1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. CSUB @ IDHO
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Idaho Vandals

ICCU Arena · at Idaho
#329CSUBBakersfield
@
#247IDHOIdaho
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CSUBThis seasonIDHO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IDHO 80–71 · win probability IDHO 80%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IDHO has more of the edges

CSUB 1, IDHO 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IDHOBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CSUB 45.7 and allows 54.0; IDHO 51.4 and allows 50.5
IDHOBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CSUB 30.4%, IDHO 28.4%. Defensive: CSUB 64.4%, IDHO 75.8%
IDHOBig
Three-pointers
CSUB hits 29.0% and allows 36.0%; IDHO hits 34.1% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 28.9% and 47.0% of their shots
IDHOSmall
IDHO offense vs CSUB defense
Offense 253rd of 366 against a defense 348th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: CSUB plays 72.7 a game (22nd fastest), IDHO 69.4 (153rd). Faster games mean more points
IDHOSmall
CSUB offense vs IDHO defense
Offense 287th of 366 against a defense 233rd, on the model’s ratings
CSUBSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CSUB 42.2, IDHO 34.6. Allowed: CSUB 42.6, IDHO 38.5
IDHOSmall
Home court
IDHO at home. This season: IDHO 0-0 at home, CSUB 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
CSUB has played the 211th-hardest schedule, IDHO the 262nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CSUB 18.8%, IDHO 15.0%. Forced: CSUB 17.9%, IDHO 15.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CSUB 10%, IDHO 23%. Transfers in: CSUB 4, IDHO 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IDHO -9.7—
Total—150.6—
Projected score—CSUB 70.5 · IDHO 80.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIDHO -5.6—
1H total70.4—
1H projected scoreCSUB 32.4 · IDHO 38—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Bakersfield 0, Idaho 0, even 5
BakersfieldBetterIdaho
G B. Cofield TR9.8 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.2 ast Score 42
No call
G K. Gonzalez18 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G J. Alexander9.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 62
No call
G R. Lafferty TR0.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
G S. Pouedet TR0.6 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Klapper2.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 35
F C. Dioramma TR4.8 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 38
Even
F H. Ward TR5 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 35
F C. Barnes TR0.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Joba4.9 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 25
BakersfieldBetterIdaho
CSUB offense287th of 366 · -8.9
IDHOSmall
IDHO defense233rd of 366 · -6.2
CSUB defense348th of 366 · -9.5
IDHOSmall
IDHO offense253rd of 366 · -7.6
Backcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.9 · 2 players
CSUBSmall
Frontcourt-1.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestCSUB betterIDHO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bakersfield
Guards
B. Cofield21 min · TRJ. Alexander20 minS. Pouedet5 min · TRS. WigingtonNewK. BradleyNewE. BrysonNew
Forwards
C. Dioramma15 min · TRC. Barnes6 min · TRT. KoppensNewP. IvancicNew
Idaho
Guards
K. Gonzalez18 minR. Lafferty13 min · TRM. Klapper12 minK. Wynott10 min · TRB. KennisonNewT. WalNew
Forwards
H. Ward19 min · TRS. Joba17 minD. Trejo-DelgadoNewM. DiaoNewW. JensonNewN. Newman-GomezNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CSUBIDHO
Scoring
72.0 #244Points per game75.8 #147
0.99 #336Points per possession1.10 #145
72.7 #22Pace (possessions)69.4 #153
Shooting
45.7 #355Effective FG%51.4 #177
29.0 #3533-point %34.1 #168
28.9 #3563-point attempt rate47.0 #34
42.2 #27Free throw rate34.6 #193
Possessions
18.8 #313Turnover rate15.0 #69
30.4 #181Offensive rebound rate28.4 #250
10.9 #340Assists per game11.4 #313
Defense
83.4 #351Points allowed74.1 #157
1.15 #326Points allowed per possession1.06 #112
54.0 #301Opponent effective FG%50.5 #128
36.0 #306Opponent 3-point %35.2 #264
17.9 #101Turnovers forced15.0 #288
64.4 #349Defensive rebound rate75.8 #5
7.4 #91Steals per game5.6 #282
5.0 #18Blocks per game2.4 #319
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bakersfield

6-24 in 2025-26 overall · 2-18 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cal Poly76–108
  • Lvs CSU Northridge84–86
  • Lvs Long Beach St87–88
  • L@ UC San Diego72–84
  • Lvs Fullerton80–88

A week or more of rest.

Idaho

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Houston47–78
  • Wvs Montana77–66
  • Wvs E Washington81–68
  • Wvs Montana St78–74
  • Wvs Sacramento St68–45

A week or more of rest.