Kohl Center · at Wisconsin · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -9.5✓ MINN covered by 5.5
WIS -9.5✓ MINN covered by 5.5Closing total146.5Under by 16.5
 MINN | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 10-10 | Record | 14-6 |
| 7-13 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 7-13 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 70–79 WIS · ✓ WIS (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 35 | 28 | 63 |
| WIS | 17 | 50 | 67 |
1st half: MINN 35, WIS 17 (MINN by 18). The model had WIS by 5.1 and a total of 69.8 (actual 52).
Team stats
| MINN | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-50 46% | Field goals | 19-48 40% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 30 5 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 10 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Reynolds G | 40 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 4-12 | 1-3 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 38 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 38 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-8 | 5-6 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-16 | 4-13 |
| Grayson Grove F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Maximus Gizzi G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Stephens, RJ Spencer, Max Lorenson, Chansey Willis Jr., Nehemiah Turner, Cade Tyson, BJ Omot, Robert Vaihola
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 4-13 | 4-9 |
| Nolan Winter F | 36 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Nick Boyd G | 33 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 7-15 | 4-9 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 27 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jack Janicki G | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Austin Rapp F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Jones G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riccardo Greppi, Isaac Gard, Will Garlock, Elijah Gray, Jack Robison
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -7.5
2 → WIS
CloseWIS -9.5
2 pts toward WIS
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +410 · WIS -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -7.5 · closed WIS -9.5 · moved 2 toward WISmodel WIS -9
model WIS -9
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -9.5 | WIS -8.8 | MINN +0.7 | W MINN covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 149.2 | Over 2.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MINN 70.2 · WIS 79 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -5.1 | MINN -18.0 |
| 1H total | 69.8 | 52 |
| 1H projected score | MINN 32.4 · WIS 37.5 | MINN 35 · WIS 17 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MINN 0–8 WISWIS leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · WIS has won the last 8 meetings · MINN 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | WIS 78 @ MINN 75 | MINN +1.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | WIS 74 @ MINN 67 | MINN +6.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | MINN 59 @ WIS 80 | WIS -13.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | WIS 61 @ MINN 59 | MINN +2.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | WIS 71 @ MINN 67 | MINN +5.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs IU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PUR | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs TXSO | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs CAM | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs FDU | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ NU | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs IOWA | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs USC | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vsWIS | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ ILL | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs NEB | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−8.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
+14.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
+14.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−8.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+10.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+7.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
−1.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+5.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−0.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−14.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−1.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
−2.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
−17.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−36.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+23.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+6.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−8.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
+6.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+12.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−7.5
over 7under 13avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsCAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vsNU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsPUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vsUSC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
over 12under 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
10-10 overall · 3-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nebraska57–76
- L@ Ohio State74–82
- L@ Illinois67–77
- Lvs Wisconsin75–78
- Lvs USC69–70
4 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
14-6 overall · 6-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs USC71–73
- W@ Penn State98–71
- Wvs Rutgers96–87
- W@ Minnesota78–75
- W@ Michigan91–88
3 days since their last game.