Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -4.5✓ IU covered by 9.5
PUR -4.5✓ IU covered by 9.5Closing total150.5Under by 11.5
| PUR | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-3 | Record | 13-7 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 8-12 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PUR 79–73 IU · ✗ PUR (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| IU | 40 | 32 | 72 |
1st half: PUR 29, IU 40 (IU by 11). The model had PUR by 3.8 and a total of 71.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| PUR | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 23-50 46% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 12-33 36% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 39 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 6-14 | 2-8 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 9-14 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 19 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Benter G | 18 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Omer Mayer G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Raleigh Burgess, Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Liam Murphy, Sam King
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Enright G | 40 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 36 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 7-18 | 2-9 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 34 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Nick Dorn G | 32 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Sam Alexis F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reed Bailey F | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jasai Miles G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Trent Sisley F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drew Snively, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Aleksa Ristic, Josh Harris, Tayton Conerway, Deuce Drake, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -4.5
ModelPUR -6.1
Model edgePUR +1.6
L IU covered
Total
Market150.5
Model152.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
PUR 79.1 · IU 73
PUR 67 · IU 72
Win probability
PUR 70%
1st half
Spread
PUR -3.8
IU -11.0
Total
71.2
69 points
Projected score
PUR 37.5 · IU 33.7
PUR 29 · IU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -4.5
no move
ClosePUR -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 1
Close150.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PUR -218 · IU +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -4.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -6
model PUR -6
Opened 151.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| IU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PUR 4–4 IUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · PUR 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | PUR 58 @ IU 73 | IU +3.5 | IU W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | IU 76 @ PUR 81 | PUR -12.5 | IU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | IU 59 @ PUR 79 | PUR -17.5 | PUR W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | PUR 87 @ IU 66 | IU +9.5 | PUR W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | IU 79 @ PUR 71 | PUR -6.5 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue
20 games played
Straight up
17-3
85% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
over 8under 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vsMARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vsPSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsWASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs NEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsIOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @ MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
over 9under 11avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue
17-3 overall · 7-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois82–88
- L@ UCLA67–69
- W@ USC69–64
- Wvs Iowa79–72
- Wvs Penn State93–85
3 days since their last game.
Indiana
13-7 overall · 4-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rutgers82–59
- L@ Michigan72–86
- Lvs Iowa57–74
- L@ Michigan St60–81
- Lvs Nebraska77–83
4 days since their last game.