CFSB Center · at Murray St · Conference game
Closing line
MUR -3.5✓ ILST covered by 8.5
MUR -3.5✓ ILST covered by 8.5Closing total159.5Under by 24.5
 ILST | This season | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| 13-7 | Record | 16-5 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 8-12 | O/U | 12-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 78–80 MUR · ✗ MUR (54%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| MUR | 29 | 36 | 65 |
1st half: ILST 35, MUR 29 (ILST by 6). The model had MUR by 0.6 and a total of 74.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| ILST | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 37 6 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Wolf G | 32 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Ty Pence G | 32 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Chase Walker F | 29 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 8-12 | 1-2 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Mason Klabo G | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Johnny Kinziger G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Landon Moore G | 23 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Barnes F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Jack Daugherty, Isaac Ericksen, Boden Skunberg, Nick Allen
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King C | 29 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Mason Miller F | 27 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Javon Jackson G | 27 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-16 | 1-4 |
| JJ Traynor F | 25 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Layne Taylor G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roman Domon G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| KJ Tenner G | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Brock Vice F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Shtolzberg, Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMUR -3.5
ModelMUR -1.2
Model edgeILST +2.3
W ILST covered
Total
Market159.5
Model158.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
W Under
Projected score
ILST 78.4 · MUR 79.6
ILST 70 · MUR 65
Win probability
MUR 54%
1st half
Spread
MUR -0.6
ILST -6.0
Total
74.0
64 points
Projected score
ILST 36.7 · MUR 37.3
ILST 35 · MUR 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -3.5
no move
CloseMUR -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 1
Close159.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ILST +136 · MUR -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -3.5 · unchangedmodel MUR -1
model MUR -1
Opened 160.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| MUR | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
ILST 3–3 MURSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · ILST has won the last 3 meetings · ILST 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | ILST 74 @ MUR 68 | MUR -7.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | ILST 61 @ MUR 59 | MUR -6.5 | ILST W |
| Dec 3, 2023-24 | MUR 72 @ ILST 76 | ILST -1.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | MUR 76 @ ILST 75 | ILST -1.5 | MUR W |
| Dec 1, 2022-23 | ILST 67 @ MUR 70 | MUR -10.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vs EVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UIC | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @INST | L 89-94 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 17 | vs BRAD | W 88-62 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNI | W 59-54 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | @ BEL | L 69-80 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−14.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
−11.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+20.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−1.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
10
vsUIC
UICL 59-63
−19.5
14
@INST
INSTL 89-94
+34.5
17
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-62
+2.5
21
vsUNI
UNIW 59-54
−19.5
24
@BEL
BELL 69-80
−1.5
over 8under 12avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Murray St
21 games played
Straight up
16-5
76% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vs MTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 18 | vsDRKE | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @VAL | W 85-79 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vsSIU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | @UIC | W 81-77 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | vsBRAD | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | @EVAN | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsVAL | W 92-79 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsINST | W 85-81 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @DRKE | L 90-101 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @UNI | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
+1.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+0.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−3.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
+14.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
+1.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+0.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−7.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
−15.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
−6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
−3.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+8.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−0.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
−10.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
−5.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+18.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−1.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
+34.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
+11.5
over 12under 9avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
13-7 overall · 6-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Belmont69–80
- Wvs Northern Iowa59–54
- Wvs Bradley88–62
- L@ Indiana St89–94
- Lvs UIC59–63
4 days since their last game.
Murray St
16-5 overall · 8-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Northern Iowa76–81
- L@ Drake90–101
- Wvs Indiana St85–81
- Wvs Valparaiso92–79
- W@ Evansville79–69
4 days since their last game.