PPG Paints Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
#107DUQDuquesne66final
Final
#61VCUVCU71▲ winner
Closing lineVCU -6.5✓ DUQ covered by 1.5
Closing total153.5Under by 16.5
Season records: Duquesne and VCU
DUQThis seasonVCU
16-14Record24-7
13-17ATS15-16
16-14O/U15-16

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: DUQ 75–82 VCU · ✓ VCU (73%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
DUQ293766
VCU393271

1st half: DUQ 29, VCU 39 (VCU by 10). The model had VCU by 4.1 and a total of 73.2 (actual 68).

Team stats

DUQVCU
24-55 44%Field goals23-49 47%
8-25 32%3-pointers7-16 44%
10-12 83%Free throws18-25 72%
33 10 offRebounds29 8 off
16Assists11
8Steals6
4Blocks5
15Turnovers11
21Fouls15
32Points in paint26
4Fast-break points2

Players

DUQMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Jimmie Williams G3813454-101-6
Tarence Guinyard G378171-71-5
Brandon Hall G317113-91-3
David Dixon F248714-40-0
Jakub Necas F214702-40-2
Bench
Alex Williams F3220808-154-6
Jake DiMichele G53021-21-1
Maximus Edwards G51100-20-1
John Hugley IV F42001-20-1
Cam Crawford G30000-00-0

Did not play: Dom Aekins, Frederik Jellum, Lazar Milosevic, Lucas Prolla, Stef van Bussel, Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish, Arness Lawson

VCUMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Barry Evans F343321-31-2
Lazar Djokovic F3213203-81-2
Nyk Lewis G279502-41-2
Brandon Jennings G267511-31-1
Jadrian Tracey G145202-61-3
Bench
Terrence Hill Jr. G3020167-142-6
Michael Belle F2914717-100-0
Tyrell Ward G80110-10-0

Did not play: Jordan Tillery, Keyshawn Mitchell, Jordann Dumont, Obinnaya Okafor, Christian Fermin, Ahmad Nowell

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -6.5
ModelVCU -7.1
Model edgeVCU +0.6
L DUQ covered
Total
Market153.5
Model156.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
L Under
Projected score
DUQ 74.7 · VCU 81.8
DUQ 66 · VCU 71
Win probability
VCU 73%
1st half
Spread
VCU -4.1
VCU -10.0
Total
73.2
68 points
Projected score
DUQ 34.5 · VCU 38.6
DUQ 29 · VCU 39

Market

Open → close
Spread
3 pts toward DUQ
Total
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
DUQ +275 · VCU -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -9.5 · closed VCU -6.5 · moved 3 toward DUQmodel VCU -7
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 156.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Duquesne

16-14 overall · 10-9 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Rhode Island67–61
  • Wvs Richmond79–77
  • L@ Rhode Island52–64
  • L@ Saint Louis76–91
  • Lvs Davidson56–67

1 day since their last game.

VCU

24-7 overall · 15-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ Dayton68–62
  • Wvs George Mason70–65
  • Wvs Fordham82–63
  • L@ Saint Louis75–88
  • Wvs G Washington89–75

A week or more of rest.