Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -26.5✓ BC covered by 8.5
DUKE -26.5✓ BC covered by 8.5Closing total141.5Under by 25.5
 BC | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 20-1 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 13-8 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 7-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BC 57–83 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 27 | 22 | 49 |
| DUKE | 42 | 25 | 67 |
1st half: BC 27, DUKE 42 (DUKE by 15). The model had DUKE by 15.6 and a total of 65.7 (actual 69).
Team stats
| BC | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-52 38% | Field goals | 24-50 48% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 4-9 44% | Free throws | 14-20 70% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 38 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-3 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 34 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Boden Kapke F | 23 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Luka Toews G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Shaw F | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Steger G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Chase Forte G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jason Asemota F | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Marko Radunovic, Will Eggemeier, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack DiDonna, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 34 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 9-17 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Caleb Foster G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 22 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Dame Sarr F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maliq Brown F | 24 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Darren Harris G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Cameron Sheffield, Jack Scott
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -26.5
ModelDUKE -26.4
Model edgeBC +0.1
W BC covered
Total
Market141.5
Model140.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
BC 57 · DUKE 83.4
BC 49 · DUKE 67
Win probability
DUKE 99%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -15.6
DUKE -15.0
Total
65.7
69 points
Projected score
BC 25.1 · DUKE 40.7
BC 27 · DUKE 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -24.5
2 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -26.5
2 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open135.5
▲ 6
Close141.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
BC +2000 · DUKE -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -24.5 · closed DUKE -26.5 · moved 2 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -26.5 matches the line
model DUKE -26.5 = line ✓
Opened 135.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 6 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BC | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BC 0–5 DUKEDUKE leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · DUKE has won the last 5 meetings · BC 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | DUKE 88 @ BC 63 | BC +23.5 | DUKE W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | BC 65 @ DUKE 80 | DUKE -13 | DUKE W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | DUKE 65 @ BC 64 | BC +8.5 | BC W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | BC 59 @ DUKE 75 | DUKE -17.5 | BC W |
| Feb 12, 2021-22 | DUKE 72 @ BC 61 | BC +14 | BC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston College
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @ CLEM | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs SYR | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs PITT | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ ND | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs UVA | L 66-73 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−8.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+13.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
+5.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
+3.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−12.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+12.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
−10.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
−5.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
−2.5
over 7under 14avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
21 games played
Straight up
20-1
95% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vsGT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs SMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs WAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
over 7under 14avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston College
9-12 overall · 2-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia66–73
- L@ Notre Dame64–68
- Wvs Pitt65–62
- Wvs Syracuse81–73
- L@ Clemson50–74
3 days since their last game.
Duke
20-1 overall · 9-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Virginia Tech72–58
- Wvs Louisville83–52
- Wvs Wake Forest90–69
- W@ Stanford80–50
- W@ California71–56
3 days since their last game.