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NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Robert Morris @ IU Indy

James T. Morris Arena · at IU Indy · Conference game
#168RMURobert Morris
@
#340IUINIU Indy
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RMUThis seasonIUIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RMU 81–74 · win probability RMU 75%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 155.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RMU has more of the edges

RMU 5, IUIN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
RMUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RMU 37.5%, IUIN 28.7%. Defensive: RMU 71.2%, IUIN 64.5%
RMUBig
Three-pointers
RMU hits 38.0% and allows 33.2%; IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%. Threes are 40.7% and 42.1% of their shots
RMUBig
RMU offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 179th of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
IUINBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RMU 18.6%, IUIN 15.8%. Forced: RMU 15.8%, IUIN 19.2%
RMUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: RMU 54.9 and allows 50.0; IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: RMU plays 67.5 a game (256th fastest), IUIN 75.3 (4th). Faster games mean more points
RMUSmall
IUIN offense vs RMU defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 183rd, on the model’s ratings
IUINSmall
Home court
IUIN at home. This season: IUIN 0-0 at home, RMU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: RMU 28.0, IUIN 21.7. Allowed: RMU 40.1, IUIN 46.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RMU 32%, IUIN 14%. Transfers in: RMU 4, IUIN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
RMU has played the 279th-hardest schedule, IUIN the 284th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—RMU -7.6—
Total—155.3—
Projected score—RMU 81.4 · IUIN 73.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadRMU -4.6—
1H total72.6—
1H projected scoreRMU 38.6 · IUIN 34—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Robert Morris has the better starters

Position by position: Robert Morris 3, IU Indy 1, even 1
Robert MorrisBetterIU Indy
G A. Valentine TR12 pts · 4 reb · 3.8 ast Score 71
RMUBig
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
G D. Livingston9.6 pts · 2 reb · 2.9 ast Score 23
IUINBig
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
G T. Smith6.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 30
Even
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
F J. Dunkley TR12.4 pts · 6.7 reb · 1 ast Score 74
RMUBig
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
F K. Ugwuakazi TR5.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 63
RMUBig
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
Robert MorrisBetterIU Indy
RMU offense179th of 366 · -5.5
RMUBig
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
RMU defense183rd of 366 · -4.2
RMUSmall
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-2.8 · 3 players
IUINSmall
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+1.5 · 2 players
RMUBig
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestRMU betterIUIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Robert Morris
Guards
A. Valentine33 min · TRD. Livingston26 minT. Smith19 minK. Garris16 min · TRE. Cooke9 minL. SloaneNew
Forwards
J. Dunkley29 min · TRK. Ugwuakazi19 min · TRS. Obenjo9 minD. StolbetskiyNewB. OderinloNew
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RMUIUIN
Scoring
76.8 #122Points per game80.9 #49
1.14 #67Points per possession1.07 #200
67.5 #256Pace (possessions)75.3 #4
Shooting
54.9 #39Effective FG%52.2 #136
38.0 #183-point %32.4 #258
40.7 #1543-point attempt rate42.1 #134
28.0 #343Free throw rate21.7 #365
Possessions
18.6 #305Turnover rate15.8 #127
37.5 #11Offensive rebound rate28.7 #243
17.6 #13Assists per game18.9 #3
Defense
73.4 #139Points allowed89.2 #364
1.08 #174Points allowed per possession1.19 #353
50.0 #100Opponent effective FG%58.2 #362
33.2 #135Opponent 3-point %38.5 #361
15.8 #230Turnovers forced19.2 #41
71.2 #98Defensive rebound rate64.5 #348
5.5 #292Steals per game8.0 #39
2.5 #308Blocks per game2.9 #243
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Robert Morris

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Detroit Mercy64–70
  • Wvs Youngstown St68–53
  • Wvs Cleveland St83–64
  • Wvs Detroit Mercy73–62
  • W@ Wright St81–68

A week or more of rest.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.