Yanitelli Center · at Saint Peter's · Conference game
Closing line
SPU -3.5✓ SPU covered by 5.5
SPU -3.5✓ SPU covered by 5.5Closing total141.5Over by 15.5
 FAIR | This season | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-10 | Record | 13-9 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 14-8 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 9-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 70–74 SPU · ✓ SPU (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 23 | 51 | 74 |
| SPU | 43 | 40 | 83 |
1st half: FAIR 23, SPU 43 (SPU by 20). The model had SPU by 2.5 and a total of 67.3 (actual 66).
Team stats
| FAIR | SPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 23-47 49% |
| 4-10 40% | 3-pointers | 9-16 56% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 28-33 85% |
| 32 13 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin F | 36 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 5-15 | 0-0 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 34 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Braden Sparks G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-3 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 32 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Tony Williams G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mejia G | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Estevez G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Deuce Turner G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matt Curtis, Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| SPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Bland G | 35 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-7 |
| Zaakir Williamson F | 29 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perkins G | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jahki Gupton F | 26 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Eaton G | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| TJ Robinson G | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-2 |
| Shaedon Simpson G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bol Agu F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Eric Morgan Jr. G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| J'Quan Ewing F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Adetokunbo Bakare G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Robert Wilmote, Lucas Scroggins, Akil Watson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSPU -3.5
ModelSPU -4.5
Model edgeSPU +1.0
W SPU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
FAIR 69.7 · SPU 74.2
FAIR 74 · SPU 83
Win probability
SPU 65%
1st half
Spread
SPU -2.5
SPU -20.0
Total
67.3
66 points
Projected score
FAIR 32.4 · SPU 34.9
FAIR 23 · SPU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSPU -3.5
no move
CloseSPU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +145 · SPU -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SPU -3.5 · unchangedmodel SPU -4.5
model SPU -4.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SPU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
FAIR 4–7 SPUSPU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · SPU has won the last 3 meetings · FAIR 3-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | SPU 70 @ FAIR 66 | FAIR -2.5 | SPU W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | FAIR 52 @ SPU 65 | SPU -3.5 | SPU W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | SPU 68 vs FAIR 63 | FAIR -3.5 | SPU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | FAIR 64 @ SPU 62 | SPU +3.5 | SPU W |
| Jan 19, 2023-24 | SPU 67 @ FAIR 76 | FAIR -3.5 | FAIR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vsSPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vs RID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ MRST | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @ SIE | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsNIA | W 62-61 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAN | W 61-55 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 30 | @ IONA | W 71-70 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | vs QUIN | L 65-72 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @ SHU | W 92-87 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vsMRST | W 63-60 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
−6.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
−1.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−9.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−4.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
+2.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−4.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+6.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
+4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
17
@MRST
MRSTL 67-82
+7.5
19
@SIE
SIEL 77-85
+19.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 62-61
−16.5
24
vsCAN
CANW 61-55
−25.5
30
@IONA
IONAW 71-70
−5.5
1
vsQUIN
QUINL 65-72
−17.5
5
@SHU
SHUW 92-87
+23.5
7
vsMRST
MRSTW 63-60
−15.5
over 12under 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Peter's
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @HALL | L 50-77 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 129.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs FDU | W 93-83 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ VCU | L 61-78 | +20.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | @ DEL | L 70-81 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UML | W 68-66 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 29 | vs DART | L 61-87 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | vsCAN | W 69-57 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 7 | vsNIA | W 71-43 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ GTWN | L 68-76 | +20.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 29 | @FAIR | W 70-66 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | vsMRST | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 9 | @ MSM | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsMRMK | W 76-63 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 14 | @QUIN | W 74-70 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsRID | W 69-58 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 19 | vsIONA | W 77-63 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @MRMK | L 59-67 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vsMSM | W 66-58 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 1 | @RID | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 5 | @MAN | W 80-75 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 7 | vsSIE | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | @SHU | L 71-78 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−13.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+3.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
+3.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
−6.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
−29.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
+2.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
+22.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+12.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+6.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
+12.5
9
@MSM
MSML 65-70
−6.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-63
+11.5
14
@QUIN
QUINW 74-70
+10.5
17
vsRID
RIDW 69-58
+0.5
19
vsIONA
IONAW 77-63
+10.5
24
@MRMK
MRMKL 59-67
−5.5
30
vsMSM
MSMW 66-58
+2.5
1
@RID
RIDL 78-81
−10.5
5
@MAN
MANW 80-75
+0.5
7
vsSIE
SIEW 70-65
+6.5
13
@SHU
SHUL 71-78
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HALL
HALLL 50-77
−2.5
8
vsFDU
FDUW 93-83
+38.5
12
@VCU
VCUL 61-78
−8.5
18
@DEL
DELL 70-81
+13.5
22
vsUML
UMLW 68-66
−13.5
29
vsDART
DARTL 61-87
+3.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 69-57
−3.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 71-43
−17.5
13
@GTWN
GTWNL 68-76
+3.5
29
@FAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−4.5
2
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-59
−5.5
9
@MSM
MSML 65-70
−6.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-63
+5.5
14
@QUIN
QUINW 74-70
+3.5
17
vsRID
RIDW 69-58
−7.5
19
vsIONA
IONAW 77-63
−1.5
24
@MRMK
MRMKL 59-67
−8.5
30
vsMSM
MSMW 66-58
−14.5
1
@RID
RIDL 78-81
+22.5
5
@MAN
MANW 80-75
+10.5
7
vsSIE
SIEW 70-65
−0.5
13
@SHU
SHUL 71-78
+1.5
over 9under 13avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
15-10 overall · 8-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marist63–60
- W@ Sacred Heart92–87
- Lvs Quinnipiac65–72
- W@ Iona71–70
- Wvs Canisius61–55
A week or more of rest.
Saint Peter's
13-9 overall · 11-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sacred Heart71–78
- Wvs Siena70–65
- W@ Manhattan80–75
- L@ Rider78–81
- Wvs Mount St Marys66–58
2 days since their last game.