Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -6.5✓ SJU covered by 3.5
SJU -6.5✓ SJU covered by 3.5Closing total167.5Under by 19.5
| SJU | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 19-5 | Record | 11-14 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 12-12 | O/U | 19-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 91–83 PROV · ✓ SJU (76%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 34 | 45 | 79 |
| PROV | 29 | 40 | 69 |
1st half: SJU 34, PROV 29 (SJU by 5). The model had SJU by 4.9 and a total of 81.3 (actual 63).
Team stats
| SJU | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-68 38% | Field goals | 22-66 33% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 21-30 70% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 41 11 off | Rebounds | 49 16 off |
| 13 | Assists | 8 |
| 11 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Hopkins F | 35 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 3-14 | 0-2 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 32 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 24 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Ian Jackson G | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Darling G | 27 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Joson Sanon G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ruben Prey F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kelvin Odih G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Imran Suljanovic, Sadiku Ibine Ayo, Fotis Konstantinidis, Casper Pohto, Handje Tamba
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mela G | 38 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Stefan Vaaks G | 34 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5-19 | 3-12 |
| Jamier Jones G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5-15 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nilavan Daniels G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Duncan Powell F | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jack Williams G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corey Floyd Jr., Jason Edwards, Daquan Davis, Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -7.5
1 → PROV
CloseSJU -6.5
1 pt toward PROV
Total
Open170.5
▼ 3
Close167.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SJU -345 · PROV +275
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -7.5 · closed SJU -6.5 · moved 1 toward PROVmodel SJU -8
model SJU -8
Opened 170.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 3 downmodel 174
model 174
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -6.5 | SJU -8.0 | SJU +1.5 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 167.5 | 174.0 | Over 6.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SJU 91 · PROV 83 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -4.9 | SJU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 81.3 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | SJU 43.1 · PROV 38.2 | SJU 34 · PROV 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| PROV | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SJU 4–5 PROVPROV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJU 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | PROV 77 @ SJU 71 | SJU -14.5 | PROV W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | PROV 66 @ SJU 68 | SJU -13.5 | PROV W |
| Dec 20, 2024-25 | SJU 72 @ PROV 70 | PROV +5.5 | PROV W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | SJU 72 @ PROV 75 | PROV -1.5 | PROV W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | PROV 73 @ SJU 75 | SJU -7.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
24 games played
Straight up
19-5
79% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vsPROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs MARQ | W 92-68 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | @ VILL | W 86-79 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 20 | vs HALL | W 65-60 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 24 | @ XAV | W 88-83 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 28 | vsBTLR | W 92-70 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 3 | @DEP | W 68-56 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 6 | vs CONN | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 87-82 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+8.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+4.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−6.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
−3.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+9.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
+2.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+10.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
−11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 92-68
+4.5
17
@VILL
VILLW 86-79
+17.5
20
vsHALL
HALLW 65-60
−20.5
24
@XAV
XAVW 88-83
+11.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRW 92-70
+3.5
3
@DEP
DEPW 68-56
−21.5
6
vsCONN
CONNW 81-72
+9.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 87-82
+9.5
over 12under 12avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-6
76% overs · avg +13.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vsHALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vsVILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 16 | vsCREI | W 93-88 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 19 | @MARQ | L 104-105 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 24 | vsGTWN | L 78-81 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | @CONN | L 81-87 | +15.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @VILL | L 73-87 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsBTLR | W 97-87 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | vsDEP | W 90-72 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 11 | @HALL | L 80-87 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+7.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+1.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−8.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+9.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
−5.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+7.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+13.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
−2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+19.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+41.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−0.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+15.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
+2.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+15.5
7
vsDEP
DEPW 90-72
+8.5
11
@HALL
HALLL 80-87
+16.5
over 19under 6avg +13.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
19-5 overall · 12-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Xavier87–82
- Wvs UConn81–72
- W@ DePaul68–56
- Wvs Butler92–70
- W@ Xavier88–83
5 days since their last game.
Providence
11-14 overall · 4-10 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seton Hall80–87
- Wvs DePaul90–72
- Wvs Butler97–87
- L@ Villanova73–87
- L@ UConn81–87
3 days since their last game.