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NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Morehead St @ Elon

Schar Center · at Elon
#350MOREMorehead St
@
#232ELONElon
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MOREThis seasonELON
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ELON 79–68 · win probability ELON 82%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ELON has more of the edges

MORE 0, ELON 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
MORE has played the 346th-hardest schedule, ELON the 187th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ELONBig
MORE offense vs ELON defense
Offense 349th of 366 against a defense 235th, on the model’s ratings
ELONSmall
ELON offense vs MORE defense
Offense 225th of 366 against a defense 332nd, on the model’s ratings
ELONSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MORE 18.1%, ELON 16.0%. Forced: MORE 15.4%, ELON 16.4%
ELONSmall
Home court
ELON at home. This season: ELON 0-0 at home, MORE 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: MORE plays 67.4 a game (262nd fastest), ELON 69.0 (178th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: MORE 37.7, ELON 33.5. Allowed: MORE 35.6, ELON 34.6
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MORE 35.8%, ELON 32.3%. Defensive: MORE 64.2%, ELON 66.5%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: MORE 49.1 and allows 50.2; ELON 52.2 and allows 54.0
Even
Three-pointers
MORE hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%; ELON hits 34.3% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 30.5% and 43.2% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MORE 29%, ELON 30%. Transfers in: MORE 0, ELON 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelELON -10.7
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model147.3
Model edge—
Projected score
MORE 68.3 · ELON 79
Win probability
ELON 82%
1st half
Spread
ELON -6.2
Total
68.9
Projected score
MORE 31.3 · ELON 37.6
Model edge = where the model differs from the market, in points: a reason to look, not a trend. The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with. Model record › · 1st-half slate ›

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Elon has the better starters

Position by position: Morehead St 0, Elon 2, even 3
Morehead StBetterElon
G C. Dawson8.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 22
Even
G R. Pettus11 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
G V. Dawson3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
ELONBig
G B. Cokley12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 60
G J. Winkleman1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G I. Mbeng TR4.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 12
G I. Day NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G C. Thrower TR5.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
F C. Parker2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 1
ELONBig
F J. Dalton TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 38
Morehead StBetterElon
MORE offense349th of 366 · -12.3
ELONSmall
ELON defense235th of 366 · -6.2
MORE defense332nd of 366 · -8.7
ELONSmall
ELON offense225th of 366 · -6.9
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
MORESmall
Backcourt-5.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.7 · 1 player
ELONSmall
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestMORE betterELON betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Morehead St
Guards
C. Dawson26 minV. Dawson16 minJ. Winkleman1 minI. DayNewK. CarbonNewK. ShawNew
Forwards
C. Parker16 minD. AlexanderNewL. BassNewT. TangioraNewJ. PriesterNew
Elon
Guards
R. Pettus28 minB. Cokley27 minI. Mbeng23 min · TRC. Thrower17 min · TRR. Villar12 min · TRK. DixonNew
Forwards
J. Dalton13 min · TRI. Garmendia3 minA. Olander1 minM. ŠarenacNewB. SehlhorstNewC. ZhuNew
Centers
H. Harding7 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MOREELON
Scoring
72.0 #243Points per game76.8 #123
1.07 #202Points per possession1.12 #111
67.4 #262Pace (possessions)69.0 #178
Shooting
49.1 #285Effective FG%52.2 #137
32.0 #2813-point %34.3 #154
30.5 #3493-point attempt rate43.2 #107
37.7 #109Free throw rate33.5 #222
Possessions
18.1 #275Turnover rate16.0 #136
35.8 #27Offensive rebound rate32.3 #116
12.0 #285Assists per game14.6 #108
Defense
75.5 #205Points allowed79.3 #307
1.12 #264Points allowed per possession1.14 #316
50.2 #109Opponent effective FG%54.0 #300
34.5 #221Opponent 3-point %36.5 #328
15.4 #259Turnovers forced16.4 #196
64.2 #351Defensive rebound rate66.5 #307
6.0 #234Steals per game6.6 #157
3.0 #213Blocks per game3.0 #231
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Morehead St

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St67–93
  • Wvs SE Missouri66–61
  • W@ Little Rock76–70
  • Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
  • W@ W Illinois81–59

A week or more of rest.

Elon

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs William & Mary62–72
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington57–76
  • L@ Monmouth57–73
  • L@ Towson56–58
  • Lvs NC A&T82–102

A week or more of rest.