Charles E. Smith Center · at G Washington · Conference game
Closing line
GW -11.5✓ FOR covered by 25.5
Closing total150.5Under by 6.5
| This season | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-10 | Record | 12-8 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 4-14 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FOR 68–81 GW · ✗ GW (86%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOR | 34 | 45 | 79 |
| GW | 31 | 34 | 65 |
1st half: FOR 34, GW 31 (FOR by 3). The model had GW by 7.4 and a total of 69.5 (actual 65).
Team stats
| FOR | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-62 48% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 7-12 58% |
| 46 16 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| FOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejour Reaves G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8-18 | 0-5 |
| Rikus Schulte F | 33 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Akira Jacobs F | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Christian Henry G | 29 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Jack Whitbourn C | 20 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Louis Lesmond G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Roor Akhuar F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Abass Bodija F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Greene G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kingston Price G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jameson O'Toole, Ryan Pettis, Aidan Crotty, Max Miller, Zarique Nutter, Jace Howard
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Johnson F | 31 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Christian Jones G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5-13 | 3-6 |
| Trey Autry G | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Luke Hunger F | 22 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 30 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Tre Dinkins G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Trey Moss, Mohamed Binzagr, Rafael Castro, Jalen Rougier-Roane
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGW -11.5
ModelGW -12.6
Model edgeGW +1.1
L FOR covered
Total
Market150.5
Model148.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
W Under
Projected score
FOR 67.9 · GW 80.5
FOR 79 · GW 65
Win probability
GW 86%
1st half
Spread
GW -7.4
FOR -3.0
Total
69.5
65 points
Projected score
FOR 31 · GW 38.4
FOR 34 · GW 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -11.5
no move
CloseGW -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 4
Close150.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
FOR +575 · GW -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -11.5 · unchangedmodel GW -12.5
model GW -12.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | |
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
FOR 3–3 GWSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · GW has won the last 2 meetings · FOR 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | FOR 81 vs GW 88 | GW -6.5 | GW W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | GW 81 @ FOR 58 | FOR +3.5 | GW W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | FOR 119 @ GW 113 | GW -3.5 | FOR W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | GW 70 @ FOR 85 | FOR -3.5 | FOR W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | GW 66 @ FOR 70 | FOR -4.5 | GW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fordham
18 games played
Straight up
8-10
44% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-14
22% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | L 61-72 | -14.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 63-61 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 71-76 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 69-53 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 62-72 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 69-70 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 75-54 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 82-53 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 65-47 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 56-63 | +16.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 4 | vs | L 75-83 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 81-77 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 56-78 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 63-74 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 64-58 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
NJIT
L 61-72
−25.5
11
vs
WAG
W 63-61
−10.5
14
@
IONA
L 71-76
+0.5
20
vs
LIU
W 69-53
+11.5
29
vs
UALB
W 88-68
+9.5
30
vs
COLG
L 62-72
−8.5
6
vs
HC
L 69-70
−11.5
10
vs
FDU
W 75-54
+9.5
13
vs
MAN
W 82-53
+20.5
22
vs
NHVN
W 65-47
+4.5
31
@
DAY
L 56-63
+9.5
4
vs
RICH
L 75-83
−5.5
7
vs
GMU
L 58-67
−3.5
10
@
SBU
W 81-77
+12.5
14
@
SLU
L 56-78
−4.5
17
vs
DUQ
L 63-74
−9.5
21
@
DAV
L 63-68
−0.5
28
vs
LAS
W 64-58
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
NJIT
L 61-72
−14.5
11
vs
WAG
W 63-61
−15.5
14
@
IONA
L 71-76
−10.5
20
vs
LIU
W 69-53
−23.5
29
vs
UALB
W 88-68
+12.5
30
vs
COLG
L 62-72
−8.5
6
vs
HC
L 69-70
+0.5
10
vs
FDU
W 75-54
−12.5
13
vs
MAN
W 82-53
−12.5
22
vs
NHVN
W 65-47
−15.5
31
@
DAY
L 56-63
−20.5
4
vs
RICH
L 75-83
+15.5
7
vs
GMU
L 58-67
−9.5
10
@
SBU
W 81-77
+15.5
14
@
SLU
L 56-78
−20.5
17
vs
DUQ
L 63-74
−8.5
21
@
DAV
L 63-68
−4.5
28
vs
LAS
W 64-58
−14.5
over 4under 14avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
G Washington
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 99-85 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 77-55 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 101-66 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 79-84 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 64-69 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 85-69 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 76-79 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ME
W 67-47
−0.5
8
vs
USF
W 99-95
+5.5
12
vs
AMER
W 107-67
+22.5
15
vs
ODU
W 96-73
+7.5
19
vs
UMBC
W 89-52
+14.5
23
vs
MCN
L 86-92
−11.5
24
vs
MTSU
W 92-79
+3.5
25
vs
MUR
L 95-96
−8.5
2
@
ARMY
W 84-70
−5.5
6
vs
W&M
W 99-86
−0.5
10
vs
DEL
L 58-70
−33.5
13
vs
FLA
L 70-80
+4.5
31
@
RICH
W 99-85
+11.5
3
vs
LAS
W 77-55
+5.5
6
@
DAY
L 72-79
−4.5
10
vs
LUC
W 101-66
+20.5
14
vs
DAV
L 79-84
−14.5
19
@
GMU
L 64-69
−3.5
24
vs
RICH
W 85-69
+5.5
27
@
SLU
L 76-79
+7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
ME
W 67-47
−29.5
8
vs
USF
W 99-95
+34.5
12
vs
AMER
W 107-67
+22.5
15
vs
ODU
W 96-73
+13.5
19
vs
UMBC
W 89-52
−19.5
23
vs
MCN
L 86-92
+20.5
24
vs
MTSU
W 92-79
+12.5
25
vs
MUR
L 95-96
+23.5
2
@
ARMY
W 84-70
−2.5
6
vs
W&M
W 99-86
+10.5
10
vs
DEL
L 58-70
−24.5
13
vs
FLA
L 70-80
−12.5
31
@
RICH
W 99-85
+21.5
3
vs
LAS
W 77-55
−18.5
6
@
DAY
L 72-79
−3.5
10
vs
LUC
W 101-66
+12.5
14
vs
DAV
L 79-84
+12.5
19
@
GMU
L 64-69
−20.5
24
vs
RICH
W 85-69
−5.5
27
@
SLU
L 76-79
−12.5
over 10under 10avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fordham
8-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs La Salle64–58
- L@ Davidson63–68
- Lvs Duquesne63–74
- L@ Saint Louis56–78
- W@ St Bonaventure81–77
3 days since their last game.
G Washington
12-8 overall · 4-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Louis76–79
- Wvs Richmond85–69
- L@ George Mason64–69
- Lvs Davidson79–84
- Wvs Loyola Chicago101–66
4 days since their last game.