Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -12.5✓ WASH covered by 2.5
MICH -12.5✓ WASH covered by 2.5Closing total165.5Under by 11.5
| MICH | This season | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| 14-1 | Record | 10-6 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MICH 88–74 WASH · ✓ MICH (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 39 | 43 | 82 |
| WASH | 30 | 42 | 72 |
1st half: MICH 39, WASH 30 (MICH by 9). The model had MICH by 8.5 and a total of 76.1 (actual 69).
Team stats
| MICH | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-69 46% | Field goals | 27-72 38% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 9-33 27% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 42 16 off | Rebounds | 40 16 off |
| 18 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 29 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 29 | 18 | 16 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Aday Mara C | 23 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 10-11 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 25 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| L.J. Cason G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Will Tschetter F | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Trey McKenney G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Howard Eisley Jr., Oscar Goodman, Charlie May, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson G | 36 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-13 | 4-12 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 28 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5-14 | 0-4 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 27 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 26 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JJ Mandaquit G | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Jacob Ognacevic F | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Desmond Claude G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nikola Dzepina F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Courtland Muldrew, Christian Nitu, BJ Roy, Lathan Sommerville
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -12.5
ModelMICH -14.0
Model edgeMICH +1.5
L WASH covered
Total
Market165.5
Model162.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
MICH 88.3 · WASH 74.3
MICH 82 · WASH 72
Win probability
MICH 89%
1st half
Spread
MICH -8.5
MICH -9.0
Total
76.1
69 points
Projected score
MICH 42.3 · WASH 33.8
MICH 39 · WASH 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -13.5
1 → WASH
CloseMICH -12.5
1 pt toward WASH
Total
Open163.5
▲ 2
Close165.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MICH -1000 · WASH +650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -13.5 · closed MICH -12.5 · moved 1 toward WASHmodel MICH -14
model MICH -14
Opened 163.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 upmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| WASH | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MICH 1–0 WASHMICH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MICH 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | WASH 75 @ MICH 91 | MICH -14.5 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan
15 games played
Straight up
14-1
93% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
over 7under 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs UCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ PUR | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vs OSU | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
+8.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
7
@PUR
PURL 73-81
−0.5
11
vsOSU
OSUW 81-74
−0.5
over 7under 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan
14-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wisconsin88–91
- W@ Penn State74–72
- Wvs USC96–66
- Wvs McNeese112–71
- Wvs La Salle102–50
4 days since their last game.
Washington
10-6 overall · 2-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State81–74
- L@ Purdue73–81
- L@ Indiana80–90
- Wvs Utah74–65
- Wvs San Diego86–56
3 days since their last game.