Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette · Conference game
Closing line
NAVY -3.5✓ NAVY covered by 11.5
NAVY -3.5✓ NAVY covered by 11.5Closing total139.5Under by 24.5
| NAVY | This season | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| 15-6 | Record | 6-16 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 9-12 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 13-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NAVY 72–67 LAF · ✓ NAVY (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 26 | 39 | 65 |
| LAF | 24 | 26 | 50 |
1st half: NAVY 26, LAF 24 (NAVY by 2). The model had NAVY by 3.1 and a total of 65.2 (actual 50).
Team stats
| NAVY | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 19-52 37% |
| 1-12 8% | 3-pointers | 6-30 20% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 6-6 100% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 10 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pennick G | 37 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Aidan Kehoe C | 37 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Austin Benigni G | 35 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Mike Woods F | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Draper F | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Cam Cole G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Luke Morgan, Jordan McConnell, C.J. Kearns, Jerry Ashley Jr., Steven McLeod, Colin Pollock, Matt Gaffney, Nyles Howard, Owen Gray, Cooper Jackson, Tobi Raji, David Burnett and 6 more
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler G | 38 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Williams G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4-16 | 1-11 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 34 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 33 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-8 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 15 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Ashton Wallace, Luke Azzinaro, Beckett Currie, Folabomi Fayemi, TJ Berger, Joshua Wyche, Luke Bevilacqua, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNAVY -4.5
1 → LAF
CloseNAVY -3.5
1 pt toward LAF
Total
Open135.5
▲ 4
Close139.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
NAVY -185 · LAF +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NAVY -4.5 · closed NAVY -3.5 · moved 1 toward LAFmodel NAVY -5
model NAVY -5
Opened 135.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 4 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NAVY -3.5 | NAVY -5.1 | NAVY +1.6 | W NAVY covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 139.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | NAVY 72.1 · LAF 67.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NAVY -3.1 | NAVY -2.0 |
| 1H total | 65.2 | 50 |
| 1H projected score | NAVY 34.2 · LAF 31 | NAVY 26 · LAF 24 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAVY | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| LAF | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NAVY 6–3 LAFNAVY leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · NAVY 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | LAF 50 @ NAVY 76 | NAVY -8.5 | NAVY W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | NAVY 51 @ LAF 61 | LAF -1.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | LAF 70 @ NAVY 71 | NAVY -2.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | LAF 58 @ NAVY 62 | NAVY -3.5 | NAVY W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | NAVY 62 @ LAF 78 | LAF -1.5 | LAF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Navy
21 games played
Straight up
15-6
71% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PRES | W 76-55 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 7 | vs YALE | L 68-97 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ PSU | L 71-80 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNC | L 61-73 | +26.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs NJIT | W 86-70 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 26 | vs GWEB | W 84-51 | -10.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | @ UNCW | L 57-87 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs SELA | L 65-69 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ DSU | W 66-59 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 7 | vs AF | W 61-56 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 19 | vs COPP | W 88-55 | -20.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 31 | vs BU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ HC | W 65-58 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 7 | vs BUCK | W 76-55 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsLAF | W 76-50 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ AMER | L 51-65 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 17 | @ LEH | W 82-79 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 21 | vsHC | W 85-68 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 24 | vs ARMY | W 84-56 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 28 | @BU | W 58-50 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 31 | vs L-MD | W 87-71 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
+22.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
−21.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−7.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−8.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−4.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
+12.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+0.5
3
@HC
HCW 65-58
+1.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKW 76-55
+12.5
10
vsLAF
LAFW 76-50
+17.5
12
@AMER
AMERL 51-65
−16.5
17
@LEH
LEHW 82-79
−0.5
21
vsHC
HCW 85-68
+5.5
24
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-56
+17.5
28
@BU
BUW 58-50
+6.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 87-71
+6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
−18.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
+5.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−2.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−7.5
7
vsAF
AFW 61-56
−16.5
19
vsCOPP
COPPW 88-55
−2.5
31
vsBU
BUW 82-77
+21.5
3
@HC
HCW 65-58
−14.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKW 76-55
−6.5
10
vsLAF
LAFW 76-50
−15.5
12
@AMER
AMERL 51-65
−23.5
17
@LEH
LEHW 82-79
+23.5
21
vsHC
HCW 85-68
+18.5
24
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-56
−3.5
28
@BU
BUW 58-50
−30.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 87-71
+14.5
over 7under 14avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
22 games played
Straight up
6-16
27% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vs COLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vsBU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsHC | W 74-55 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @BU | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @LEH | L 59-64 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | vsBUCK | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @AMER | W 67-65 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
+16.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+0.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−2.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
−2.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
+7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
−9.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+4.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−20.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
+21.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
−10.5
over 13under 8avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Navy
15-6 overall · 9-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD87–71
- W@ Boston U58–50
- Wvs Army84–56
- Wvs Holy Cross85–68
- W@ Lehigh82–79
4 days since their last game.
Lafayette
6-16 overall · 4-6 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ American67–65
- Wvs Bucknell81–79
- L@ Lehigh59–64
- L@ Boston U73–77
- Wvs Holy Cross74–55
4 days since their last game.