Maples Pavilion · at Stanford · Conference game
Closing line
STAN -6.5✓ ND covered by 13.5
STAN -6.5✓ ND covered by 13.5Closing total143.5Under by 56.5
 ND | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 11-2 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ND 74–75 STAN · ✗ STAN (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 22 | 25 | 47 |
| STAN | 17 | 23 | 40 |
1st half: ND 22, STAN 17 (ND by 5). The model had STAN by 0.3 and a total of 69.5 (actual 39).
Team stats
| ND | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-56 32% | Field goals | 13-56 23% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 4-30 13% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 48 16 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 6 | Assists | 8 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Imes G | 32 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 32 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 30 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-5 |
| Jalen Haralson G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-14 | 0-2 |
| Carson Towt F | 22 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kebba Njie F | 17 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cole Certa G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 10 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Brady Koehler F | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Mark Zackery IV G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryder Frost, Markus Burton, Matthew MacLellan, Luke Devine, Tommy Ahneman, Brady Stevens
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 35 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-14 | 0-6 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3-14 | 2-7 |
| Benny Gealer G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Oskar Giltay C | 25 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Donavin Young F | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Grant G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
Did not play: Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Jaylen Thompson, Ethan Kitch, Anthony Batson Jr., Evan Stinson, Tallis Toure
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -3.5
3 → STAN
CloseSTAN -6.5
3 pts toward STAN
Total
Open149.5
▼ 6
Close143.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
ND +250 · STAN -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -3.5 · closed STAN -6.5 · moved 3 toward STANmodel STAN -0.5
model STAN -0.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 6 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STAN -6.5 | STAN -0.7 | ND +5.8 | W ND covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 148.4 | Over 4.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ND 73.8 · STAN 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STAN -0.3 | ND -5.0 |
| 1H total | 69.5 | 39 |
| 1H projected score | ND 34.6 · STAN 34.9 | ND 22 · STAN 17 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| STAN | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ND 1–0 STANND leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ND 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | STAN 54 @ ND 56 | ND +1.5 | ND W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Notre Dame
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs DETM | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs EIU | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ OSU | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs BELL | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs KU | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs RUTG | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs HOU | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIZ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 5 | @ TCU | W 87-85 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDHO | W 80-65 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs EVAN | W 82-58 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 21 | vs PFW | L 69-72 | -11.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−3.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
+8.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
−17.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−4.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−1.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
+1.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+6.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+8.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+3.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+9.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−7.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
−29.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
+14.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−11.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−9.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
−10.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+0.5
5
@TCU
TCUW 87-85
+30.5
10
vsIDHO
IDHOW 80-65
+0.5
13
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-58
+3.5
21
vsPFW
PFWL 69-72
−8.5
over 7under 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
over 6under 7avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Notre Dame
9-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue FW69–72
- Wvs Evansville82–58
- Wvs Idaho80–65
- W@ TCU87–85
- Wvs Missouri76–71
A week or more of rest.
Stanford
11-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge88–80
- Wvs Colorado77–68
- Wvs UT Arlington76–60
- W@ San José St86–82
- Lvs UNLV74–75
3 days since their last game.