West Florida Argonauts at Florida International Panthers: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 6, 5:00 PM ETOcean Bank Convocation Center · at FIU

#178FIUFIU

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: West Florida and FIU
UWF	This season	FIU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FIU 82–72 · win probability FIU 82%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 154.4

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FIU has more of the edges

UWF 0, FIU 1 · Before any stats

FIUSmall

Home court

FIU at home. This season: FIU 0-0 at home, UWF 0-0 away

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	FIU -10.5	—
Total	—	154.4	—
Projected score	—	UWF 72 · FIU 82.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	FIU -6.1	—
1H total	72.2	—
1H projected score	UWF 33 · FIU 39.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UWF	—	—	—	—
FIU LWLWL	16-13	55%	9-6	—

Venue/role: UWF away; FIU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
UWF	—	—	—
FIU OOUUU	14-15	48%	12-17

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
FIU	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

West Florida

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 12	@ AAMU	No recent meeting
Nov 13	vs CLE	No recent meeting
Nov 17	vs GB	No recent meeting

FIU

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	@ FGCU	W89–83WO
Nov 17	@ UAB	L72–76WU
Nov 23	vs LBSU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Florida has no 2025-26 games yet.

FIU

29 games played

Straight up

12-17

41% wins

Against the spread

16-13

55% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-15

48% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

12-1741%

L L L W W W L W L W W L L L L L W L W L L W L W L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1355%

L W L W W W W W W W W L L W L L W L W L L W W L L W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

14-1548%

O O U U O O O O O O U U U U U O U O O U U U O U O O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@NEB	L 66-96	+21.5	L −8.5	156.5	O 162
Nov 13	@LSU	L 81-98	+21.5	W +4.5	158.5	O 179
Nov 24	vsJMU	L 72-80	-2.5	L −10.5	155.5	U 152
Nov 26	vsOMA	W 74-61	-4.5	W +8.5	157.5	U 135
Dec 3	vsFGCU	W 89-83	+1.5	W +7.5	154.5	O 172
Dec 6	vsJAX	W 88-65	-5.5	W +17.5	145.5	O 153
Dec 16	@MIA	L 81-98	+22.5	W +5.5	161.5	O 179
Dec 20	vsLIU	W 86-79	-6.5	W +0.5	161.5	O 165
Dec 28	vsLIB	L 94-97	+4.5	W +1.5	152.5	O 191
Jan 2	vsNMSU	W 89-74	+1.5	W +16.5	157.5	O 163
Jan 4	vsUTEP	W 76-64	-6.5	W +5.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 7	@JXST	L 64-71	+1.5	L −5.5	150.5	U 135
Jan 10	@MOST	L 71-79	+2.5	L −5.5	153.5	U 150
Jan 14	@KENN	L 86-89	+5.5	W +2.5	175.5	U 175
Jan 17	vsSHSU	L 63-76	-2.5	L −15.5	168.5	U 139
Jan 22	@UTEP	L 77-83	-1.5	L −7.5	151.5	O 160
Jan 24	@NMSU	W 81-78	+7.5	W +10.5	159.5	U 159
Jan 28	vsJXST	L 74-78	-3.5	L −7.5	148.5	O 152
Feb 4	@MTSU	W 88-84	+5.5	W +9.5	154.5	O 172
Feb 7	@WKU	L 70-80	+4.5	L −5.5	159.5	U 150
Feb 12	vsDEL	L 66-68	-8.5	L −10.5	147.5	U 134
Feb 14	vsLT	W 77-64	-3.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 141
Feb 19	@LIB	L 89-90	+9.5	W +8.5	152.5	O 179
Feb 21	vsMOST	W 70-67	-3.5	L −0.5	154.5	U 137
Feb 26	@SHSU	L 67-100	+6.5	L −26.5	161.5	O 167
Feb 28	@LT	W 84-76	+2.5	W +10.5	145.5	O 160
Mar 5	vsMTSU	L 67-73	-1.5	L −7.5	153.5	U 140
Mar 7	vsWKU	W 92-67	+1.5	W +26.5	160.5	U 159
Mar 10	vsMOST	L 72-75	+1.5	L −1.5	152.5	U 147

