UPMC Events Center · at Robert Morris · Conference game
Closing line
RMU -4.5✓ RMU covered by 7.5
RMU -4.5✓ RMU covered by 7.5Closing total152.5Over by 11.5
 MILW | This season | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-12 | Record | 10-8 |
| 6-13 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 12-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 76–79 RMU · ✓ RMU (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 35 | 41 | 76 |
| RMU | 43 | 45 | 88 |
1st half: MILW 35, RMU 43 (RMU by 8). The model had RMU by 1.4 and a total of 72.4 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MILW | RMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 31-53 58% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 9-17 53% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 17-27 63% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin G | 34 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Stevie Elam G | 30 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Amar Augillard G | 26 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Josh Dixon G | 26 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Jackson F | 28 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Tate Mackenzie F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ned Renfree, Isaiah Dorceus, Austin Villarreal, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Faizon Fields, Danilo Jovanovich
| RMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Prather Jr. G | 35 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| DeSean Goode F | 32 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Kaleb Brown G | 27 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Albert Vargas G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Josh Hill F | 14 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nikos Chitikoudis F | 22 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Cam Wilds G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Darius Livingston G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Samuel Obenjo F | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ta'Zir Smith G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Littlejohn, Eddie Cooke III, Ubong Okon, Vasilije Serafimoski, Cyril Arvanitis, Tanner O'Grady
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRMU -4.5
ModelRMU -2.6
Model edgeMILW +1.9
L RMU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
MILW 76 · RMU 78.7
MILW 76 · RMU 88
Win probability
RMU 59%
1st half
Spread
RMU -1.4
RMU -8.0
Total
72.4
78 points
Projected score
MILW 35.5 · RMU 36.9
MILW 35 · RMU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRMU -5.5
1 → MILW
CloseRMU -4.5
1 pt toward MILW
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MILW +190 · RMU -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RMU -5.5 · closed RMU -4.5 · moved 1 toward MILWmodel RMU -2.5
model RMU -2.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| RMU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MILW 4–5 RMURMU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MILW 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | RMU 72 @ MILW 74 | MILW -4.5 | RMU W |
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | MILW 59 @ RMU 72 | RMU -1.5 | RMU W |
| Jan 19, 2024-25 | RMU 81 @ MILW 79 | MILW -8.5 | RMU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | MILW 60 @ RMU 71 | RMU +1.5 | RMU W |
| Dec 29, 2023-24 | RMU 75 @ MILW 78 | MILW -4.5 | RMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
19 games played
Straight up
7-12
37% wins
Against the spread
6-13
32% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsRMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs PFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 5 | @ GB | L 76-79 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vs NKU | L 67-85 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | vs IUIN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vs OAK | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @PFW | L 82-100 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
−6.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−19.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+3.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−10.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
−14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 13avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
+10.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−5.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+12.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−33.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
+33.5
over 9under 10avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Robert Morris
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ IOWA | L 69-101 | +22.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 6 | @ DRKE | W 81-79 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 20 | @ SBU | L 61-75 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ MONM | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UIC | W 88-74 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 28 | vs SUU | W 61-54 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 30 | vs STET | W 80-62 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 4 | @GB | W 80-78 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @MILW | L 72-74 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TOL | W 75-70 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs YSU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ SFPA | W 79-70 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | vsNKU | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 2 | @ DETM | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | @OAK | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vsPFW | L 74-79 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @IUIN | L 93-96 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 17 | @NKU | W 92-89 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
−9.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+9.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−2.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
+1.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+15.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−1.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
+6.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+0.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
+2.5
13
vsTOL
TOLW 75-70
+6.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-77
+0.5
20
@SFPA
SFPAW 79-70
−4.5
29
vsNKU
NKUL 77-79
−0.5
2
@DETM
DETMW 85-77
+4.5
4
@OAK
OAKL 73-96
−21.5
11
vsPFW
PFWL 74-79
−9.5
15
@IUIN
IUINL 93-96
−8.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 92-89
+10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
+33.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+8.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−10.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
−7.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+10.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−37.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
−0.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+17.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
−7.5
13
vsTOL
TOLW 75-70
−9.5
17
vsYSU
YSUW 80-77
+16.5
20
@SFPA
SFPAW 79-70
+3.5
29
vsNKU
NKUL 77-79
+6.5
2
@DETM
DETMW 85-77
+13.5
4
@OAK
OAKL 73-96
+7.5
11
vsPFW
PFWL 74-79
+6.5
15
@IUIN
IUINL 93-96
+28.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 92-89
+27.5
over 12under 6avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
7-12 overall · 4-5 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue FW82–100
- Lvs Oakland60–73
- Wvs IU Indy95–83
- Lvs N Kentucky67–85
- L@ Green Bay76–79
4 days since their last game.
Robert Morris
10-8 overall · 4-5 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ N Kentucky92–89
- L@ IU Indy93–96
- Lvs Purdue FW74–79
- L@ Oakland73–96
- W@ Detroit Mercy85–77
5 days since their last game.