VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
CARK -4.5✓ CARK covered by 5.5
CARK -4.5✓ CARK covered by 5.5Closing total144.5Under by 8.5
 FGCU | This season | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| 14-17 | Record | 19-11 |
| 9-22 | ATS | 19-11 |
| 15-16 | O/U | 15-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FGCU 75–77 CARK · ✓ CARK (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| CARK | 35 | 38 | 73 |
1st half: FGCU 32, CARK 35 (CARK by 3). The model had CARK by 1.6 and a total of 71.0 (actual 67).
Team stats
| FGCU | CARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-62 39% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 5-32 16% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 13-21 62% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 41 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmir Barno G | 38 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 6-11 | 0-3 |
| Michael Duax F | 35 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ellerbee G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| J.R. Konieczny F | 32 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Isaiah Malone F | 25 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rory Stewart F | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Darren Williams G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Jack Reddick G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: BB Washington, Tristen Guillouette, Evan Barlow, Brandon Dwyer, Gabe Tanner, Matt McCarthy, Chase Konieczny, George Washington III
| CARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camren Hunter G | 33 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 7-19 | 1-6 |
| Luke Moore G | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Javion Guy-King G | 28 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Ty Robinson G | 27 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Malchiah Marable F | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole McCormick G | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Harry Beauchamp G | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Truman Byrne F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Lee G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ethan Thomas, Parker Applegate, Owen Dehrmann, J.C. Shulman, R.J. Newton, Rylie Marshall, Chris Mason, Rashad Bolden
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCARK -4.5
ModelCARK -2.8
Model edgeFGCU +1.7
L CARK covered
Total
Market144.5
Model151.8
Model edgeOver 7.3
L Under
Projected score
FGCU 74.5 · CARK 77.3
FGCU 63 · CARK 73
Win probability
CARK 60%
1st half
Spread
CARK -1.6
CARK -3.0
Total
71.0
67 points
Projected score
FGCU 34.7 · CARK 36.3
FGCU 32 · CARK 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCARK -5.5
1 → FGCU
CloseCARK -4.5
1 pt toward FGCU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
FGCU +170 · CARK -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CARK -5.5 · closed CARK -4.5 · moved 1 toward FGCUmodel CARK -3
model CARK -3
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| CARK | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
FGCU 5–2 CARKFGCU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FGCU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | CARK 71 @ FGCU 75 | FGCU +1.5 | FGCU W |
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | FGCU 83 @ CARK 85 | CARK +2.5 | CARK W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CARK 71 @ FGCU 77 | FGCU -11.5 | CARK W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | FGCU 82 @ CARK 59 | CARK +4 | FGCU W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | CARK 91 @ FGCU 87 | FGCU -12.5 | CARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FGCU
31 games played
Straight up
14-17
45% wins
Against the spread
9-22
29% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-16
48% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ ILL | L 70-113 | +29.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs GASO | L 94-95 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTC | W 91-73 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SAM | W 77-62 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORU | W 93-88 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs RICE | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs KENN | L 100-102 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 3 | @ FIU | L 83-89 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAU | L 76-81 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 14 | @ UNM | L 59-75 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | @ UCF | L 80-102 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 1 | @CARK | L 83-85 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNA | W 72-55 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs APSU | L 71-82 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | vs LIP | L 77-84 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 15 | vs QUC | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs WGA | W 90-72 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | @APSU | L 62-83 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @LIP | L 71-86 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUNA | W 72-64 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | @ JAX | W 68-49 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | @ EKU | L 74-76 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ BELL | L 65-81 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 11 | vs UNF | W 90-81 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs STET | W 78-76 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | vsJAX | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 21 | vsCARK | W 75-71 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 26 | @UNF | L 70-76 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 28 | @STET | L 63-78 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 4 | vsUNA | W 69-58 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 6 | vsLIP | W 77-53 | +3.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
−13.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
−4.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+19.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
+20.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
−6.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
−3.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
−7.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
−2.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−0.5
20
@UCF
UCFL 80-102
−4.5
1
@CARK
CARKL 83-85
−4.5
3
@UNA
UNAW 72-55
+14.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-82
−14.5
10
