Hynes Athletics Center · at Iona · Conference game
Closing line
MRMK -1.5✓ IONA covered by 2.5
MRMK -1.5✓ IONA covered by 2.5Closing total143.5Under by 22.5
| MRMK | This season | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 12-8 |
| 12-8 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 7-13 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 71–72 IONA · ✓ IONA (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| IONA | 31 | 30 | 61 |
1st half: MRMK 33, IONA 31 (MRMK by 2). The model had IONA by 0.7 and a total of 66.8 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MRMK | IONA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 20-54 37% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 8 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 40 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-7 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 40 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 10-20 | 0-1 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Todd Brogna F | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 23 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Munro, Aliou Cisse, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris, Malik Edmead
| IONA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Anglin G | 37 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 8-13 | 6-9 |
| CJ Anthony G | 35 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-11 | 1-7 |
| Toby Harris F | 34 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Lamin Sabally F | 33 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Kosy Akametu G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khalil Badru G | 20 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Alliou Fall F | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Chase Cormier G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Ore Odutayo, Keshawn Williams, Marko Pandiloski, Oscar Hourruitiner Jr., Deondrea Lindsey, Connor Horan, Luke Jungers, Matt Reed
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRMK -1.5
ModelIONA -1.4
Model edgeIONA +2.9
W IONA covered
Total
Market143.5
Model142.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
MRMK 70.6 · IONA 72
MRMK 60 · IONA 61
Win probability
IONA 55%
1st half
Spread
IONA -0.7
MRMK -2.0
Total
66.8
64 points
Projected score
MRMK 33.1 · IONA 33.8
MRMK 33 · IONA 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRMK -1.5
no move
CloseMRMK -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▼ 2
Close143.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MRMK -115 · IONA -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRMK -1.5 · unchangedmodel IONA -1.5
model IONA -1.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| IONA | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 1–0 IONAMRMK leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MRMK 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | MRMK 77 @ IONA 70 | IONA -0.5 | MRMK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ SHU | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSM | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | vs MAN | W 73-66 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ SIE | W 63-59 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ SPU | L 63-76 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs QUIN | W 83-71 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ MRST | W 68-55 | +6.5 | W +19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+9.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
+6.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
+0.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
+9.5
11
@SPU
SPUL 63-76
−11.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-71
+13.5
19
@MRST
MRSTW 68-55
+19.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+7.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
−1.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
−9.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
−10.5
11
@SPU
SPUL 63-76
+5.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-71
+12.5
19
@MRST
MRSTW 68-55
−10.5
over 7under 13avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iona
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vsHOF | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ KC | W 105-91 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 14 | vs FOR | W 76-71 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | vsPRIN | W 89-69 | -2.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs AKR | L 75-96 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs ORST | W 91-84 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs GB | L 75-80 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | @ DEL | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 5 | vsQUIN | L 68-89 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | @SHU | W 81-69 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 10 | vs BRY | W 69-63 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJU | L 64-91 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 20 | @UVM | W 83-78 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | @MSM | L 59-66 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vsSIE | W 75-72 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @MRST | L 38-83 | +4.5 | L −40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | vs NIA | W 71-53 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | vs CAN | W 74-48 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @RID | L 68-72 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 19 | @SPU | L 63-77 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsHOF
HOFW 81-73
+9.5
11
@KC
KCW 105-91
+9.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 76-71
−0.5
18
vsPRIN
PRINW 89-69
+17.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 75-96
−9.5
22
vsORST
ORSTW 91-84
+10.5
24
vsGB
GBL 75-80
−10.5
1
@DEL
DELW 89-66
+21.5
5
vsQUIN
QUINL 68-89
−23.5
7
@SHU
SHUW 81-69
+13.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 69-63
−2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 64-91
+1.5
20
@UVM
UVMW 83-78
+11.5
29
@MSM
MSML 59-66
−9.5
2
vsSIE
SIEW 75-72
+4.5
4
@MRST
MRSTL 38-83
−40.5
9
vsNIA
NIAW 71-53
+7.5
11
vsCAN
CANW 74-48
+14.5
14
@RID
RIDL 68-72
−11.5
19
@SPU
SPUL 63-77
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsHOF
HOFW 81-73
+9.5
11
@KC
KCW 105-91
+39.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 76-71
−10.5
18
vsPRIN
PRINW 89-69
+3.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 75-96
−2.5
22
vsORST
ORSTW 91-84
+17.5
24
vsGB
GBL 75-80
+4.5
1
@DEL
DELW 89-66
+5.5
5
vsQUIN
QUINL 68-89
−6.5
7
@SHU
SHUW 81-69
−13.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 69-63
−14.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 64-91
−4.5
20
@UVM
UVMW 83-78
+8.5
29
@MSM
MSML 59-66
−28.5
2
vsSIE
SIEW 75-72
−2.5
4
@MRST
MRSTL 38-83
−27.5
9
vsNIA
NIAW 71-53
−16.5
11
vsCAN
CANW 74-48
−19.5
14
@RID
RIDL 68-72
−1.5
19
@SPU
SPUL 63-77
−1.5
over 7under 13avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
12-8 overall · 8-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Marist68–55
- Wvs Quinnipiac83–71
- L@ Saint Peter's63–76
- W@ Siena63–59
- Wvs Manhattan73–66
3 days since their last game.
Iona
12-8 overall · 4-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Peter's63–77
- L@ Rider68–72
- Wvs Canisius74–48
- Wvs Niagara71–53
- L@ Marist38–83
3 days since their last game.