Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -10.5✓ NEB covered by 24.5
NEB -10.5✓ NEB covered by 24.5Closing total146.5Under by 1.5
 ORE | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 16-0 |
| 5-11 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 69–78 NEB · ✓ NEB (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 30 | 25 | 55 |
| NEB | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: ORE 30, NEB 42 (NEB by 12). The model had NEB by 5.4 and a total of 69.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| ORE | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-48 42% | Field goals | 32-60 53% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 17-36 47% |
| 9-17 53% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 11 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takai Simpkins G | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 29 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Sean Stewart F | 28 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Wei Lin G | 27 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Nate Bittle C | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devon Pryor G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Drew Carter G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ege Demir C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Shelstad, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Miles Stewart, Luke Johnson, Efe Vatan, JJ Frakes, Rian Gonzales
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hoiberg G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 31 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 9-15 | 7-11 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 23 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Rienk Mast F | 17 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 30 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 8-13 | 7-11 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Jared Garcia F | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kendall Blue G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Bolis F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Leo Curtis F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Burt, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Connor Essegian
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -11.5
1 → ORE
CloseNEB -10.5
1 pt toward ORE
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ORE +455 · NEB -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -11.5 · closed NEB -10.5 · moved 1 toward OREmodel NEB -9
model NEB -9
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -10.5 | NEB -9.2 | ORE +1.3 | L NEB covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 147.6 | Over 1.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ORE 69.2 · NEB 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEB -5.4 | NEB -12.0 |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | ORE 31.9 · NEB 37.3 | ORE 30 · NEB 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| NEB | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORE 0–1 NEBNEB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ORE 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | NEB 77 @ ORE 71 | ORE -6.5 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
5-11
31% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ MD | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ RUTG | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs OSU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
+8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
−7.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 11avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
2
@MD
MDW 64-54
−28.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 85-88
+33.5
8
vsOSU
OSUL 62-72
−18.5
over 9under 7avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
16 games played
Straight up
16-0
100% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vsCREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
over 6under 10avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
8-8 overall · 1-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ohio State62–72
- L@ Rutgers85–88
- W@ Maryland64–54
- Wvs Omaha80–57
- Lvs Gonzaga82–91
5 days since their last game.
Nebraska
16-0 overall · 5-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana83–77
- W@ Ohio State72–69
- Wvs Michigan St58–56
- Wvs New Hampshire86–55
- Wvs North Dakota78–55
3 days since their last game.