Marriott Center · at BYU · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -1.5✓ HOU covered by 9.5
HOU -1.5✓ HOU covered by 9.5Closing total151.5Under by 8.5
| HOU | This season | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| 20-2 | Record | 17-5 |
| 13-9 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOU 76–74 BYU · ✓ HOU (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 37 | 40 | 77 |
| BYU | 31 | 35 | 66 |
1st half: HOU 37, BYU 31 (HOU by 6). The model had HOU by 1.5 and a total of 69.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| HOU | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 16-28 57% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 36 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 40 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2-10 | 2-5 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 35 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 8-18 | 0-3 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 34 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 29 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 24 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kalifa Sakho F | 16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mercy Miller G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Cedric Lath, Chase McCarty, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-3 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 35 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 9-14 | 3-4 |
| Richie Saunders G | 33 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 29 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Keba Keita F | 22 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Khadim Mboup F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brody Kozlowski, Tyler Mrus, Nate Pickens, KJ Perry, Xavion Staton, Jared McGregor, Dawson Baker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -1.5
ModelHOU -2.3
Model edgeHOU +0.8
W HOU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model149.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
W Under
Projected score
HOU 75.8 · BYU 73.5
HOU 77 · BYU 66
Win probability
HOU 58%
1st half
Spread
HOU -1.5
HOU -6.0
Total
69.9
68 points
Projected score
HOU 35.7 · BYU 34.2
HOU 37 · BYU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -2.5
1 → BYU
CloseHOU -1.5
1 pt toward BYU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
HOU -118 · BYU -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -2.5 · closed HOU -1.5 · moved 1 toward BYUmodel HOU -2.5
model HOU -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| BYU | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HOU 3–0 BYUHOU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 3 meetings · HOU 3-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | BYU 54 vs HOU 74 | HOU -6.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | BYU 55 @ HOU 86 | HOU -10.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | HOU 75 @ BYU 68 | BYU +1.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Houston
22 games played
Straight up
20-2
91% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vs TTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs WVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vs ASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @ TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCIN | W 76-54 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vs UCF | W 79-55 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
+8.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
+8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
31
vsCIN
CINW 76-54
−5.5
4
vsUCF
UCFW 79-55
−12.5
over 10under 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
22 games played
Straight up
17-5
77% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @ KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | vsASU | W 104-76 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTAH | W 89-84 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | vsTCU | W 76-70 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @TTU | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTAH | W 91-78 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | vs ARIZ | L 83-86 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ KU | L 82-90 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 4 | @ OKST | L 92-99 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+10.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
−9.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−7.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
−6.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
−1.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
−5.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
−15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+11.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
+4.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−16.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
+0.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
+2.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
+12.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
+23.5
over 12under 10avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Houston
20-2 overall · 8-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCF79–55
- Wvs Cincinnati76–54
- W@ TCU79–70
- L@ Texas Tech86–90
- Wvs Arizona St103–73
3 days since their last game.
BYU
17-5 overall · 5-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St92–99
- L@ Kansas82–90
- Lvs Arizona83–86
- Wvs Utah91–78
- L@ Texas Tech71–84
3 days since their last game.