Madison Square Garden · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
PROV -1.5✓ PROV covered by 8.5
PROV -1.5✓ PROV covered by 8.5Closing total162.5Over by 9.5
| PROV | This season | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| 14-17 | Record | 16-15 |
| 18-13 | ATS | 16-15 |
| 21-10 | O/U | 17-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PROV 87–86 BTLR · ✓ PROV (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 40 | 51 | 91 |
| BTLR | 42 | 39 | 81 |
1st half: PROV 40, BTLR 42 (BTLR by 2). The model had PROV by 0.5 and a total of 80.8 (actual 82).
Team stats
| PROV | BTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-65 52% | Field goals | 30-65 46% |
| 14-27 52% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 21 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks G | 37 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 9-16 | 8-13 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 36 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 8-22 | 3-7 |
| Ryan Mela G | 36 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 10-14 | 2-4 |
| Jamier Jones G | 30 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 26 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Hargrove F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Nilavan Daniels G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rich Barron, Jaylen Harrell, Jason Edwards, Daquan Davis, Duncan Powell, Jack Williams
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack G | 39 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 5-15 | 3-7 |
| Michael Ajayi F | 34 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 7-17 | 0-2 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. F | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Drayton Jones C | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evan Haywood G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Yohan Traore F | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Keith F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Yame Butler G | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Jackson, Jack McCaffery, Ethan McComb, Azavier Robinson, Bryson Cardinal, Kevin Ndzie
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -1.5
no move
ClosePROV -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▼ 4
Close162.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
PROV -120 · BTLR +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -1.5 · unchangedmodel PROV -0.5
model PROV -0.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 4 downmodel 173
model 173
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PROV -1.5 | PROV -0.6 | BTLR +0.9 | L PROV covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 173.0 | Over 10.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PROV 86.8 · BTLR 86.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -0.5 | BTLR -2.0 |
| 1H total | 80.8 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | PROV 40.6 · BTLR 40.1 | PROV 40 · BTLR 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PROV | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| BTLR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
PROV 8–4 BTLRPROV leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · PROV 8-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | BTLR 87 @ PROV 97 | PROV -2.5 | PROV W |
| Dec 13, 2025-26 | PROV 110 @ BTLR 113 | BTLR -3.5 | PROV W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | BTLR 75 vs PROV 69 | PROV +1.5 | BTLR W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | PROV 81 @ BTLR 82 | BTLR -4.5 | PROV W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | BTLR 65 @ PROV 84 | PROV -2.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Providence
31 games played
Straight up
14-17
45% wins
Against the spread
18-13
58% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-10
68% overs · avg +8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vs HALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @ XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vs VILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 16 | vs CREI | W 93-88 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 19 | @ MARQ | L 104-105 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 24 | vs GTWN | L 78-81 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | @CONN | L 81-87 | +15.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @VILL | L 73-87 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsBTLR | W 97-87 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | vs DEP | W 90-72 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 11 | @HALL | L 80-87 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsSJU | L 69-79 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 167.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | @DEP | W 71-68 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 25 | vsXAV | W 94-84 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 28 | @CREI | W 79-76 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 4 | vsMARQ | L 56-78 | -3.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 7 | @GTWN | L 79-80 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+7.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+1.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−8.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+9.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
−5.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+7.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+13.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
−2.5
14
vsSJU
SJUL 69-79
−3.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 71-68
+5.5
25
vsXAV
XAVW 94-84
+4.5
28
@CREI
CREIW 79-76
+6.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQL 56-78
−25.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNL 79-80
+0.5
covered 18didn’t cover 13avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+19.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+41.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−0.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+15.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
+2.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+15.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+8.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
+16.5
14
vsSJU
SJUL 69-79
−19.5
21
@DEP
DEPW 71-68
−13.5
25
vsXAV
XAVW 94-84
+7.5
28
@CREI
CREIW 79-76
−11.5
4
vsMARQ
MARQL 56-78
−27.5
7
@GTWN
GTWNL 79-80
+0.5
over 21under 10avg +8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Butler
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-14
55% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vsPROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 16 | @CONN | L 60-79 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs NU | W 61-58 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 22 | vs NJIT | W 101-52 | -32.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @CREI | L 85-89 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 3 | vsVILL | L 67-85 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 6 | vsSJU | L 70-84 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | @XAV | L 75-89 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | @HALL | W 77-66 | +6.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | vsDEP | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 23 | vsMARQ | W 87-76 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | @SJU | L 70-92 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsGTWN | L 64-77 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | @PROV | L 87-97 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @MARQ | L 55-70 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 11 | vsCONN | L 70-80 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | vsHALL | L 56-63 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 18 | @GTWN | W 93-89 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 21 | vsXAV | W 80-75 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 25 | @VILL | L 73-82 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 4 | vsCREI | L 59-76 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 7 | @DEP | W 81-71 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−3.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−0.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+16.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+1.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
−20.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−9.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
−15.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
+17.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
−0.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+5.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
−9.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−18.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
−7.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 55-70
−11.5
11
vsCONN
CONNL 70-80
+1.5
15
vsHALL
HALLL 56-63
−1.5
18
@GTWN
GTWNW 93-89
+10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 80-75
+0.5
25
@VILL
VILLL 73-82
+1.5
4
vsCREI
CREIL 59-76
−19.5
7
@DEP
DEPW 81-71
+14.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−5.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−35.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+3.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+17.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
+2.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−8.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
+2.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
−1.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
+19.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+1.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
+3.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−8.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
+15.5
7
@MARQ
MARQL 55-70
−30.5
11
vsCONN
CONNL 70-80
+6.5
15
vsHALL
HALLL 56-63
−19.5
18
@GTWN
GTWNW 93-89
+34.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 80-75
−4.5
25
@VILL
VILLL 73-82
+7.5
4
vsCREI
CREIL 59-76
−20.5
7
@DEP
DEPW 81-71
+9.5
over 17under 14avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Providence
14-17 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgetown79–80
- Lvs Marquette56–78
- W@ Creighton79–76
- Wvs Xavier94–84
- W@ DePaul71–68
4 days since their last game.
Butler
16-15 overall · 7-13 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ DePaul81–71
- Lvs Creighton59–76
- L@ Villanova73–82
- Wvs Xavier80–75
- W@ Georgetown93–89
4 days since their last game.