5
MRSH+15.5
@WRST−3.5
DETM+15.5
YSU+9.5
TROY−10.5
BEL+3.5
@OAK−6.5
@RMU+0.5
@MSU−5.5
WMU−4.5
@CMU+6.5
@NIU−15.5
M-OH+13.5
OHIO+2.5
@KENT+0.5
@MASS+2.5
BGSU+2.5
@AKR+9.5
BALL−1.5KENT−3.5
@JMU+4.5@WMU−6.5@BGSU+10.5
EMU−2.5NIU+13.5@OHIO+5.5@M-OH+15.5
BUF−0.5BGSU+7.5MASS+4.5AKR
USA−14.5MRSH+15.5@WRST−3.5DETM+15.5YSU+9.5TROY−10.5BEL+3.5@OAK−6.5@RMU+0.5@MSU−5.5WMU−4.5@CMU+6.5@NIU−15.5M-OH+13.5OHIO+2.5@KENT+0.5@MASS+2.5BGSU+2.5@AKR+9.5BALL−1.5KENT−3.5@JMU+4.5@WMU−6.5@BGSU+10.5EMU−2.5NIU+13.5@OHIO+5.5@M-OH+15.5BUF−0.5BGSU+7.5MASS+4.5AKRcovered 19didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptstaller = bigger margin
−0.5USA−2.5MRSH−7.5@WRST+13.5DETM+6.5YSU−16.5TROY−4.5BEL+28.5@OAK−9.5@RMU+10.5@MSU+2.5WMU−5.5@CMU−25.5@NIU−6.5M-OH+24.5OHIO+2.5@KENT+1.5@MASS−10.5BGSU+3.5@AKR−18.5BALL−14.5KENT−9.5@JMU+14.5@WMU−0.5@BGSU+23.5EMU−2.5NIU−12.5@OHIO−16.5@M-OH+21.5BUF+2.5BGSU−14.5MASS−2.5AKR
USA−2.5MRSH−7.5@WRST+13.5DETM+6.5YSU−16.5TROY−4.5BEL+28.5@OAK−9.5@RMU+10.5@MSU+2.5WMU−5.5@CMU−25.5@NIU−6.5M-OH+24.5OHIO+2.5@KENT+1.5@MASS−10.5BGSU+3.5@AKR−18.5BALL−14.5KENT−9.5@JMU+14.5@WMU−0.5@BGSU+23.5EMU−2.5NIU−12.5@OHIO−16.5@M-OH+21.5BUF+2.5BGSU−14.5MASS−2.5AKRover 13under 19avg −0.8 ptstaller = bigger margin
Straight up
17-15
53% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers
Avg cover margin
+2.0
points vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs
Points for / against
79.8 / 77.4
per game
Toledo 2025-26 team stats
32 games · rank among 365 teams · a longer bar is a better rank
Scoring
Points per game79.8 #71
Points per possession1.15 #62
Pace (possessions)69.5 #146
Shooting
Effective FG%54.5 #50
3-point %37.0 #29
3-point attempt rate32.5 #323
Free throw rate30.5 #298
Possessions
Turnover rate14.7 #51
Offensive rebound rate29.5 #220
Assists per game15.6 #61
Defense
Points allowed77.4 #250
Points allowed per possession1.11 #257
Opponent effective FG%54.3 #308
Opponent 3-point %34.4 #215
Turnovers forced17.9 #104
Defensive rebound rate66.3 #313
Steals per game7.7 #67
Blocks per game2.9 #247
Toledo 2025-26 schedule, lines & results
32 played · 0 to go
| Date | Opponent | Line | Total | Result | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | South Alabama non-conf | -2.5 | 150.5 | L 74-76 | L -4.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | Marshall non-conf | -2.5 | 160.5 | L 73-85 | L -14.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ Wright St non-conf | +5.5 | 159.5 | W 81-71 | W +15.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | Detroit Mercy non-conf | -10.5 | 159.5 | W 90-83 | L -3.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | Youngstown St non-conf | -1.5 | 160.5 | W 92-75 | W +15.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | Troy non-conf (N) | +2.5 | 159.5 | W 75-68 | W +9.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | Belmont non-conf (N) | +4.5 | 163.5 | L 72-87 | L -10.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ Oakland non-conf | +4.5 | 166.5 | L 97-98 | W +3.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ Robert Morris non-conf | -1.5 | 154.5 | L 70-75 | L -6.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ #9Michigan St non-conf | +23.5 | 150.5 | L 69-92 | W +0.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | W Michigan | -10.5 | 160.5 | W 84-79 | L -5.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ C Michigan | -7.5 | 158.5 | W 78-75 | L -4.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ N Illinois | -7.5 | 161.5 | W 75-61 | W +6.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | Miami OH | -1.5 | 166.5 | L 73-87 | L -15.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | Ohio | -2.5 | 161.5 | W 101-85 | W +13.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ Kent State | +5.5 | 168.5 | L 84-87 | W +2.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 20 | @ UMass | +2.5 | 164.5 | L 82-84 | W +0.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | Bowling Green | +1.5 | 155.5 | W 73-72 | W +2.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @ Akron | +12.5 | 168.5 | L 81-91 | W +2.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | Ball State | -8.5 | 146.5 | W 73-55 | W +9.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 3 | Kent State | +1.5 | 161.5 | L 72-75 | L -1.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ James Madison non-conf | -1.5 | 153.5 | L 71-73 | L -3.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 11 | @ W Michigan | -6.5 | 154.5 | W 90-79 | W +4.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | @ Bowling Green | +3.5 | 150.5 | L 70-80 | L -6.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | E Michigan | -8.5 | 145.5 | W 94-75 | W +10.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 24 | N Illinois | -12.5 | 150.5 | W 79-69 | L -2.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 28 | @ Ohio | +1.5 | 158.5 | W 79-67 | W +13.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | @ #19Miami OH | +7.5 | 162.5 | L 72-74 | W +5.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 6 | Buffalo | -5.5 | 155.5 | W 99-78 | W +15.5 | O 177 |
| Mar 12 | Bowling Green (N) | -1.5 | 150.5 | W 77-76 | L -0.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 13 | UMass (N) | -2.5 | 158.5 | W 77-67 | W +7.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 14 | Akron (N) | +7.5 | 157.5 | L 76-79 | W +4.5 | U 155 |
Toledo 2025-26 ATS and over/under splits
Home, away, favorite, underdog and conference
| Situation | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg margin | O/U | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games | 17-15 | 19-13 | 59% | +2.0 | 13-19 | 79.8 | 77.4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 | 46% | +1.5 | 6-7 | 82.8 | 76.5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 10-4 | 71% | +2.4 | 6-8 | 78.5 | 79.1 |
| Neutral site | 3-2 | 3-2 | 60% | +2.1 | 1-4 | 75.4 | 75.4 |
| As favorite | 13-5 | 8-10 | 44% | +1.2 | 8-10 | 81.7 | 75.2 |
| As underdog | 4-10 | 11-3 | 79% | +3.0 | 5-9 | 77.4 | 80.4 |
| In conference | 13-8 | 14-7 | 67% | +3.0 | 9-12 | 80.4 | 76.0 |
| Non-conference | 4-7 | 5-6 | 45% | +0.1 | 4-7 | 78.5 | 80.3 |
How Toledo’s games played out
By the score at halftime
Led at halftime19 games · won 12 · covered 14
Trailed at halftime12 games · won 5 · covered 5
Tied at halftime1 game · won 0 · covered 0