Davey L. Whitney Complex · at Alcorn St · Conference game
Closing line
TXSO -1.5✓ ALCN covered by 0.5
TXSO -1.5✓ ALCN covered by 0.5Closing total146.5Under by 3.5
| TXSO | This season | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| 1-12 | Record | 2-13 |
| 2-11 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXSO 77–76 ALCN · ✓ TXSO (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| ALCN | 32 | 39 | 71 |
1st half: TXSO 34, ALCN 32 (TXSO by 2). The model had TXSO by 0.5 and a total of 71.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| TXSO | ALCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-50 48% | Field goals | 22-52 42% |
| 3-9 33% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 21-33 64% | Free throws | 21-23 91% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TXSO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaire Hayes G | 37 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Alex Anderson G | 35 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Roberts G | 34 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 8-12 | 2-4 |
| Troy Hupstead F | 30 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Josh Akpovwa F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Andrews F | 30 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Zytarious Mortle G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Duane Posey G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Wysinger G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Gorecki, Ahmed Nedal, Jordan Hamilton, Kehlin Farooq, Josh Farmer, Kolby Granger, Oumar Koureissi, Cameron Patterson
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Woodard SF | 39 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Davian Williams PG | 38 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Jameel Morris G | 34 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 17 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omari Hamilton F | 18 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Hawkins, Mike Jones, William Henderson, Ray Glasgow
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTXSO -1.5
ModelTXSO -0.6
Model edgeALCN +0.9
W ALCN covered
Total
Market146.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 6.2
L Under
Projected score
TXSO 76.7 · ALCN 76.1
TXSO 72 · ALCN 71
Win probability
TXSO 52%
1st half
Spread
TXSO -0.5
TXSO -2.0
Total
71.5
66 points
Projected score
TXSO 36 · ALCN 35.5
TXSO 34 · ALCN 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALCN -1.5
3 → TXSO
CloseTXSO -1.5
3 pts toward TXSO
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TXSO -112 · ALCN -108
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALCN -1.5 · closed TXSO -1.5 · moved 3 toward TXSOmodel TXSO -0.5
model TXSO -0.5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| ALCN | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TXSO 5–5 ALCNSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · TXSO has won the last 2 meetings · TXSO 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | TXSO 75 @ ALCN 59 | ALCN -0.5 | TXSO W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ALCN 57 @ TXSO 66 | TXSO -8.5 | TXSO W |
| Mar 4, 2023-24 | ALCN 82 @ TXSO 79 | TXSO -4.5 | ALCN W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | TXSO 72 @ ALCN 61 | ALCN -1.5 | TXSO W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | TXSO 66 vs ALCN 62 | ALCN -1.5 | TXSO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Southern
13 games played
Straight up
1-12
8% wins
Against the spread
2-11
15% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GONZ | L 43-98 | +29.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ TA&M | L 70-104 | +29.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs SAM | L 90-93 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 15 | @ TXST | L 67-77 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 20 | @ VAN | L 74-109 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 6 | vs SHSU | L 70-82 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 14 | @ MINN | L 53-89 | +21.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ NCSU | L 72-108 | +34.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 22 | vs ACU | L 68-75 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 3 | @ SOU | L 73-84 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 5 | @ GRAM | L 67-84 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs UAPB | L 66-74 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 12 | vs MVSU | W 84-51 | -12.5 | W +20.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GONZ
GONZL 43-98
−25.5
6
@TA&M
TA&ML 70-104
−4.5
12
vsSAM
SAML 90-93
−0.5
15
@TXST
TXSTL 67-77
−5.5
20
@VAN
VANL 74-109
+1.5
6
vsSHSU
SHSUL 70-82
−4.5
14
@MINN
MINNL 53-89
−14.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 72-108
−1.5
22
vsACU
ACUL 68-75
−2.5
3
@SOU
SOUL 73-84
−4.5
5
@GRAM
GRAML 67-84
−11.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBL 66-74
−9.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 84-51
+20.5
covered 2didn’t cover 11avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GONZ
GONZL 43-98
−16.5
6
@TA&M
TA&ML 70-104
+12.5
12
vsSAM
SAML 90-93
+29.5
15
@TXST
TXSTL 67-77
−0.5
20
@VAN
VANL 74-109
+18.5
6
vsSHSU
SHSUL 70-82
−6.5
14
@MINN
MINNL 53-89
−2.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 72-108
+27.5
22
vsACU
ACUL 68-75
+4.5
3
@SOU
SOUL 73-84
+3.5
5
@GRAM
GRAML 67-84
+4.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBL 66-74
−22.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 84-51
−7.5
over 7under 6avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alcorn St
15 games played
Straight up
2-13
13% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FSU | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 6 | @ USA | L 70-76 | +18.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @MINN | L 50-95 | +31.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ MD | L 64-84 | +29.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 13 | @ HOW | L 64-72 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ LSU | L 81-107 | +32.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 23 | @ OU | L 53-72 | +31.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs INST | W 81-74 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 29 | @ LT | L 58-83 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ ISU | L 68-132 | +42.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 19 | @ BAY | L 56-113 | +35.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 29 | @ MISS | L 43-79 | +28.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ JKST | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 10 | @ AAMU | W 64-62 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ ALST | L 66-81 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
−4.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+12.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−13.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+9.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−1.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+6.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
+12.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+19.5
29
@LT
LTL 58-83
−8.5
3
@ISU
ISUL 68-132
−21.5
19
@BAY
BAYL 56-113
−21.5
29
@MISS
MISSL 43-79
−7.5
3
@JKST
JKSTL 86-89
+2.5
10
@AAMU
AAMUW 64-62
+11.5
12
@ALST
ALSTL 66-81
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
+27.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+4.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−7.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+1.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−18.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+32.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
−35.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 58-83
+3.5
3
@ISU
ISUL 68-132
+48.5
19
@BAY
BAYL 56-113
+8.5
29
@MISS
MISSL 43-79
−26.5
3
@JKST
JKSTL 86-89
+29.5
10
@AAMU
AAMUW 64-62
−14.5
12
@ALST
ALSTL 66-81
−4.5
over 9under 6avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Southern
1-12 overall · 1-3 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Miss Valley St84–51
- Lvs AR-Pine Bluff66–74
- L@ Grambling67–84
- L@ Southern73–84
- Lvs Abilene Chrstn68–75
5 days since their last game.
Alcorn St
2-13 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Alabama St66–81
- W@ Alabama A&M64–62
- L@ Jackson St86–89
- L@ Ole Miss43–79
- L@ Baylor56–113
5 days since their last game.