vsLIP
LIPL 77-84
−9.5
15
vsQUC
QUCL 74-85
−12.5
17
vsWGA
WGAW 90-72
+8.5
22
@APSU
APSUL 62-83
−14.5
23
@LIP
LIPL 71-86
−9.5
29
vsUNA
UNAW 72-64
−1.5
31
@JAX
JAXW 68-49
+20.5
5
@EKU
EKUL 74-76
−0.5
7
@BELL
BELLL 65-81
−18.5
11
vsUNF
UNFW 90-81
−4.5
14
vsSTET
STETW 78-76
−9.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 86-84
−4.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 75-71
+5.5
26
@UNF
UNFL 70-76
−12.5
28
@STET
STETL 63-78
−20.5
4
vsUNA
UNAW 69-58
+2.5
6
vsLIP
LIPW 77-53
+27.5
covered 9didn’t cover 22avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
+22.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
+25.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+11.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
−15.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
+27.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
−8.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
+41.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
+17.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
+6.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−25.5
20
@UCF
UCFL 80-102
+20.5
1
@CARK
CARKL 83-85
+11.5
3
@UNA
UNAW 72-55
−20.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-82
−0.5
10
vsLIP
LIPL 77-84
+3.5
15
vsQUC
QUCL 74-85
−7.5
17
vsWGA
WGAW 90-72
+9.5
22
@APSU
APSUL 62-83
−10.5
23
@LIP
LIPL 71-86
+3.5
29
vsUNA
UNAW 72-64
−11.5
31
@JAX
JAXW 68-49
−19.5
5
@EKU
EKUL 74-76
−4.5
7
@BELL
BELLL 65-81
−5.5
11
vsUNF
UNFW 90-81
+7.5
14
vsSTET
STETW 78-76
+5.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 86-84
+33.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 75-71
−6.5
26
@UNF
UNFL 70-76
−14.5
28
@STET
STETL 63-78
−9.5
4
vsUNA
UNAW 69-58
−12.5
6
vsLIP
LIPW 77-53
−20.5
over 15under 16avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Arkansas
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UNC | L 54-94 | +31.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARK | L 56-93 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vsSAM | L 77-84 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNT | L 56-74 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 23 | vs EWU | W 92-65 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs EIU | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | @ ETSU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs LR | W 85-47 | -3.5 | W +34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 7 | @ ETAM | L 68-75 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAN | L 72-83 | +36.5 | W +25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 21 | @ SMU | L 82-99 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 1 | vsFGCU | W 85-83 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | vsSTET | W 93-73 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | @BELL | L 78-84 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | @EKU | L 75-79 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vsJAX | W 62-60 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNF | W 98-69 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | @WGA | W 86-65 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 28 | @QUC | W 100-90 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 31 | vsEKU | W 90-81 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 4 | vsUNA | W 81-60 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @LIP | W 86-78 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 9 | @UNA | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | vsBELL | W 84-76 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | vsWGA | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 19 | @STET | W 88-76 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @FGCU | L 71-75 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 25 | @APSU | W 93-88 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 28 | vsQUC | W 84-79 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Mar 6 | vsBELL | W 86-73 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−8.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−1.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
−0.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−1.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+31.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+15.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−10.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
+34.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−4.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
+25.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+7.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+4.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+8.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
−8.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−5.5
15
vsJAX
JAXW 62-60
−5.5
17
vsUNF
UNFW 98-69
+16.5
22
@WGA
WGAW 86-65
+17.5
28
@QUC
QUCW 100-90
+15.5
31
vsEKU
EKUW 90-81
+4.5
4
vsUNA
UNAW 81-60
+10.5
7
@LIP
LIPW 86-78
+11.5
9
@UNA
UNAW 72-65
+0.5
11
vsBELL
BELLW 84-76
−0.5
14
vsWGA
WGAW 79-62
+6.5
19
@STET
STETW 88-76
+2.5
21
@FGCU
FGCUL 71-75
−5.5
25
@APSU
APSUW 93-88
+9.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 84-79
+2.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 86-73
+6.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UNC
UNCL 54-94
−9.5
11
@ARK
ARKL 56-93
−9.5
16
vsSAM
SAML 77-84
+9.5
20
@UNT
UNTL 56-74
−4.5
23
vsEWU
EWUW 92-65
+2.5
25
vsEIU
EIUW 81-60
+1.5
29
@ETSU
ETSUL 57-80
−7.5
3
vsLR
LRW 85-47
−6.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 68-75
−2.5
13
@VAN
VANL 72-83
−3.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 82-99
+24.5
1
vsFGCU
FGCUW 85-83
+11.5
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-73
+18.5
8
@BELL
BELLL 78-84
+7.5
10
@EKU
EKUL 75-79
−2.5
15
vsJAX
JAXW 62-60
−14.5
17
vsUNF
UNFW 98-69
+2.5
22
@WGA
WGAW 86-65
−3.5
28
@QUC
QUCW 100-90
+31.5
31
vsEKU
EKUW 90-81
+19.5
4
vsUNA
UNAW 81-60
−6.5
7
@LIP
LIPW 86-78
+8.5
9
@UNA
UNAW 72-65
−8.5
11
vsBELL
BELLW 84-76
+9.5
14
vsWGA
WGAW 79-62
−9.5
19
@STET
STETW 88-76
+14.5
21
@FGCU
FGCUL 71-75
−6.5
25
@APSU
APSUW 93-88
+28.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 84-79
−0.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 86-73
+4.5
over 15under 15avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FGCU
14-17 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lipscomb77–53
- Wvs North Alabama69–58
- L@ Stetson63–78
- L@ North Florida70–76
- Wvs C Arkansas75–71
1 day since their last game.
C Arkansas
19-11 overall · 16-3 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bellarmine86–73
- Wvs Queens University Royals84–79
- W@ Austin Peay93–88
- L@ FGCU71–75
- W@ Stetson88–76
1 day since their last game.