Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
IU -3.5✓ WIS covered by 2.5
IU -3.5✓ WIS covered by 2.5Closing total157.5Under by 2.5
 WIS | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-6 | Record | 15-8 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 12-11 |
| 13-9 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 78–81 IU · ✓ IU (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 30 | 42 | 5 | 77 |
| IU | 36 | 36 | 6 | 78 |
1st half: WIS 30, IU 36 (IU by 6). The model had IU by 1.6 and a total of 74.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| WIS | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-71 38% | Field goals | 30-63 48% |
| 12-36 33% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 9 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 44 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 7-17 | 1-6 |
| Nick Boyd G | 41 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 7-19 | 5-6 |
| Nolan Winter F | 40 | 26 | 12 | 0 | 9-13 | 3-5 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 40 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-7 |
| Jack Janicki G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Zach Kinziger, Hayden Jones, Austin Rapp, Riccardo Greppi, Will Garlock, Elijah Gray, Jack Robison, Isaac Gard
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 45 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 41 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 8-20 | 1-8 |
| Conor Enright G | 39 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Sam Alexis F | 34 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Nick Dorn G | 27 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jasai Miles G | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Reed Bailey F | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tayton Conerway, Drew Snively, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Aleksa Ristic, Josh Harris, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -3.5
ModelIU -3.0
Model edgeWIS +0.5
W WIS covered
Total
Market157.5
Model159.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
WIS 78.1 · IU 81.1
WIS 77 · IU 78
Win probability
IU 60%
1st half
Spread
IU -1.6
IU -6.0
Total
74.5
66 points
Projected score
WIS 36.4 · IU 38.1
WIS 30 · IU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -4.5
1 → WIS
CloseIU -3.5
1 pt toward WIS
Total
Open155.5
▲ 2
Close157.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
WIS +142 · IU -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -4.5 · closed IU -3.5 · moved 1 toward WISmodel IU -3
model IU -3
Opened 155.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| IU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WIS 4–2 IUWIS leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · WIS 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | IU 64 @ WIS 76 | WIS -8.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | WIS 70 @ IU 74 | IU +3.5 | IU W |
| Jan 19, 2023-24 | IU 79 @ WIS 91 | WIS -11.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | WIS 45 @ IU 63 | IU -4.5 | IU W |
| Feb 15, 2021-22 | WIS 74 @ IU 69 | IU -3 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
22 games played
Straight up
16-6
73% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
over 13under 9avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vsMARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vsMILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vsPSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsNEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs IOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vsPUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | @USC | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
−7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
+2.5
over 11under 12avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
16-6 overall · 8-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State92–82
- Wvs Minnesota67–63
- Lvs USC71–73
- W@ Penn State98–71
- Wvs Rutgers96–87
A week or more of rest.
Indiana
15-8 overall · 6-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ USC75–81
- W@ UCLA98–97
- Wvs Purdue72–67
- W@ Rutgers82–59
- L@ Michigan72–86
4 days since their last game.