Reed Arena · at Texas A&M
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects TA&M 87–82 · win probability TA&M 67%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 168.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: TA&M has more of the edges
OKST 1, TA&M 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Three-pointers
OKST hits 33.9% and allows 36.0%; TA&M hits 35.9% and allows 31.8%. Threes are 35.5% and 46.2% of their shots
Turnovers
Turnover rate: OKST 15.7%, TA&M 14.7%. Forced: OKST 15.7%, TA&M 18.4%
Shooting
Effective FG%: OKST 52.0 and allows 53.1; TA&M 53.8 and allows 50.7
TA&M offense vs OKST defense
Offense 20th of 366 against a defense 99th, on the model’s ratings
Free throws
Free throw rate: OKST 39.4, TA&M 37.1. Allowed: OKST 31.4, TA&M 35.4
Home court
TA&M at home. This season: TA&M 0-0 at home, OKST 0-0 away
Even
OKST offense vs TA&M defense
Offense 23rd of 366 against a defense 62nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: OKST 30.8%, TA&M 32.0%. Defensive: OKST 69.7%, TA&M 67.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: OKST 41%, TA&M 25%. Transfers in: OKST 6, TA&M 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 74 possessions: OKST plays 74.8 a game (6th fastest), TA&M 73.5 (15th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
OKST has played the 60th-hardest schedule, TA&M the 57th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | TA&M -4.9 | — |
| Total | — | 168.1 | — |
| Projected score | — | OKST 81.6 · TA&M 86.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TA&M -2.8 | — |
| 1H total | 78.5 | — |
| 1H projected score | OKST 37.8 · TA&M 40.6 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OKST 1–0 TA&MOKST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OKST 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025-26 | TA&M 63 @ OKST 87 | OKST +2.5 | OKST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma St
35 games played
Straight up
20-15
57% wins
Against the spread
16-19
46% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-14
60% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Against the spread
16-1946%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 95-71 | -20.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 87-63 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 94-67 | -30.5 | L −3.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 85-69 | -20.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 103-95 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 95-81 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | @ | W 86-81 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 93-83 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 84-78 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 76-85 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 91-79 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 94-89 | -19.5 | L −14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 103-77 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 80-102 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 87-76 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 71-83 | +19.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 79-94 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 84-83 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 65-68 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 71-84 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 81-69 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 99-92 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 47-84 | +20.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 10 | @ | L 76-85 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 92-95 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 69-81 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 69-83 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 91-84 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 68-91 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 3 | @ | W 111-104 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | O 215 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 75-82 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 10 | vs | W 92-83 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 11 | vs | L 88-95 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 17 | vs | W 84-80 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 22 | vs | L 70-96 | -2.5 | L −28.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
