Orleans Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
#163PACPacific68final
Final
#106SCUSanta Clara76▲ winner
Closing lineSCU -9.5✓ PAC covered by 1.5
Closing total148.5Under by 4.5
Season records: Pacific and Santa Clara
PACThis seasonSCU
16-14Record23-7
16-14ATS17-13
11-19O/U18-12

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PAC 70–80 SCU · ✓ SCU (81%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
PAC383068
SCU453176

1st half: PAC 38, SCU 45 (SCU by 7). The model had SCU by 6.0 and a total of 70.3 (actual 83).

Team stats

PACSCU
24-60 40%Field goals27-62 44%
8-27 30%3-pointers15-36 42%
12-14 86%Free throws7-10 70%
36 17 offRebounds37 16 off
20Assists21
3Steals4
2Blocks3
9Turnovers9
11Fouls12
28Points in paint22
13Fast-break points5

Players

PACMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Elias Ralph F39255010-185-9
Justin Rochelin G367833-101-4
TJ Wainwright G369223-121-7
Jaden Clayton G3112393-81-5
Isaac Jack F176512-40-0
Bench
Jaion Pitt F235602-40-0
Kajus Kublickas G164051-40-2
Alexis Marmolejos G20000-00-0

Did not play: Clayton Mpiana, Dominic Capriotti, Eyal Harel, Emmanuel Manyuon, Augustas Brazdeikis, Noah Budu, Carlsheon Young, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, KC Ibekwe

SCUMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Christian Hammond G3414436-122-4
Elijah Mahi F32131143-123-7
Jake Ensminger G298663-52-4
Brenton Knapper G192001-40-3
Bukky Oboye C175402-41-2
Bench
Allen Graves F2419227-103-4
Sash Gavalyugov G2111164-103-8
Thierry Darlan G143401-31-3
KJ Cochran G101100-20-1

Did not play: Noah Badibanga, Brad Longcor III, Juan Reyna, Francis Chukwudebelu, Chris Tadjo, Gehrig Normand, Brendan Yarusso, Malachi Douyon

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSCU -9.5
ModelSCU -10.2
Model edgeSCU +0.7
L PAC covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
PAC 70 · SCU 80.3
PAC 68 · SCU 76
Win probability
SCU 81%
1st half
Spread
SCU -6.0
SCU -7.0
Total
70.3
83 points
Projected score
PAC 32.2 · SCU 38.1
PAC 38 · SCU 45

Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PAC +400 · SCU -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SCU -9.5 · unchangedmodel SCU -10
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Pacific

16-14 overall · 9-10 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Seattle U61–58
  • Lvs San Francisco61–72
  • L@ Gonzaga62–71
  • L@ Washington St70–87
  • Lvs Saint Mary's61–72

1 day since their last game.

Santa Clara

23-7 overall · 15-3 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Oregon St93–72
  • L@ Saint Mary's67–86
  • W@ San Francisco94–73
  • Lvs Gonzaga86–94
  • Wvs Seattle U84–72

A week or more of rest.