Dunn-Oliver Acadome · at Alabama St · Conference game
Closing line
BCU -1.5✓ BCU covered by 13.5
Closing total152.5Under by 29.5
| This season | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 5-14 |
| 8-11 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BCU 79–77 ALST · ✓ BCU (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BCU | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| ALST | 29 | 25 | 54 |
1st half: BCU 29, ALST 29 (tied). The model had BCU by 1.2 and a total of 72.8 (actual 58).
Team stats
| BCU | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-50 50% | Field goals | 21-56 38% |
| 4-12 33% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 15-24 63% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 40 12 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 12 | Fouls | 22 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady G | 38 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Doctor Bradley G | 32 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Seneca Willoughby G | 27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Daniel Perez-Rouzan F | 23 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Andrews G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arterio Morris G | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ariel Bland F | 18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Quentin Heady F | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Johnson G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Trayvon Barbary, William Gonzalez, Dailon Minor, Reggie Ward Jr., Rickey Mitchell Jr., Simeon Womack, David Onanina
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Byrd G | 36 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Micah Simpson G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 31 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| JaSteven Walker F | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarien Yates F | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Mack G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Mario Andrews C | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| R'Chaun King F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jordon Marshall G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damion Cox Jr., Tyler Mason, Kevin Alabi, Damarion Bonds, Trey Miller, Asjon Anderson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBCU -1.5
ModelBCU -1.8
Model edgeBCU +0.3
W BCU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model155.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
BCU 78.6 · ALST 76.9
BCU 69 · ALST 54
Win probability
BCU 56%
1st half
Spread
BCU -1.2
tied
Total
72.8
58 points
Projected score
BCU 37 · ALST 35.8
BCU 29 · ALST 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBCU -2.5
1 → ALST
CloseBCU -1.5
1 pt toward ALST
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BCU -118 · ALST -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BCU -2.5 · closed BCU -1.5 · moved 1 toward ALSTmodel BCU -2
model BCU -2
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BCU 6–2 ALSTBCU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · BCU has won the last 6 meetings · BCU 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | BCU 70 @ ALST 68 | ALST -3.5 | BCU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | ALST 64 @ BCU 67 | BCU -1.5 | BCU W |
| Feb 26, 2023-24 | ALST 84 @ BCU 90 | BCU -2.5 | BCU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | BCU 79 @ ALST 68 | ALST -4.5 | BCU W |
| Feb 20, 2022-23 | BCU 70 @ ALST 65 | ALST -3.5 | BCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bethune
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 90-95 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 61-101 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 82-91 | +21.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 76-73 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 64-69 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 54-61 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 56-100 | +29.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 5 | vs | W 80-59 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 60-82 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 53-112 | +26.5 | L −32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 71-107 | +39.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 77-103 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 87-83 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 74-65 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 79-63 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 19 | @ | W 87-82 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 85-48 | -8.5 | W +28.5 | 156.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 26 | vs | W 82-73 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
AUB
L 90-95
+19.5
6
@
MIA
L 61-101
−23.5
15
@
DAY
L 82-91
+12.5
19
@
OHIO
W 76-73
+9.5
24
vs
JAX
L 64-69
−8.5
25
vs
STBK
L 54-61
−11.5
29
@
IU
L 56-100
−14.5
5
vs
SCST
W 80-59
+7.5
14
@
MIZ
L 60-82
−1.5
17
@
SLU
L 53-112
−32.5
22
@
ARIZ
L 71-107
+3.5
29
@
OKST
L 77-103
−5.5
3
vs
FAMU
W 87-83
−3.5
10
vs
GRAM
W 74-65
+5.5
12
vs
SOU
L 73-77
−7.5
17
@
MVSU
W 79-63
−0.5
19
@
UAPB
W 87-82
+2.5
24
vs
JKST
W 85-48
+28.5
26
vs
ALCN
W 82-73
−4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
AUB
L 90-95
+31.5
6
@
MIA
L 61-101
+7.5
15
@
DAY
L 82-91
+24.5
19
@
OHIO
W 76-73
−8.5
24
vs
JAX
L 64-69
−10.5
25
vs
STBK
L 54-61
−30.5
29
@
IU
L 56-100
+7.5
5
vs
SCST
W 80-59
−9.5
14
@
MIZ
L 60-82
−4.5
17
@
SLU
L 53-112
+7.5
22
@
ARIZ
L 71-107
+23.5
29
@
OKST
L 77-103
+15.5
3
vs
FAMU
W 87-83
+24.5
10
vs
GRAM
W 74-65
−5.5
12
vs
SOU
L 73-77
−1.5
17
@
MVSU
W 79-63
−2.5
19
@
UAPB
W 87-82
+13.5
24
vs
JKST
W 85-48
−23.5
26
vs
ALCN
W 82-73
+7.5
over 10under 9avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama St
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 56-94 | +17.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 89-69 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 5 | @ | L 79-90 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 64-75 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs | W 81-66 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 19 | vs | L 69-73 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 95-80 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 64-96 | +2.5 | L −29.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
FSU
L 64-101
−12.5
11
@
UAB
W 77-74
+22.5
17
@
COLO
L 66-94
−5.5
19
@
AF
L 64-66
+0.5
21
vs
IUIN
W 101-80
+23.5
23
vs
SIUE
L 68-83
−13.5
26
@
UNM
L 87-93
+13.5
7
@
UTM
L 64-74
−3.5
11
@
MIZ
L 77-85
+18.5
17
@
CIN
L 51-88
−15.5
22
@
MEM
L 67-88
−0.5
29
@
MSST
L 56-94
−20.5
3
@
MVSU
W 89-69
+6.5
5
@
UAPB
L 79-90
−12.5
10
vs
JKST
L 64-75
−18.5
12
vs
ALCN
W 81-66
+5.5
19
vs
AAMU
L 69-73
−5.5
24
@
PV
W 95-80
+13.5
27
@
TXSO
L 64-96
−29.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
FSU
L 64-101
−1.5
11
@
UAB
W 77-74
−13.5
17
@
COLO
L 66-94
+3.5
19
@
AF
L 64-66
−8.5
21
vs
IUIN
W 101-80
−0.5
23
vs
SIUE
L 68-83
+8.5
26
@
UNM
L 87-93
+31.5
7
@
UTM
L 64-74
−6.5
11
@
MIZ
L 77-85
+6.5
17
@
CIN
L 51-88
−6.5
22
@
MEM
L 67-88
+3.5
29
@
MSST
L 56-94
−4.5
3
@
MVSU
W 89-69
+13.5
5
@
UAPB
L 79-90
+9.5
10
vs
JKST
L 64-75
−14.5
12
vs
ALCN
W 81-66
−4.5
19
vs
AAMU
L 69-73
−4.5
24
@
PV
W 95-80
+16.5
27
@
TXSO
L 64-96
+4.5
over 9under 10avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bethune
8-11 overall · 6-1 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St82–73
- Wvs Jackson St85–48
- W@ AR-Pine Bluff87–82
- W@ Miss Valley St79–63
- Lvs Southern73–77
5 days since their last game.
Alabama St
5-14 overall · 3-4 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas Southern64–96
- W@ Prairie View95–80
- Lvs Alabama A&M69–73
- Wvs Alcorn St81–66
- Lvs Jackson St64–75
4 days since their last game.