Pensacola Bay Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
GAST -1.5✓ UL covered by 10.5
GAST -1.5✓ UL covered by 10.5Closing total134.5Over by 24.5
| GAST | This season | UL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-21 | Record | 10-21 |
| 13-16 | ATS | 14-17 |
| 13-16 | O/U | 13-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GAST 67–66 UL · ✗ GAST (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | 38 | 37 | 75 |
| UL | 36 | 48 | 84 |
1st half: GAST 38, UL 36 (GAST by 2). The model had GAST by 0.7 and a total of 61.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| GAST | UL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-53 49% | Field goals | 26-61 43% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 26-35 74% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 40 18 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| GAST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Tucker G | 38 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Joah Chappelle F | 35 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Malachi Brown G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Jelani Hamilton G | 34 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Christian Beam C | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Enoh F | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Trey Scott F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ayouba Berthe G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chris Jones G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kwame Tanic, Clash Peters, Manos Koveos, Isaiah Sherrard, James Cooper, Jakai Newton
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'vion Lavergne G | 38 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Dorian Finister G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Jaxon Olvera G | 31 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 9-16 | 2-2 |
| Milan Mejia G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karris Bilal G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Dariyus Woodson F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mike Collins G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joshua Lewis, Logan Myers, Sean Elkinton, Rahman Olajuwon, Michael Mouton, Christian Landry, Zeke Cook, Jamyron Keller
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGAST -1.5
ModelGAST -1.0
Model edgeUL +0.5
W UL covered
Total
Market134.5
Model132.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
L Over
Projected score
GAST 66.5 · UL 65.5
GAST 75 · UL 84
Win probability
GAST 53%
1st half
Spread
GAST -0.7
GAST -2.0
Total
61.9
74 points
Projected score
GAST 31.3 · UL 30.6
GAST 38 · UL 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGAST -1.5
no move
CloseGAST -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open132.5
▲ 2
Close134.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
GAST -120 · UL +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GAST -1.5 · unchangedmodel GAST -1
model GAST -1
Opened 132.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 2 upmodel 132
model 132
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| UL | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
GAST 5–2 ULGAST leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · GAST 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | GAST 72 @ UL 82 | UL +1.5 | UL W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UL 70 @ GAST 94 | GAST -0.5 | GAST W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | GAST 78 @ UL 69 | UL -8.5 | GAST W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | GAST 70 @ UL 78 | UL -8.5 | GAST W |
| Mar 7, 2021-22 | UL 71 vs GAST 80 | GAST -3.5 | GAST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia St
29 games played
Straight up
8-21
28% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ EMU | L 49-71 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 7 | @ CIN | L 64-74 | +29.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs PRES | L 61-63 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 17 | @ ASU | L 62-75 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ SDST | L 58-105 | +12.5 | L −34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs SAM | L 63-78 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs NMSU | L 58-77 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ MER | L 67-78 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ KENN | L 69-92 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | vs JXST | W 77-73 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 18 | @ GASO | L 67-90 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ APP | W 70-63 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ MRSH | L 80-84 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ CCU | W 89-71 | +6.5 | W +24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsAPP | L 50-52 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | vsMRSH | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ULM | W 77-57 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 22 | vs USM | W 69-62 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vs ARST | W 82-81 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 29 | @UL | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | @ USA | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | vs TROY | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs NIU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @ JMU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ ODU | L 55-78 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 19 | vsGASO | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 21 | vsJMU | L 65-80 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 24 | vsCCU | L 71-76 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 27 | vsODU | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−18.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
+19.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−5.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
+5.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
−34.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−9.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−6.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−0.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
−8.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+7.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−13.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
+14.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+9.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+24.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−0.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+12.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
+13.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
+5.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
−11.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
+3.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−4.5
7
vsNIU
NIUL 74-75
−5.5
12
@JMU
JMUL 79-81
+3.5
14
@ODU
ODUL 55-78
−19.5
19
vsGASO
GASOW 66-64
+3.5
21
vsJMU
JMUL 65-80
−12.5
24
vsCCU
CCUL 71-76
−3.5
27
vsODU
ODUL 73-81
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−29.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
−13.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−17.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
−8.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
+19.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−5.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−1.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−10.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
+2.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+10.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−2.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
−4.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+12.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+11.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−38.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+0.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
−21.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
−13.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
+24.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
−4.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−7.5
7
vsNIU
NIUL 74-75
+5.5
12
@JMU
JMUL 79-81
+15.5
14
@ODU
ODUL 55-78
−14.5
19
vsGASO
GASOW 66-64
−24.5
21
vsJMU
JMUL 65-80
+2.5
24
vsCCU
CCUL 71-76
+5.5
27
vsODU
ODUL 73-81
+4.5
over 13under 16avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana
31 games played
Straight up
10-21
32% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BALL | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs SELA | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs TULN | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ MCN | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ STAN | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ SCU | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCD | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs JKST | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ LAM | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCW | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ LT | L 44-65 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 18 | @USM | L 54-62 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ULM | W 76-62 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | vs NORF | W 63-54 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 31 | vsUSA | L 58-63 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSM | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsULM | W 85-79 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsTROY | L 70-90 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ TXST | L 54-59 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | @USA | W 59-56 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @APP | L 58-72 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 29 | vsGAST | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsGASO | W 69-60 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @JMU | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs CMU | W 85-80 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 12 | vsCCU | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Feb 16 | @ODU | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 19 | vsARST | L 62-79 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 21 | vsTXST | W 67-54 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 24 | @TROY | L 59-78 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 27 | @ARST | L 58-81 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−6.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
+2.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
+1.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
−10.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
−6.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−11.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−11.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
+0.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+5.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−11.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
+3.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+12.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
+5.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−1.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
−3.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
−1.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 70-90
−10.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 54-59
+3.5
17
@USA
USAW 59-56
+12.5
22
@APP
APPL 58-72
−4.5
29
vsGAST
GASTW 82-72
+11.5
31
vsGASO
GASOW 69-60
+11.5
4
@JMU
JMUW 64-61
+12.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 85-80
+2.5
12
vsCCU
CCUL 65-69
−2.5
16
@ODU
ODUL 72-83
−4.5
19
vsARST
ARSTL 62-79
−8.5
21
vsTXST
TXSTW 67-54
+16.5
24
@TROY
TROYL 59-78
−7.5
27
@ARST
ARSTL 58-81
−9.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−2.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
−25.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
−7.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
+15.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
+19.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−3.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−40.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
−9.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+2.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−17.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
−16.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+1.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
−9.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
+11.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
+24.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 70-90
+23.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 54-59
−20.5
17
@USA
USAW 59-56
−14.5
22
@APP
APPL 58-72
+5.5
29
vsGAST
GASTW 82-72
+24.5
31
vsGASO
GASOW 69-60
−15.5
4
@JMU
JMUW 64-61
−7.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 85-80
+30.5
12
vsCCU
CCUL 65-69
+1.5
16
@ODU
ODUL 72-83
+19.5
19
vsARST
ARSTL 62-79
−3.5
21
vsTXST
TXSTW 67-54
−13.5
24
@TROY
TROYL 59-78
+2.5
27
@ARST
ARSTL 58-81
−7.5
over 13under 18avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia St
8-21 overall · 7-11 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Old Dominion73–81
- Lvs Coastal71–76
- Lvs James Madison65–80
- Wvs GA Southern66–64
- L@ Old Dominion55–78
4 days since their last game.
Louisiana
10-21 overall · 7-11 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas St58–81
- L@ Troy59–78
- Wvs Texas St67–54
- Lvs Arkansas St62–79
- L@ Old Dominion72–83
4 days since their last game.