Scheels Center · at N Dakota St · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -11.5✓ NDSU covered by 11.5
NDSU -11.5✓ NDSU covered by 11.5Closing total164.5Under by 19.5
 SDAK | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 7-5 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 5-7 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDAK 78–88 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDAK | 30 | 31 | 61 |
| NDSU | 38 | 46 | 84 |
1st half: SDAK 30, NDSU 38 (NDSU by 8). The model had NDSU by 5.7 and a total of 77.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SDAK | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-50 40% | Field goals | 33-60 55% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| SDAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Bruns G | 38 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-4 |
| Uzziah Buntyn G | 36 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Cameron Fens C | 34 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Crawford G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-8 |
| Evan Anderson G | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Kizer F | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Kizer F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Hayes, Jonah Funk, Jesse McIntosh, Luke Bruns, Vince Buzelis, Porter Ihnen, Jake Brack, Shey Eberwein, Josiah Dotzler, Ashton Smith
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 31 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6-7 | 1-2 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 22 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Emil Skytt G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Max Majerle G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Carson Smith G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Schoenrock F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Saunders G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dom Clay
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -11.5
ModelNDSU -9.8
Model edgeSDAK +1.7
L NDSU covered
Total
Market164.5
Model166.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
SDAK 78.3 · NDSU 88.1
SDAK 61 · NDSU 84
Win probability
NDSU 80%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -5.7
NDSU -8.0
Total
77.9
68 points
Projected score
SDAK 36.1 · NDSU 41.8
SDAK 30 · NDSU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -10.5
1 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -11.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open163.5
▲ 1
Close164.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SDAK +550 · NDSU -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -10.5 · closed NDSU -11.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -10
model NDSU -10
Opened 163.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 1 upmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDAK | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| NDSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SDAK 4–6 NDSUNDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SDAK 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | SDAK 85 vs NDSU 84 | NDSU -1.5 | SDAK W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | SDAK 78 @ NDSU 82 | NDSU -6.5 | SDAK W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | NDSU 103 @ SDAK 77 | SDAK +3.5 | NDSU W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | NDSU 68 @ SDAK 88 | SDAK +3.5 | SDAK W |
| Dec 29, 2023-24 | SDAK 75 @ NDSU 66 | NDSU -6.5 | SDAK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Dakota
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UTU | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 5 | @ CREI | L 76-92 | +29.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | vs USI | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs WMU | W 83-78 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ MIZ | L 68-102 | +24.5 | L −9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 23 | vs SCST | W 82-81 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | vs AF | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRST | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNCO | L 87-89 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 9 | @ WYO | L 79-106 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs PV | W 97-85 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 20 | @ KSU | L 76-106 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−3.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
+13.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
+7.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
+1.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−9.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
−14.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
+13.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−3.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+6.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
−12.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+5.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−4.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
−1.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
−1.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
−11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−1.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
+2.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
−4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−10.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+13.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
+23.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+13.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
+5.5
over 5under 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
over 7under 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Dakota
5-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas St76–106
- Wvs Prairie View97–85
- L@ Wyoming79–106
- L@ N Colorado87–89
- Lvs Portland St71–77
A week or more of rest.
N Dakota St
7-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UTEP66–76
- Lvs UC Irvine73–74
- W@ Drake99–94
- W@ Bakersfield80–69
- Wvs N Arizona69–68
A week or more of rest.