Moda Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
BYU -2.5✓ TEX covered by 10.5
BYU -2.5✓ TEX covered by 10.5Closing total156.5Under by 6.5
 TEX | This season | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| 18-14 | Record | 23-11 |
| 17-15 | ATS | 16-18 |
| 19-13 | O/U | 18-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 80–84 BYU · ✗ BYU (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 46 | 33 | 79 |
| BYU | 37 | 34 | 71 |
1st half: TEX 46, BYU 37 (TEX by 9). The model had BYU by 2.2 and a total of 76.5 (actual 83).
Team stats
| TEX | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-66 47% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 9-18 50% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 40 16 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 6 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 37 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Tramon Mark G | 35 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-6 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 33 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 10-17 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Pope G | 32 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Camden Heide F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Nic Codie F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah, Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, John Clark, Cole Bott, Lassina Traore
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Dybantsa F | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 11-25 | 1-7 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 39 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Robert Wright III G | 37 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 7-17 | 0-4 |
| Keba Keita F | 24 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khadim Mboup F | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brody Kozlowski, KJ Perry, Tyler Mrus, Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor, Richie Saunders, Dawson Baker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -2.5
ModelBYU -4.0
Model edgeBYU +1.5
L TEX covered
Total
Market156.5
Model163.9
Model edgeOver 7.4
L Under
Projected score
TEX 80 · BYU 84
TEX 79 · BYU 71
Win probability
BYU 64%
1st half
Spread
BYU -2.2
TEX -9.0
Total
76.5
83 points
Projected score
TEX 37.2 · BYU 39.4
TEX 46 · BYU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -2.5
no move
CloseBYU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 12
Close156.5
Up 12 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +130 · BYU -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -2.5 · unchangedmodel BYU -4
model BYU -4
Opened 144.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 12 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| BYU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 0–1 BYUBYU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TEX 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | TEX 72 @ BYU 84 | BYU -7.5 | BYU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
32 games played
Straight up
18-14
56% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-13
59% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs UGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @ AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vs SC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vs MISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @ MIZ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vs LSU | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | @UGA | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | vs FLA | L 71-84 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 28 | @TA&M | W 76-70 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 4 | @ ARK | L 85-105 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | vsOU | L 85-88 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 11 | vsMISS | L 66-76 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 142 |
| Mar 17 | vsNCSU | W 68-66 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+19.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
−7.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
−8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−6.5
28
@TA&M
TA&MW 76-70
+8.5
4
@ARK
ARKL 85-105
−13.5
7
vsOU
OUL 85-88
−9.5
11
vsMISS
MISSL 66-76
−15.5
17
vsNCSU
NCSUW 68-66
+3.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+2.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
+22.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
+8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−2.5
28
@TA&M
TA&MW 76-70
−13.5
4
@ARK
ARKL 85-105
+26.5
7
vsOU
OUL 85-88
+18.5
11
vsMISS
MISSL 66-76
−5.5
17
vsNCSU
NCSUW 68-66
−23.5
over 19under 13avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
34 games played
Straight up
23-11
68% wins
Against the spread
16-18
47% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-16
53% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vsCONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @ KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | vsASU | W 104-76 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTAH | W 89-84 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | vs TCU | W 76-70 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ TTU | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTAH | W 91-78 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | vs ARIZ | L 83-86 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ KU | L 82-90 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 4 | @ OKST | L 92-99 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 7 | vs HOU | L 66-77 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 10 | @ BAY | W 99-94 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 14 | vs COLO | W 90-86 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 18 | @ARIZ | L 68-75 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | vs ISU | W 79-69 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | vs UCF | L 84-97 | -14.5 | L −27.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 28 | @ WVU | L 71-79 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 3 | @ CIN | L 68-90 | +1.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 7 | vsTTU | W 82-76 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Mar 10 | vsKSU | W 105-91 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | O 196 |
| Mar 11 | vsWVU | W 68-48 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 12 | vsHOU | L 66-73 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+10.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
−9.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−7.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
−6.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
−1.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
−5.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
−15.5
7
vsHOU
HOUL 66-77
−9.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 99-94
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 90-86
−11.5
18
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-75
+4.5
21
vsISU
ISUW 79-69
+12.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 84-97
−27.5
28
@WVU
WVUL 71-79
−10.5
3
@CIN
CINL 68-90
−20.5
7
vsTTU
TTUW 82-76
+3.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 105-91
+2.5
11
vsWVU
WVUW 68-48
+16.5
12
vsHOU
HOUL 66-73
+2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 18avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+11.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
+4.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−16.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
+0.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
+2.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
+12.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
+23.5
7
vsHOU
HOUL 66-77
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 99-94
+34.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 90-86
+14.5
18
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-75
−22.5
21
vsISU
ISUW 79-69
−6.5
24
vsUCF
UCFL 84-97
+18.5
28
@WVU
WVUL 71-79
+8.5
3
@CIN
CINL 68-90
+6.5
7
vsTTU
TTUW 82-76
−1.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 105-91
+27.5
11
vsWVU
WVUW 68-48
−25.5
12
vsHOU
HOUL 66-73
−7.5
over 18under 16avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
18-14 overall · 9-10 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC State68–66
- Lvs Ole Miss66–76
- Lvs Oklahoma85–88
- L@ Arkansas85–105
- W@ Texas A&M76–70
2 days since their last game.
BYU
23-11 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Houston66–73
- Wvs West Virginia68–48
- Wvs Kansas St105–91
- Wvs Texas Tech82–76
- L@ Cincinnati68–90
A week or more of rest.