ORU
W 95-71
+3.5
9
vs
TA&M
W 87-63
+26.5
12
vs
PV
W 94-67
−3.5
16
vs
AMCC
W 85-69
−4.5
19
vs
USF
W 103-95
+4.5
22
vs
NICH
W 95-81
−9.5
27
@
NU
W 86-81
+7.5
2
vs
SHSU
W 93-83
−3.5
6
vs
GCU
W 84-78
+4.5
13
vs
OU
L 76-85
−6.5
18
vs
KC
W 91-79
−15.5
21
vs
CSUF
W 94-89
−14.5
29
vs
BCU
W 103-77
+5.5
3
@
TTU
L 80-102
−9.5
6
vs
UCF
W 87-76
+9.5
10
@
ISU
L 71-83
+7.5
13
vs
BAY
L 79-94
−13.5
17
vs
KSU
W 84-83
−1.5
20
@
TCU
L 65-68
+5.5
24
vs
ISU
L 71-84
−2.5
31
@
UTAH
W 81-69
+10.5
4
vs
BYU
W 99-92
+15.5
7
@
ARIZ
L 47-84
−16.5
10
@
ASU
L 76-85
−5.5
14
vs
TCU
L 92-95
−1.5
18
vs
KU
L 69-81
−4.5
21
@
COLO
L 69-83
−10.5
24
vs
WVU
W 91-84
+5.5
28
@
CIN
L 68-91
−13.5
3
@
UCF
W 111-104
+15.5
7
vs
HOU
L 75-82
+6.5
10
vs
COLO
W 92-83
+10.5
11
vs
TCU
L 88-95
+0.5
17
vs
DAV
W 84-80
−2.5
22
vs
WICH
L 70-96
−28.5
covered 16didn’t cover 19avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
ORU
W 95-71
+0.5
9
vs
TA&M
W 87-63
−24.5
12
vs
PV
W 94-67
−7.5
16
vs
AMCC
W 85-69
−0.5
19
vs
USF
W 103-95
+20.5
22
vs
NICH
W 95-81
+20.5
27
@
NU
W 86-81
+7.5
2
vs
SHSU
W 93-83
+6.5
6
vs
GCU
W 84-78
+6.5
13
vs
OU
L 76-85
−8.5
18
vs
KC
W 91-79
+8.5
21
vs
CSUF
W 94-89
+6.5
29
vs
BCU
W 103-77
+15.5
3
@
TTU
L 80-102
+14.5
6
vs
UCF
W 87-76
−12.5
10
@
ISU
L 71-83
−11.5
13
vs
BAY
L 79-94
+7.5
17
vs
KSU
W 84-83
−8.5
20
@
TCU
L 65-68
−28.5
24
vs
ISU
L 71-84
−7.5
31
@
UTAH
W 81-69
−16.5
4
vs
BYU
W 99-92
+23.5
7
@
ARIZ
L 47-84
−37.5
10
@
ASU
L 76-85
−2.5
14
vs
TCU
L 92-95
+30.5
18
vs
KU
L 69-81
−8.5
21
@
COLO
L 69-83
−10.5
24
vs
WVU
W 91-84
+30.5
28
@
CIN
L 68-91
+7.5
3
@
UCF
W 111-104
+47.5
7
vs
HOU
L 75-82
+5.5
10
vs
COLO
W 92-83
+10.5
11
vs
TCU
L 88-95
+24.5
17
vs
DAV
W 84-80
+9.5
22
vs
WICH
L 70-96
+1.5
over 21under 14avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas A&M
34 games played
Straight up
22-12
65% wins
Against the spread
19-15
56% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-15
56% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @ | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 88-68 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 92-69 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 92-77 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 97-100 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 69-82 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 80-77 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 75-71 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 84-99 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 70-76 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 96-85 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 94-91 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Mar 12 | vs | L 63-83 | -2.5 | L −22.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 19 | vs | W 63-50 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 113 |
| Mar 21 | vs | L 57-88 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NWST
W 98-68
+8.5
6
vs
TXSO
W 104-70
+4.5
9
@
OKST
L 63-87
−26.5
14
vs
UCF
L 74-86
−22.5
18
vs
MONT
W 86-81
−12.5
21
vs
MAN
W 109-68
+17.5
25
vs
MVSU
W 120-84
−6.5
28
vs
FSU
W 95-59
+37.5
2
@
PITT
W 81-73
+4.5
7
vs
SMU
L 80-93
−14.5
14
vs
JAX
W 112-75
+10.5
21
vs
ETAM
W 118-77
+12.5
29
vs
PV
W 111-82
−0.5
3
vs
LSU
W 75-72
−2.5
6
@
AUB
W 90-88
+8.5
10
vs
OU
W 83-76
+2.5
13
@
TENN
L 82-87
+6.5
17
@
TEX
W 74-70
+8.5
21
vs
MSST
W 88-68
+11.5
24
vs
SC
W 92-69
+12.5
31
@
UGA
W 92-77
+19.5
4
@
ALA
L 97-100
+5.5
7
vs
FLA
L 67-86
−13.5
11
vs
MIZ
L 85-86
−8.5
14
@
VAN
L 69-82
−5.5
18
vs
MISS
W 80-77
−6.5
21
@
OU
W 75-71
+2.5
25
@
ARK
L 84-99
−7.5
28
vs
TEX
L 70-76
−8.5
3
vs
UK
W 96-85
+9.5
7
@
LSU
W 94-91
+0.5
12
vs
OU
L 63-83
−22.5
19
vs
SMC
W 63-50
+15.5
21
vs
HOU
L 57-88
−20.5
covered 19didn’t cover 15avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NWST
