Desert Financial Arena · at Arizona St · Conference game
Closing line
ASU -1.5✓ ASU covered by 1.5
ASU -1.5✓ ASU covered by 1.5Closing total169.5Over by 1.5
 KSU | This season | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-6 | Record | 9-6 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 83–83 ASU · ✓ ASU (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| ASU | 36 | 51 | 87 |
1st half: KSU 38, ASU 36 (KSU by 2). The model had ASU by 0.1 and a total of 77.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| KSU | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-70 40% | Field goals | 30-64 47% |
| 13-31 42% | 3-pointers | 3-22 14% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 24-32 75% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 48 18 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 10 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 38 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 7-19 | 3-7 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 35 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 8-16 | 6-12 |
| Nate Johnson G | 26 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 26 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-2 |
| Taj Manning F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dorin Buca C | 19 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mobi Ikegwuruka, Marcus Johnson, Exavier Wilson, CJ Jones, Stephen Osei
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 38 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 8-17 | 2-7 |
| Massamba Diop C | 31 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 28 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 25 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 5-12 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 23 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 31 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
Did not play: Trevor Best, Vijay Wallace, Quentin McCoy, Bryce Ford, Dame Salane, Kash Polk, Jovan Icitovic, Marcus Adams Jr., Adante' Holiman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketASU -1.5
ModelASU -0.4
Model edgeKSU +1.1
L ASU covered
Total
Market169.5
Model166.3
Model edgeUnder 3.2
L Over
Projected score
KSU 83 · ASU 83.4
KSU 84 · ASU 87
Win probability
ASU 51%
1st half
Spread
ASU -0.1
KSU -2.0
Total
77.8
74 points
Projected score
KSU 38.9 · ASU 39
KSU 38 · ASU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -1.5
3 → ASU
CloseASU -1.5
3 pts toward ASU
Total
Open170.5
▼ 1
Close169.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
KSU +102 · ASU -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -1.5 · closed ASU -1.5 · moved 3 toward ASUmodel ASU -0.5
model ASU -0.5
Opened 170.5 · closed 169.5 · moved 1 downmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| ASU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KSU 2–1 ASUKSU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · KSU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | ASU 66 vs KSU 71 | KSU -6.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | ASU 66 @ KSU 54 | KSU -6.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | KSU 71 @ ASU 70 | ASU -3.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UNCG | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs BELL | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAL | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs TLSA | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs MSST | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs NEB | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ IU | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs BGSU | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs HALL | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs MVSU | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ CREI | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDAK | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs ULM | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BYU | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARIZ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+0.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−6.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−28.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−13.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
+20.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
+11.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+8.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
−23.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−2.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
−7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
21
vsNEB
NEBL 85-86
+2.5
25
@IU
IUL 69-86
−9.5
1
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-82
−11.5
6
vsHALL
HALLL 67-78
−3.5
8
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-49
−3.5
13
@CREI
CREIW 83-76
−0.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-76
+5.5
28
vsULM
ULMW 94-85
+9.5
3
vsBYU
BYUL 73-83
−18.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 76-101
+5.5
over 9under 6avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona St
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
over 9under 6avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
9-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona76–101
- Lvs BYU73–83
- Wvs UL Monroe94–85
- Wvs South Dakota106–76
- W@ Creighton83–76
3 days since their last game.
Arizona St
9-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ BYU76–104
- Lvs Colorado89–95
- Lvs Oregon St75–78
- L@ UCLA77–90
- Wvs Santa Clara82–79
3 days since their last game.