Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -13.5✓ UCLA covered by 18.5
UCLA -13.5✓ UCLA covered by 18.5Closing total142.5Over by 21.5
 RUTG | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-13 | Record | 15-7 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 66–79 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 40 | 26 | 66 |
| UCLA | 52 | 46 | 98 |
1st half: RUTG 40, UCLA 52 (UCLA by 12). The model had UCLA by 7.7 and a total of 67.9 (actual 92).
Team stats
| RUTG | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 35-63 56% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 12-21 57% |
| 11-20 55% | Free throws | 16-18 89% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 25 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 26 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Powers G | 26 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Dylan Grant F | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 21 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Francis G | 25 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Harun Zrno G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Lino Mark G | 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Denis Badalau F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Baye Fall
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 31 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Trent Perry G | 31 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 29 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Xavier Booker C | 29 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 10-11 | 4-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Williams F | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Eric Freeny G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Jamar Brown G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Christian Horry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Peoples Jr. F | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jack Seidler G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Skyy Clark, Evan Manjikian
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -13.5
ModelUCLA -13.2
Model edgeRUTG +0.3
L UCLA covered
Total
Market142.5
Model144.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
RUTG 65.9 · UCLA 79.1
RUTG 66 · UCLA 98
Win probability
UCLA 88%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -7.7
UCLA -12.0
Total
67.9
92 points
Projected score
RUTG 30.1 · UCLA 37.8
RUTG 40 · UCLA 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -13.5
no move
CloseUCLA -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +700 · UCLA -1100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -13.5 · unchangedmodel UCLA -13
model UCLA -13
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RUTG 1–0 UCLARUTG leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · RUTG 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | UCLA 68 @ RUTG 75 | RUTG +4.5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs NU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @ IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs IU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs MSU | L 79-88 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ USC | L 75-78 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+5.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+28.5
31
@USC
USCL 75-78
+6.5
over 12under 10avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vsPUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsNU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vsIU | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
+50.5
over 10under 12avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
9-13 overall · 2-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ USC75–78
- Lvs Michigan St79–88
- Lvs Indiana59–82
- L@ Iowa62–68
- L@ Wisconsin87–96
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
15-7 overall · 7-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Indiana97–98
- W@ Oregon73–57
- Wvs Northwestern71–64
- Wvs Purdue69–67
- L@ Ohio State74–86
3 days since their last game.