Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
BRAD -7.5✓ EVAN covered by 3.5
BRAD -7.5✓ EVAN covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Over by 41.5
| BRAD | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 3-13 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRAD 75–68 EVAN · ✓ BRAD (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRAD | 29 | 50 | 15 | 94 |
| EVAN | 36 | 43 | 11 | 90 |
1st half: BRAD 29, EVAN 36 (EVAN by 7). The model had BRAD by 4.1 and a total of 66.9 (actual 65).
Team stats
| BRAD | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-68 50% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 23-31 74% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 35 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 35 | 35 | 5 | 7 | 12-22 | 2-6 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 34 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Demarion Burch G | 30 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| AJ Smith F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Montana Wheeler G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 27 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Corey Thomas F | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Kai Yu, Gus Rugaard, Dietrich Richardson, Matthew Zobrist, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Casey F | 41 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 38 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Leif Moeller G | 37 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 8-17 | 3-8 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 20 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Trent Hundley F | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV, Connor Turnbull, Keishon Porter, Marlon Barnes Jr., Aaron Gutman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -7.5
ModelBRAD -6.7
Model edgeEVAN +0.8
W EVAN covered
Total
Market142.5
Model142.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
W Over
Projected score
BRAD 74.7 · EVAN 68
BRAD 94 · EVAN 90
Win probability
BRAD 72%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -4.1
EVAN -7.0
Total
66.9
65 points
Projected score
BRAD 35.5 · EVAN 31.4
BRAD 29 · EVAN 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -6.5
1 → BRAD
CloseBRAD -7.5
1 pt toward BRAD
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BRAD -340 · EVAN +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -6.5 · closed BRAD -7.5 · moved 1 toward BRADmodel BRAD -6.5
model BRAD -6.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 142.5 matches the line
model 142.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRAD | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| EVAN | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
BRAD 6–1 EVANBRAD leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · BRAD has won the last 2 meetings · BRAD 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | EVAN 68 @ BRAD 76 | BRAD -11.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | BRAD 80 @ EVAN 74 | EVAN +5.5 | BRAD W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | BRAD 70 @ EVAN 73 | EVAN +9.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | EVAN 50 @ BRAD 86 | BRAD -12.5 | BRAD W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | EVAN 46 @ BRAD 91 | BRAD -19.5 | BRAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bradley
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SBU | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CMU | W 85-54 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTM | L 67-78 | -15.5 | L −26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ SF | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 19 | vs UML | W 87-77 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs PRIN | W 88-64 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCSD | L 77-87 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIB | W 74-64 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | vs WSU | W 64-60 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs NIU | W 84-55 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 18 | @ INST | W 108-99 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | vs SIU | W 73-69 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsEVAN | W 76-68 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ BEL | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ MUR | L 66-86 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs DRKE | W 93-66 | -6.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNI | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
−11.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+14.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
−11.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
+14.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−1.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
+10.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+3.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−2.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−3.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
−6.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−14.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+20.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
19
vsUML
UMLW 87-77
+14.5
24
vsPRIN
PRINW 88-64
+10.5
25
vsUCSD
UCSDL 77-87
+18.5
26
vsLIB
LIBW 74-64
−6.5
2
vsWSU
WSUW 64-60
−24.5
6
vsNIU
NIUW 84-55
−7.5
18
@INST
INSTW 108-99
+56.5
21
vsSIU
SIUW 73-69
−10.5
29
vsEVAN
EVANW 76-68
−0.5
1
@BEL
BELL 78-88
+12.5
4
@MUR
MURL 66-86
−10.5
7
vsDRKE
DRKEW 93-66
+14.5
10
vsUNI
UNIW 75-69
+12.5
over 8under 9avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vsBEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vsUNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vsMUR | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | @INST | W 72-69 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−1.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
+10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−5.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
−4.5
over 6under 10avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bradley
11-6 overall · 5-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northern Iowa75–69
- Wvs Drake93–66
- L@ Murray St66–86
- L@ Belmont78–88
- Wvs Evansville76–68
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
3-13 overall · 1-6 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana St72–69
- Lvs Murray St69–79
- Lvs Northern Iowa48–62
- L@ Illinois St47–73
- L@ Bradley68–76
3 days since their last game.