Desert Financial Arena · at Arizona St · Conference game
Closing line
CIN -3.5✓ ASU covered by 17.5
CIN -3.5✓ ASU covered by 17.5Closing total146.5Over by 3.5
| CIN | This season | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-9 | Record | 10-9 |
| 8-11 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 5-14 | O/U | 12-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 76–74 ASU · ✗ CIN (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 33 | 35 | 68 |
| ASU | 37 | 45 | 82 |
1st half: CIN 33, ASU 37 (ASU by 4). The model had CIN by 1.5 and a total of 69.9 (actual 70).
Team stats
| CIN | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 13-28 46% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 34 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 8-15 | 0-2 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 30 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Jizzle James G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 27 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Sencire Harris G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Kerr Kriisa G | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Shon Abaev F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Jalen Haynes, Grant Darbyshire
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 37 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 10-17 | 6-11 |
| Massamba Diop C | 32 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 25 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Ford G | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 17 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 23 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vijay Wallace, Jovan Icitovic, Adante' Holiman, Dame Salane, Kash Polk, Trevor Best, Quentin McCoy, Marcus Adams Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -3.5
no move
CloseCIN -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 4
Close146.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
CIN -162 · ASU +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -3.5 · unchangedmodel CIN -2.5
model CIN -2.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -3.5 | CIN -2.3 | ASU +1.2 | W ASU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 149.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CIN 75.8 · ASU 73.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -1.5 | ASU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 35.7 · ASU 34.2 | CIN 33 · ASU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| ASU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 1–0 ASUCIN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CIN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ASU 60 @ CIN 67 | CIN -10.5 | ASU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-14
26% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs ISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ ARIZ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−24.5
over 5under 14avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona St
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vsGAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsCOLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @ BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs KSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ARIZ | L 82-89 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 18 | @HOU | L 73-103 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vsWVU | L 63-75 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+14.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
−11.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+3.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
+33.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−7.5
over 12under 7avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
10-9 overall · 2-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona51–77
- Wvs Iowa State79–70
- Wvs Colorado77–68
- L@ UCF72–73
- L@ West Virginia60–62
3 days since their last game.
Arizona St
10-9 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs West Virginia63–75
- L@ Houston73–103
- L@ Arizona82–89
- Wvs Kansas St87–84
- L@ BYU76–104
3 days since their last game.