1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. WYO @ DEN
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Wyoming Cowboys at Denver Pioneers

Hamilton Gymnasium · at Denver
#122WYOWyoming
@
#263DENDenver
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WYOThis seasonDEN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WYO 80–74 · win probability WYO 71%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 154.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WYO has more of the edges

WYO 3, DEN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WYOBig
WYO offense vs DEN defense
Offense 124th of 366 against a defense 337th, on the model’s ratings
WYOBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WYO 34.0%, DEN 29.8%. Defensive: WYO 72.0%, DEN 67.2%
Context
Schedule so far
WYO has played the 105th-hardest schedule, DEN the 249th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WYOSmall
DEN offense vs WYO defense
Offense 184th of 366 against a defense 130th, on the model’s ratings
DENSmall
Home court
DEN at home. This season: DEN 0-0 at home, WYO 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: WYO plays 67.6 a game (252nd fastest), DEN 69.4 (151st). Faster games mean more points
DENSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WYO 35.5, DEN 34.1. Allowed: WYO 47.9, DEN 36.8
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WYO 16.3%, DEN 14.2%. Forced: WYO 16.8%, DEN 13.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WYO 45%, DEN 27%. Transfers in: WYO 4, DEN 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WYO 51.8 and allows 52.0; DEN 53.6 and allows 56.0
Even
Three-pointers
WYO hits 33.0% and allows 32.8%; DEN hits 36.8% and allows 36.7%. Threes are 43.0% and 38.6% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WYO -6.5—
Total—154.1—
Projected score—WYO 80.3 · DEN 73.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWYO -4.0—
1H total72.0—
1H projected scoreWYO 38 · DEN 34—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wyoming has the better starters

Position by position: Wyoming 3, Denver 1, even 1
WyomingBetterDenver
G C. Jefferson TR12.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 48
DENSmall
G C. Johnson19.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 73
G K. Bennett10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
WYOBig
G K. Martin TR5.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 24
G N. Meyer12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 83
WYOBig
G C. Hyland TR5 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast Score 20
F R. Sondors TR10.4 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15
Even
F J. Rogers TR5.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 27
F G. Gores7.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 65
WYOBig
F S. Wysocki5.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 14
WyomingBetterDenver
WYO offense124th of 366 · -3.3
WYOBig
DEN defense337th of 366 · -8.9
WYO defense130th of 366 · -2.4
WYOSmall
DEN offense184th of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt+1.8 · 3 players
WYOBig
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.2 · 2 players
WYOSmall
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Even
Bench-2.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWYO betterDEN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Wyoming
Guards
C. Jefferson31 min · TRK. Bennett28 minN. Meyer28 minU. Rojas17 minP. Gerrits10 min · TRM. De MartinNew
Forwards
R. Sondors29 min · TRG. Gores18 minM. Curtis9 min · TRM. MoraNewN. SummersNewC. PohlNew
Centers
L. RufNew
Denver
Guards
C. Johnson36 minK. Martin16 min · TRC. Hyland15 min · TRT. Cady11 min · TRL. ThreattNewJ. NelsonNew
Forwards
J. Rogers27 min · TRS. Wysocki19 minS. Mahoney5 min · TRH. BatesNewC. DimmockNewO. Wickstrom StumerNew
Centers
B. Mbengue9 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WYODEN
Scoring
76.2 #137Points per game80.3 #61
1.13 #92Points per possession1.16 #53
67.6 #252Pace (possessions)69.4 #151
Shooting
51.8 #154Effective FG%53.6 #79
33.0 #2343-point %36.8 #32
43.0 #1163-point attempt rate38.6 #199
35.5 #166Free throw rate34.1 #203
Possessions
16.3 #155Turnover rate14.2 #30
34.0 #66Offensive rebound rate29.8 #213
14.1 #141Assists per game11.2 #327
Defense
72.9 #131Points allowed84.0 #357
1.08 #169Points allowed per possession1.21 #360
52.0 #211Opponent effective FG%56.0 #344
32.8 #108Opponent 3-point %36.7 #338
16.8 #164Turnovers forced13.0 #355
72.0 #66Defensive rebound rate67.2 #291
6.6 #169Steals per game4.5 #356
2.4 #318Blocks per game1.9 #348
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wyoming

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Wichita St70–74
  • Lvs UNLV70–73
  • W@ San José St88–78
  • Wvs Nevada83–73
  • Wvs Air Force66–62

A week or more of rest.

Denver

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-9 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs North Dakota67–83
  • L@ Oral Roberts80–102
  • Wvs St Thomas82–80
  • Wvs South Dakota90–70
  • L@ Omaha76–83

A week or more of rest.