Desert Financial Arena · at Arizona St · Conference game
Closing line
KU -5.5✓ ASU covered by 15.5
KU -5.5✓ ASU covered by 15.5Closing total151.5Under by 21.5
| KU | This season | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| 21-8 | Record | 15-14 |
| 18-11 | ATS | 18-11 |
| 9-20 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KU 79–72 ASU · ✗ KU (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 20 | 40 | 60 |
| ASU | 40 | 30 | 70 |
1st half: KU 20, ASU 40 (ASU by 20). The model had KU by 3.8 and a total of 70.6 (actual 60).
Team stats
| KU | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-72 29% | Field goals | 19-59 32% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 24-30 80% |
| 55 25 off | Rebounds | 43 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 39 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 38 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Tre White G | 38 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 6-17 | 4-9 |
| Darryn Peterson G | 34 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 3-18 | 2-11 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 26 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari McDowell G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Elmarko Jackson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Cross, Will Thengvall, Samis Calderon, Paul Mbiya, Wilder Evers, Jayden Dawson, Nginyu Ngala, Corbin Allen
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massamba Diop C | 36 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 8-17 | 2-4 |
| Maurice Odum G | 36 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 5-12 | 5-10 |
| Noah Meeusen G | 28 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 25 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Johnson G | 28 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Ford G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kash Polk, Quentin McCoy, Trevor Best, Marcus Adams Jr., Vijay Wallace, Dame Salane, Adante' Holiman, Jovan Icitovic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -5.5
ModelKU -6.1
Model edgeKU +0.6
L ASU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model150.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
W Under
Projected score
KU 78.5 · ASU 72.4
KU 60 · ASU 70
Win probability
KU 70%
1st half
Spread
KU -3.8
ASU -20.0
Total
70.6
60 points
Projected score
KU 37.2 · ASU 33.4
KU 20 · ASU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -5.5
no move
CloseKU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
KU -265 · ASU +215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -5.5 · unchangedmodel KU -6
model KU -6
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| ASU | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KU 1–0 ASUKU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · KU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | ASU 55 @ KU 74 | KU -15.5 | KU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-20
31% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs CONN | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs MIZ | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ NCSU | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOW | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs DAV | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCF | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vs TCU | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @ WVU | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vs ISU | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vs BAY | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @ COLO | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ KSU | W 86-62 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | vs BYU | W 90-82 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 2 | @ TTU | W 64-61 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs UTAH | W 71-59 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | vs ARIZ | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ISU | L 56-74 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @ OKST | W 81-69 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vs CIN | L 68-84 | -8.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 23 | vs HOU | W 69-56 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | @ARIZ | L 61-84 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−1.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
+14.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+2.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
+9.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+14.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−10.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
−2.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
−13.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
+24.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
+10.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
+1.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
+19.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+5.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
+6.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−6.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+9.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−10.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
+4.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
−24.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
+15.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−13.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
2
vsCONN
CONNL 56-61
−24.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZW 80-60
−10.5
13
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+4.5
16
vsTOW
TOWW 73-49
−15.5
22
vsDAV
DAVW 90-61
+11.5
3
@UCF
UCFL 75-81
−1.5
6
vsTCU
TCUW 104-100
+60.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 75-86
+21.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 84-63
−5.5
16
vsBAY
BAYW 80-62
−14.5
20
@COLO
COLOW 75-69
−11.5
24
@KSU
KSUW 86-62
−10.5
31
vsBYU
BYUW 90-82
+12.5
2
@TTU
TTUW 64-61
−30.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 71-59
−20.5
9
vsARIZ
ARIZW 82-78
+7.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 56-74
−17.5
18
@OKST
OKSTW 81-69
−8.5
21
vsCIN
CINL 68-84
+12.5
23
vsHOU
HOUW 69-56
−13.5
28
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-84
−6.5
over 9under 20avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona St
29 games played
Straight up
15-14
52% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsCOLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vsKSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ARIZ | L 82-89 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 18 | @HOU | L 73-103 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vsWVU | L 63-75 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vsCIN | W 82-68 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @UCF | L 76-79 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsARIZ | L 74-87 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 4 | @UTAH | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @COLO | L 70-78 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 10 | vsOKST | W 85-76 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 17 | vsTTU | W 72-67 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | @BAY | L 68-73 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | @TCU | L 78-90 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | vsUTAH | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+14.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
−11.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−13.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+17.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
+3.5
31
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-87
+1.5
4
@UTAH
UTAHW 71-63
+9.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−4.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+5.5
17
vsTTU
TTUW 72-67
+12.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 68-73
+3.5
24
@TCU
TCUL 78-90
−5.5
28
vsUTAH
UTAHW 73-60
+6.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+3.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
+33.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−7.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+3.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
−6.5
31
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-87
−2.5
4
@UTAH
UTAHW 71-63
−27.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−10.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−2.5
17
vsTTU
TTUW 72-67
−17.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 68-73
−16.5
24
@TCU
TCUL 78-90
+18.5
28
vsUTAH
UTAHW 73-60
−17.5
over 14under 15avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas
21-8 overall · 11-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona61–84
- Wvs Houston69–56
- Lvs Cincinnati68–84
- W@ Oklahoma St81–69
- L@ Iowa State56–74
3 days since their last game.
Arizona St
15-14 overall · 6-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah73–60
- L@ TCU78–90
- L@ Baylor68–73
- Wvs Texas Tech72–67
- Wvs Oklahoma St85–76
3 days since their last game.