James A. Rhodes Arena · at Akron · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -15.5✓ BUF covered by 1.5
AKR -15.5✓ BUF covered by 1.5Closing total160.5Over by 23.5
 BUF | This season | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| 14-11 | Record | 20-5 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 14-11 | O/U | 13-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUF 74–89 AKR · ✓ AKR (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 35 | 50 | 85 |
| AKR | 39 | 60 | 99 |
1st half: BUF 35, AKR 39 (AKR by 4). The model had AKR by 8.3 and a total of 76.1 (actual 74).
Team stats
| BUF | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-67 37% | Field goals | 32-58 55% |
| 9-33 27% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 26-33 79% | Free throws | 26-29 90% |
| 36 17 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol G | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 8-19 | 6-13 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 35 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 30 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 29 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Tim Oboh F | 23 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Freitag G | 21 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3-17 | 0-8 |
| Kyle Jones G | 20 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Romano, Aleksa Vlajic, Matas Buteliauskas, Daniel Shao, Omar Migues-Hibeljic, Mikhali Pocknett
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mahaffey F | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Amani Lyles F | 31 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-5 |
| Tavari Johnson G | 30 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Zach Halligan F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 23 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Sharron Young G | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chabi Barre F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Henderson, Tai Perkins, Ognjen Stankovic, Conner Groce, Rich Brisco, Cody Head
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -15.5
no move
CloseAKR -15.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
▲ 3
Close160.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
BUF +900 · AKR -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -15.5 · unchangedmodel AKR -14
model AKR -14
Opened 157.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 3 upmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -15.5 | AKR -14.2 | BUF +1.3 | W BUF covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 162.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BUF 74.3 · AKR 88.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -8.3 | AKR -4.0 |
| 1H total | 76.1 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | BUF 33.9 · AKR 42.2 | BUF 35 · AKR 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| AKR | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BUF 0–10 AKRAKR leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 10 meetings · BUF 2-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | AKR 82 @ BUF 63 | BUF +8.5 | AKR W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | BUF 70 @ AKR 88 | AKR -18.5 | BUF W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | AKR 90 @ BUF 58 | BUF +12.5 | AKR W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | AKR 73 @ BUF 62 | BUF +14.5 | BUF W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | BUF 59 @ AKR 76 | AKR -16.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Buffalo
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USM | W 85-79 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | vs GB | W 83-76 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ DEP | W 66-53 | +18.5 | W +31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 18 | vs UVM | W 94-90 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs VMI | W 78-70 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUCK | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ CAN | W 71-53 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs SBU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ UMBC | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | @ ECU | L 70-73 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WMU | W 88-71 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 31 | @ NIU | W 81-67 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | vs BALL | W 85-72 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ OHIO | L 80-91 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | vs KENT | L 81-87 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | @ M-OH | L 102-105 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | vsAKR | L 63-82 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | vs MASS | L 67-68 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ BGSU | W 89-78 | +7.5 | W +18.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vsOHIO | L 83-95 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 3 | vsM-OH | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ USA | L 69-81 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | @BALL | W 63-53 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 17 | vsNIU | L 70-72 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | @MASS | W 86-82 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+3.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
+31.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
+2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
+8.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
−2.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+0.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−1.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+14.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
+7.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+6.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
−6.5
13
vsKENT
KENTL 81-87
−3.5
17
@M-OH
M-OHL 102-105
+7.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 63-82
−10.5
23
vsMASS
MASSL 67-68
−2.5
27
@BGSU
BGSUW 89-78
+18.5
31
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-95
−14.5
3
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-73
+2.5
7
@USA
USAL 69-81
−8.5
11
@BALL
BALLW 63-53
+11.5
17
vsNIU
NIUL 70-72
−11.5
21
@MASS
MASSW 86-82
+11.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+11.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
−34.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+42.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
−2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
−15.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
+1.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+16.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−3.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+8.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+11.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
+14.5
13
vsKENT
KENTL 81-87
+2.5
17
@M-OH
M-OHL 102-105
+44.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 63-82
−21.5
23
vsMASS
MASSL 67-68
−24.5
27
@BGSU
BGSUW 89-78
+16.5
31
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-95
+21.5
3
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-73
−21.5
7
@USA
USAL 69-81
+4.5
11
@BALL
BALLW 63-53
−25.5
17
vsNIU
NIUL 70-72
−3.5
21
@MASS
MASSW 86-82
+16.5
over 14under 11avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vsBUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs CMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsBALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vsWMU | W 104-89 | -21.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | @BUF | W 82-63 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | @OHIO | W 86-65 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | vs TOL | W 91-81 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 30 | vsKENT | W 69-52 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 166.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | @EMU | W 66-64 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ TROY | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | vsMASS | W 99-92 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 17 | @WMU | W 90-73 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 20 | @BALL | W 78-65 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
−6.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
+10.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
+14.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
−2.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
+6.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−10.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−12.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
−5.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
17
vsWMU
WMUW 104-89
+29.5
20
@BUF
BUFW 82-63
−21.5
23
@OHIO
OHIOW 86-65
−16.5
27
vsTOL
TOLW 91-81
+3.5
30
vsKENT
KENTW 69-52
−45.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 66-64
−23.5
7
@TROY
TROYL 69-79
−9.5
13
vsMASS
MASSW 99-92
+27.5
17
@WMU
WMUW 90-73
+2.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 78-65
−4.5
over 13under 12avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Buffalo
14-11 overall · 6-8 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UMass86–82
- Lvs N Illinois70–72
- W@ Ball State63–53
- L@ South Alabama69–81
- Lvs Miami OH71–73
3 days since their last game.
Akron
20-5 overall · 13-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ball State78–65
- W@ W Michigan90–73
- Wvs UMass99–92
- L@ Troy69–79
- W@ E Michigan66–64
4 days since their last game.