Denny Sanford Premier Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
STMN -11.5✓ UND covered by 12.5
STMN -11.5✓ UND covered by 12.5Closing total153.5Under by 20.5
 UND | This season | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| 14-16 | Record | 21-8 |
| 19-11 | ATS | 15-14 |
| 15-15 | O/U | 16-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UND 74–83 STMN · ✗ STMN (80%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| STMN | 34 | 32 | 66 |
1st half: UND 28, STMN 34 (STMN by 6). The model had STMN by 5.7 and a total of 73.4 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UND | STMN | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-44 50% | Field goals | 25-60 42% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 4-24 17% |
| 16-26 62% | Free throws | 12-20 60% |
| 25 1 off | Rebounds | 39 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli King G | 39 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Garrett Anderson G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Greyson Uelmen G | 30 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 9-11 | 1-2 |
| Josh Jones C | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kraft G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reggie Thomas G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| George Natsvlishvili F | 20 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Smith III G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Marley Curtis F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Doppler, Matthew Bothun, Karson Ouse, Ryan Erikson, Micah Curtis, Wylee Delorme
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Minessale G | 34 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 8-20 | 0-2 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 33 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-3 |
| Nick Janowski G | 32 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Austin Herro G | 30 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 29 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 18 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryan Lafferty, Tim Franks, Kyle Counts, Adam Tauer, Luka Momcilovic, Jack Tauer, Tommy Humphries Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -11.5
ModelSTMN -9.7
Model edgeUND +1.8
W UND covered
Total
Market153.5
Model157.0
Model edgeOver 3.5
L Under
Projected score
UND 73.6 · STMN 83.3
UND 67 · STMN 66
Win probability
STMN 80%
1st half
Spread
STMN -5.7
STMN -6.0
Total
73.4
62 points
Projected score
UND 33.8 · STMN 39.5
UND 28 · STMN 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -10.5
1 → STMN
CloseSTMN -11.5
1 pt toward STMN
Total
Open156.5
▼ 3
Close153.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UND +575 · STMN -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -10.5 · closed STMN -11.5 · moved 1 toward STMNmodel STMN -9.5
model STMN -9.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 downmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| STMN | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UND 4–7 STMNSTMN leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · UND 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | UND 81 @ STMN 80 | STMN -11.5 | UND W |
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | STMN 91 @ UND 80 | UND +10.5 | STMN W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UND 69 vs STMN 85 | STMN -7.5 | STMN W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UND 71 @ STMN 86 | STMN -9.5 | STMN W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | STMN 88 @ UND 80 | UND +5.5 | STMN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Dakota
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ALA | L 62-91 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 6 | vs UCR | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | vs CSUN | L 85-93 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @UCR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 19 | @ CREI | L 60-75 | +29.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 22 | vs CCU | L 58-75 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ WIU | W 78-69 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 28 | @ HAW | L 55-92 | +18.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 3 | @ IDHO | L 58-90 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONT | L 75-79 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 13 | vsWIU | L 66-69 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs WIN | W 90-88 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 21 | @ NEB | L 55-78 | +29.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 1 | vs ORU | W 72-61 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs SDST | W 90-87 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | @ OMA | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ KC | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | vsSTMN | L 80-91 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vs SDAK | W 96-80 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 22 | @ORU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ DEN | W 93-86 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @STMN | W 81-80 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 5 | vsOMA | W 76-73 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | vsDEN | L 79-98 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 11 | @SDAK | W 72-71 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | vs NDSU | L 66-83 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 19 | vsKC | W 85-70 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | @SDST | L 83-91 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 28 | @NDSU | L 63-96 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 6 | vsDEN | W 83-67 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−5.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
−1.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+5.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
+14.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−13.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+6.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−18.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−20.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
+1.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+14.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
+6.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
+9.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+10.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
−5.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+3.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 80-91
−0.5
17
vsSDAK
SDAKW 96-80
+14.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 79-62
+18.5
24
@DEN
DENW 93-86
+12.5
29
@STMN
STMNW 81-80
+12.5
5
vsOMA
OMAW 76-73
+1.5
7
vsDEN
DENL 79-98
−22.5
11
@SDAK
SDAKW 72-71
+3.5
14
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-83
−11.5
19
vsKC
KCW 85-70
+5.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 83-91
+1.5
28
@NDSU
NDSUL 63-96
−21.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 83-67
+18.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
−17.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−2.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
+19.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+1.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
−20.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−14.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+0.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−2.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−3.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
−0.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+20.5
21
@NEB
NEBL 55-78
−18.5
1
vsORU
ORUW 72-61
−15.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTW 90-87
+24.5
8
@OMA
OMAL 79-90
+22.5
10
@KC
KCW 81-79
+13.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 80-91
+19.5
17
vsSDAK
SDAKW 96-80
+15.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 79-62
−8.5
24
@DEN
DENW 93-86
+16.5
29
@STMN
STMNW 81-80
+8.5
5
vsOMA
OMAW 76-73
−1.5
7
vsDEN
DENL 79-98
+15.5
11
@SDAK
SDAKW 72-71
−13.5
14
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-83
−0.5
19
vsKC
KCW 85-70
+4.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 83-91
+22.5
28
@NDSU
NDSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 83-67
−10.5
over 15under 15avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
St Thomas
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vsUCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vsDEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vsSDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | vsSDST | W 74-69 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | @SDAK | W 90-78 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsUND | L 80-81 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vsKC | W 99-64 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 4 | @SDST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsORU | W 92-75 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 12 | @OMA | L 94-98 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 14 | @KC | W 104-64 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @DEN | L 80-82 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 26 | vsNDSU | W 84-62 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 28 | vsOMA | W 68-53 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 5 | vsSDST | W 80-67 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−1.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+1.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
−12.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+17.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
+16.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+1.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
−8.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+27.5
21
@DEN
DENL 80-82
−5.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUW 84-62
+18.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 68-53
+3.5
5
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-67
+8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−12.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+6.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
+8.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+11.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
−18.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+15.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
+35.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+13.5
21
@DEN
DENL 80-82
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUW 84-62
−9.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 68-53
−37.5
5
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-67
−3.5
over 16under 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Dakota
14-16 overall · 11-6 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Denver83–67
- L@ N Dakota St63–96
- L@ S Dakota St83–91
- Wvs Kansas City85–70
- Lvs N Dakota St66–83
1 day since their last game.
St Thomas
21-8 overall · 13-4 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Dakota St80–67
- Wvs Omaha68–53
- Wvs N Dakota St84–62
- L@ Denver80–82
- W@ Kansas City104–64
2 days since their last game.