W 98-68
+12.5
6
vs
TXSO
W 104-70
+12.5
9
@
OKST
L 63-87
−24.5
14
vs
UCF
L 74-86
−12.5
18
vs
MONT
W 86-81
+2.5
21
vs
MAN
W 109-68
+14.5
25
vs
MVSU
W 120-84
+49.5
28
vs
FSU
W 95-59
−20.5
2
@
PITT
W 81-73
+1.5
7
vs
SMU
L 80-93
+8.5
14
vs
JAX
W 112-75
+39.5
21
vs
ETAM
W 118-77
+28.5
29
vs
PV
W 111-82
+15.5
3
vs
LSU
W 75-72
−21.5
6
@
AUB
W 90-88
+9.5
10
vs
OU
W 83-76
−6.5
13
@
TENN
L 82-87
+9.5
17
@
TEX
W 74-70
−22.5
21
vs
MSST
W 88-68
−7.5
24
vs
SC
W 92-69
+5.5
31
@
UGA
W 92-77
−4.5
4
@
ALA
L 97-100
+16.5
7
vs
FLA
L 67-86
−14.5
11
vs
MIZ
L 85-86
+10.5
14
@
VAN
L 69-82
−14.5
18
vs
MISS
W 80-77
−0.5
21
@
OU
W 75-71
−19.5
25
@
ARK
L 84-99
+12.5
28
vs
TEX
L 70-76
−13.5
3
vs
UK
W 96-85
+18.5
7
@
LSU
W 94-91
+23.5
12
vs
OU
L 63-83
−16.5
19
vs
SMC
W 63-50
−36.5
21
vs
HOU
L 57-88
+2.5
over 19under 15avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma St has the better starters
Position by position: Oklahoma St 3, Texas A&M 2, even 0
Oklahoma StBetterTexas A&M
G K. Clary10.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.6 ast
Score 78
→TA&MSmall
G P. Haggerty TR23.4 pts · 5.3 reb · 3.8 ast
Score 98
G K. Natt TR11.3 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 94
←OKSTSmall
G J. Pope TR13.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 78
G J. Walker TR11.2 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 55
→TA&MBig
G T. Archie TR14.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 91
F J. Burks TR13.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 90
←OKSTBig
G L. Walls TR7.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 37
F P. Fallah14.7 pts · 6 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 97
←OKSTSmall
F J. Shelley TR13.9 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 76
Oklahoma StBetterTexas A&M
OKST offense23rd of 366 · +7.5
=Even
TA&M defense62nd of 366 · +1.2
OKST defense99th of 366 · -0.7
→TA&MSmall
TA&M offense20th of 366 · +7.7
Backcourt+4.0 · 3 players
→TA&MBig
Backcourt+8.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt+7.7 · 2 players
←OKSTBig
Frontcourt+1.7 · 1 player
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
=Even
Bench+2.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestOKST betterTA&M betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
K. Clary28 minK. Natt27 min · TRJ. Walker26 min · TRL. Bogavac24 min · TRR. Crotty10 minJ. MontonatiNew
Forwards
J. Burks28 min · TRP. Fallah26 minA. Grbovic20 min · TRB. Ahmed13 minM. Ragland6 minL. AllmondNew
Centers
J. Halaifonua20 min · TR
Guards
P. Haggerty35 min · TRJ. Pope29 min · TRT. Archie26 min · TRL. Walls24 min · TRJ. Reece24 min · TRJ. Green5 min
Forwards
J. Shelley32 min · TRM. Mgbako19 minZ. Clemence17 minC. Phillips17 min · TRJ. Vinson7 minC. McDermott4 min
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 83.9 #21 | Points per game | 86.1 #12 |
| 1.12 #110 | Points per possession | 1.17 #43 |
| 74.8 #6 | Pace (possessions) | 73.5 #15 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.0 #144 | Effective FG% | 53.8 #71 |
| 33.9 #176 | 3-point % | 35.9 #63 |
| 35.5 #260 | 3-point attempt rate | 46.2 #42 |
| 39.4 #70 | Free throw rate | 37.1 #128 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.7 #117 | Turnover rate | 14.7 #48 |
| 30.8 #169 | Offensive rebound rate | 32.0 #122 |
| 14.6 #113 | Assists per game | 17.8 #11 |
| Defense | ||
| 83.2 #349 | Points allowed | 78.9 #296 |
| 1.12 #265 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #151 |
| 53.1 #272 | Opponent effective FG% | 50.7 #141 |
| 36.0 #304 | Opponent 3-point % | 31.8 #53 |
| 15.7 #240 | Turnovers forced | 18.4 #81 |
| 69.7 #178 | Defensive rebound rate | 67.0 #300 |
| 7.1 #120 | Steals per game | 8.1 #34 |
| 2.7 #285 | Blocks per game | 3.1 #210 |
Oklahoma St
20-15 in 2025-26 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wichita St70–96
- Wvs Davidson84–80
- Lvs TCU88–95
- Wvs Colorado92–83
- Lvs Houston75–82
A week or more of rest.
Texas A&M
22-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Houston57–88
- Wvs Saint Mary's63–50
- Lvs Oklahoma63–83
- W@ LSU94–91
- Wvs Kentucky96–85
A week or more of rest.