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEB

L 66-96

−8.5

LSU

L 81-98

+4.5

JMU

L 72-80

−10.5

OMA

W 74-61

+8.5

FGCU

W 89-83

+7.5

JAX

W 88-65

+17.5

MIA

L 81-98

+5.5

LIU

W 86-79

+0.5

LIB

L 94-97

+1.5

NMSU

W 89-74

+16.5

UTEP

W 76-64

+5.5

JXST

L 64-71

−5.5

MOST

L 71-79

−5.5

KENN

L 86-89

+2.5

SHSU

L 63-76

−15.5

UTEP

L 77-83

−7.5

NMSU

W 81-78

+10.5

JXST

L 74-78

−7.5

MTSU

W 88-84

+9.5

WKU

L 70-80

−5.5

DEL

L 66-68

−10.5

W 77-64

+9.5

LIB

L 89-90

+8.5

MOST

W 70-67

−0.5

SHSU

L 67-100

−26.5

W 84-76

+10.5

MTSU

L 67-73

−7.5

WKU

W 92-67

+26.5

MOST

L 72-75

−1.5

covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEB

L 66-96

+5.5

LSU

L 81-98

+20.5

JMU

L 72-80

−3.5

OMA

W 74-61

−22.5

FGCU

W 89-83

+17.5

JAX

W 88-65

+7.5

MIA

L 81-98

+17.5

LIU

W 86-79

+3.5

LIB

L 94-97

+38.5

NMSU

W 89-74

+5.5

UTEP

W 76-64

−12.5

JXST

L 64-71

−15.5

MOST

L 71-79

−3.5

KENN

L 86-89

−0.5

SHSU

L 63-76

−29.5

UTEP

L 77-83

+8.5

NMSU

W 81-78

−0.5

JXST

L 74-78

+3.5

MTSU

W 88-84

+17.5

WKU

L 70-80

−9.5

DEL

L 66-68

−13.5

W 77-64

−5.5

LIB

L 89-90

+26.5

MOST

W 70-67

−17.5

SHSU

L 67-100

+5.5

W 84-76

+14.5

MTSU

L 67-73

−13.5

WKU

W 92-67

−1.5

MOST

L 72-75

−5.5

over 14under 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

FIU has the better starters

Position by position: West Florida 0, FIU 1, even 4

West FloridaBetterFIU

G E. Wali TR5.1 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 9

FIUBig

G T. Saine TR18.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 4.4 ast Score 91

G C. Monroe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked

No call

G C. Caulker TR7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 22

F D. Dickerson TR5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 63

No call

G H. Cuevas TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked

F I. Alexander NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked

No call

F J. Colonel TR4.6 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 52

F T. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked

No call

F R. Seals TR7.5 pts · 4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 61

West FloridaBetterFIU

UWF offense263rd of 366 · -8.1

Even

FIU defense217th of 366 · -5.7

UWF defense341st of 366 · -9.1

FIUBig

FIU offense144th of 366 · -4.3

Backcourt-3.1 · 2 players

FIUSmall

Backcourt-0.8 · 3 players

Frontcourt+0.2 · 3 players

Even

Frontcourt-0.0 · 2 players

BenchNo numbers yet

No call

Bench-0.9 · 1 player

Score, worst to bestUWF betterFIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

West Florida

Guards

E. Wali26 min · TRC. MonroeNewJ. KingNewA. GodleyNewC. ValarezoNewR. FariasNew

Forwards

D. Dickerson14 min · TRI. AlexanderNewT. HallNewS. RutatikaNewJ. SamuelNewT. ThompsonNew

FIU

Guards

T. Saine34 min · TRC. Caulker31 min · TRH. Cuevas13 min · TRN. MendyNewM. BlazerNewC. HallNew

Forwards

J. Colonel26 min · TRR. Seals18 min · TRJ. Payne7 min · TRG. GiceviciusNewC. RingNewS. N'DiayeNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26, 0 games in · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

UWF—

FIU77.7 #100

Points per possession

UWF—

FIU1.08 #197

Pace (possessions)

UWF—

FIU72.4 #26

Shooting

Effective FG%

UWF—

FIU50.6 #210

3-point %

UWF—

FIU34.7 #137

3-point attempt rate

UWF—

FIU32.8 #321

Free throw rate

UWF—

FIU38.6 #87

Possessions

Turnover rate

UWF—

FIU17.8 #258

Offensive rebound rate

UWF—

FIU33.9 #69

Assists per game

UWF—

FIU13.6 #173

Defense

Points allowed

UWF—

FIU79.1 #301

Points allowed per possession

UWF—

FIU1.09 #194

Opponent effective FG%

UWF—

FIU52.9 #264

Opponent 3-point %

UWF—

FIU36.2 #313

Turnovers forced

UWF—

FIU20.0 #22

Defensive rebound rate

UWF—

FIU65.2 #335

Steals per game

UWF—

FIU8.8 #12

Blocks per game

UWF—

FIU4.4 #43

UWF		FIU
Scoring
—	Points per game	77.7 #100
—	Points per possession	1.08 #197
—	Pace (possessions)	72.4 #26
Shooting
—	Effective FG%	50.6 #210
—	3-point %	34.7 #137
—	3-point attempt rate	32.8 #321
—	Free throw rate	38.6 #87
Possessions
—	Turnover rate	17.8 #258
—	Offensive rebound rate	33.9 #69
—	Assists per game	13.6 #173
Defense
—	Points allowed	79.1 #301
—	Points allowed per possession	1.09 #194
—	Opponent effective FG%	52.9 #264
—	Opponent 3-point %	36.2 #313
—	Turnovers forced	20.0 #22
—	Defensive rebound rate	65.2 #335
—	Steals per game	8.8 #12
—	Blocks per game	4.4 #43

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

West Florida

0-0 in 2025-26 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26

No games yet

A week or more of rest.

FIU

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Missouri St72–75
Wvs Western KY92–67
Lvs MTSU67–73
W@ Louisiana Tech84–76
L@ Sam Houston67–100

A week or more of rest.

West Florida Argonauts at Florida International Panthers

What could decide it: FIU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

FIU

FIU has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

West Florida

FIU