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NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

New Hampshire @ New Haven

Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center · at New Haven
#286UNHNew Hampshire
@
#355NHVNNew Haven
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNHThis seasonNHVN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UNH 70–68 · win probability UNH 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 137.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NHVN has more of the edges

UNH 1, NHVN 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NHVNBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNH 28.5, NHVN 31.7. Allowed: UNH 35.8, NHVN 27.7
UNHSmall
NHVN offense vs UNH defense
Offense 362nd of 366 against a defense 255th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: UNH plays 68.9 a game (186th fastest), NHVN 63.5 (363rd). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
UNH has played the 236th-hardest schedule, NHVN the 307th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NHVNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNH 46.7 and allows 53.5; NHVN 48.7 and allows 51.8
NHVNSmall
Home court
NHVN at home. This season: NHVN 0-0 at home, UNH 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNH 47%, NHVN 27%. Transfers in: UNH 3, NHVN 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
UNH offense vs NHVN defense
Offense 300th of 366 against a defense 285th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNH 25.7%, NHVN 21.5%. Defensive: UNH 73.1%, NHVN 73.2%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNH 16.5%, NHVN 17.8%. Forced: UNH 15.8%, NHVN 17.1%
Even
Three-pointers
UNH hits 30.5% and allows 34.3%; NHVN hits 30.2% and allows 34.3%. Threes are 43.1% and 39.9% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UNH -1.1—
Total—137.8—
Projected score—UNH 69.5 · NHVN 68.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUNH -0.8—
1H total64.5—
1H projected scoreUNH 32.7 · NHVN 31.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

New Haven has the better starters

Position by position: New Hampshire 0, New Haven 1, even 4
New HampshireBetterNew Haven
G T. Bike7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 34
Even
G K. Briggs6.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 38
G E. Oliver-Bush TR3.2 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
No call
G A. Losiewicz2.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F D. Poser6.9 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
NHVNSmall
F T. Steele3.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 27
F J. Squire5.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 34
No call
F Z. Traore1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
F D. McKenna TR3.9 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 47
No call
C T. Burth0.9 pts · 1 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
New HampshireBetterNew Haven
UNH offense300th of 366 · -9.3
Even
NHVN defense285th of 366 · -7.1
UNH defense255th of 366 · -6.7
UNHSmall
NHVN offense362nd of 366 · -14.4
Backcourt-3.5 · 2 players
NHVNSmall
Backcourt-1.3 · 2 players
Frontcourt-4.5 · 3 players
NHVNSmall
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
Bench-2.3 · 4 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUNH betterNHVN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
New Hampshire
Guards
T. Bike24 minE. Oliver-Bush16 min · TRM. Blackley2 minA. SquireNewJ. ColemanNewJ. FaumuinaNew
Forwards
D. Poser29 minJ. Squire27 minD. McKenna11 min · TRR. Zan8 min · TRJ. O'Neill6 minK. MyersNew
Centers
G. Xanthopoulos6 min
New Haven
Guards
K. Briggs19 minA. Losiewicz7 minD. YoungNewF. MosleyNewD. LaDucaNewJ. HannaNew
Forwards
T. Steele15 minZ. Traore7 minN. NarcisseNewA. RamirezNewJ. BascombeNewM. OgleNew
Centers
T. Burth6 minT. ColemanNewM. CamaraNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNHNHVN
Scoring
66.6 #339Points per game61.5 #363
0.96 #347Points per possession0.97 #345
68.9 #186Pace (possessions)63.5 #363
Shooting
46.7 #344Effective FG%48.7 #296
30.5 #3333-point %30.2 #340
43.1 #1103-point attempt rate39.9 #172
28.5 #338Free throw rate31.7 #261
Possessions
16.5 #166Turnover rate17.8 #259
25.7 #329Offensive rebound rate21.5 #359
10.6 #348Assists per game10.9 #339
Defense
76.4 #227Points allowed67.4 #24
1.11 #247Points allowed per possession1.06 #107
53.5 #282Opponent effective FG%51.8 #203
34.3 #204Opponent 3-point %34.3 #199
15.8 #227Turnovers forced17.1 #146
73.1 #32Defensive rebound rate73.2 #30
6.1 #222Steals per game6.0 #232
2.0 #345Blocks per game2.0 #342
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

New Hampshire

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC69–84
  • Wvs Bryant88–83
  • L@ UAlbany61–84
  • L@ Binghamton63–65
  • Lvs Maine58–61

A week or more of rest.

New Haven

11-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-9 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Le Moyne66–59
  • L@ Wagner62–65
  • Lvs Saint Francis Red Wolves67–73
  • W@ FDU84–77
  • Wvs Stonehill64–51

A week or more of rest.