Titan Gym · at Fullerton · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -3.5✓ CSUF covered by 14.5
UCSB -3.5✓ CSUF covered by 14.5Closing total155.5Over by 23.5
| UCSB | This season | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | Record | 3-9 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 8-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 81–78 CSUF · ✗ UCSB (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 36 | 48 | 84 |
| CSUF | 50 | 45 | 95 |
1st half: UCSB 36, CSUF 50 (CSUF by 14). The model had UCSB by 2.1 and a total of 74.7 (actual 86).
Team stats
| UCSB | CSUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-57 53% | Field goals | 30-54 56% |
| 14-34 41% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 10-10 100% | Free throws | 30-37 81% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 22 5 off |
| 19 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 16 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 24 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 27 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 36 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 8-15 | 4-11 |
| CJ Shaw G | 33 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 6-8 | 3-5 |
| Zion Sensley G | 31 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 4-12 | 4-10 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 23 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 7-10 | 1-1 |
| Colin Smith F | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 26 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| ZZ Clark G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, Luke Zuffelato, John Simcoe, Bryce Bedgood, Jason Fontenet II, Isaac Shingange, Miro Little, Koat Keat Tong
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Christian Williams G | 35 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 26 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 25 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Landon Seaman F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Davis White G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan, Ben Winker, Yesan Warren, Kidus Tilahun, Bailey Nunn, Jaden Henderson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -3.5
ModelUCSB -3.3
Model edgeCSUF +0.2
W CSUF covered
Total
Market155.5
Model159.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
W Over
Projected score
UCSB 81.4 · CSUF 78.1
UCSB 84 · CSUF 95
Win probability
UCSB 61%
1st half
Spread
UCSB -2.1
CSUF -14.0
Total
74.7
86 points
Projected score
UCSB 38.4 · CSUF 36.3
UCSB 36 · CSUF 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -5.5
2 → CSUF
CloseUCSB -3.5
2 pts toward CSUF
Total
Open162.5
▼ 7
Close155.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
UCSB -185 · CSUF +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -5.5 · closed UCSB -3.5 · moved 2 toward CSUFmodel UCSB -3.5 matches the line
model UCSB -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 162.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 7 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| CSUF | 3-7 30% | 5-4 56% | 7-2 78% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCSB 4–5 CSUFCSUF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCSB has won the last 2 meetings · UCSB 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CSUF 56 @ UCSB 86 | UCSB -14.5 | UCSB W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UCSB 83 @ CSUF 75 | CSUF +8.5 | CSUF W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UCSB 70 @ CSUF 79 | CSUF +2.5 | CSUF W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | CSUF 73 @ UCSB 69 | UCSB -6.5 | CSUF W |
| Mar 11, 2022-23 | CSUF 62 vs UCSB 72 | UCSB -2.5 | UCSB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs LBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
over 6under 5avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fullerton
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +9.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vs CP | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @ HAW | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DEN | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ OKST | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ SMU | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
−4.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+22.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+14.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
−25.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
+7.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+25.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+6.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
+2.5
over 8under 3avg +9.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
7-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Portland79–61
- L@ Green Bay64–67
- Lvs Utah Valley53–68
- Wvs Bakersfield109–84
- Wvs Long Beach St84–77
A week or more of rest.
Fullerton
3-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SMU63–110
- L@ Oklahoma St89–94
- W@ Denver105–86
- L@ Hawai'i59–69
- Lvs Cal Poly91–94
4 days since their last game.