MVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -8.5✓ IONA covered by 1.5
SIE -8.5✓ IONA covered by 1.5Closing total140.5Over by 10.5
 IONA | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 14-9 | Record | 16-7 |
| 13-10 | ATS | 14-9 |
| 7-16 | O/U | 9-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IONA 68–75 SIE · ✓ SIE (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IONA | 47 | 25 | 72 |
| SIE | 40 | 39 | 79 |
1st half: IONA 47, SIE 40 (IONA by 7). The model had SIE by 4.0 and a total of 67.2 (actual 87).
Team stats
| IONA | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 32-61 52% |
| 14-31 45% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 2-4 50% | Free throws | 10-11 91% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| IONA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Anthony G | 35 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 6-17 | 1-5 |
| Denver Anglin G | 35 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Toby Harris F | 33 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7-11 | 6-9 |
| Lamin Sabally F | 27 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Kosy Akametu G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alliou Fall F | 30 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Luke Jungers F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Chase Cormier G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Khalil Badru G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keshawn Williams, Ore Odutayo, Marko Pandiloski, Oscar Hourruitiner Jr., Deondrea Lindsey, Connor Horan, Matt Reed
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 10-18 | 0-3 |
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Francis Folefac F | 36 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Henderson G | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Owen Schlager, Danny Murray, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -8.5
ModelSIE -7.0
Model edgeIONA +1.5
W IONA covered
Total
Market140.5
Model143.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
W Over
Projected score
IONA 68.3 · SIE 75.3
IONA 72 · SIE 79
Win probability
SIE 73%
1st half
Spread
SIE -4.0
IONA -7.0
Total
67.2
87 points
Projected score
IONA 31.6 · SIE 35.6
IONA 47 · SIE 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -7.5
1 → SIE
CloseSIE -8.5
1 pt toward SIE
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Close140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
IONA +310 · SIE -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -7.5 · closed SIE -8.5 · moved 1 toward SIEmodel SIE -7
model SIE -7
Opened 139.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IONA | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 0-10 0% |
| SIE | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
IONA 7–2 SIEIONA leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · IONA has won the last 6 meetings · IONA 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | SIE 72 @ IONA 75 | IONA +1.5 | IONA W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | SIE 68 @ IONA 72 | IONA -4.5 | SIE W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | IONA 74 @ SIE 73 | SIE -2.5 | IONA W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | SIE 54 @ IONA 68 | IONA -14.5 | SIE W |
| Jan 26, 2023-24 | IONA 70 @ SIE 51 | SIE +10.5 | IONA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iona
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-16
30% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs HOF | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ KC | W 105-91 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 14 | vs FOR | W 76-71 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRIN | W 89-69 | -2.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs AKR | L 75-96 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs ORST | W 91-84 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs GB | L 75-80 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | @ DEL | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 5 | vs QUIN | L 68-89 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | @ SHU | W 81-69 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 10 | vs BRY | W 69-63 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJU | L 64-91 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVM | W 83-78 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | @ MSM | L 59-66 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vsSIE | W 75-72 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ MRST | L 38-83 | +4.5 | L −40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | vs NIA | W 71-53 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | vs CAN | W 74-48 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ RID | L 68-72 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 19 | @ SPU | L 63-77 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | vs MRMK | W 61-60 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 24 | vs MAN | W 66-57 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vs FAIR | L 70-71 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsHOF
HOFW 81-73
+9.5
11
@KC
KCW 105-91
+9.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 76-71
−0.5
18
vsPRIN
PRINW 89-69
+17.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 75-96
−9.5
22
vsORST
ORSTW 91-84
+10.5
24
vsGB
GBL 75-80
−10.5
1
@DEL
DELW 89-66
+21.5
5
vsQUIN
QUINL 68-89
−23.5
7
@SHU
SHUW 81-69
+13.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 69-63
−2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 64-91
+1.5
20
@UVM
UVMW 83-78
+11.5
29
@MSM
MSML 59-66
−9.5
2
vsSIE
SIEW 75-72
+4.5
4
@MRST
MRSTL 38-83
−40.5
9
vsNIA
NIAW 71-53
+7.5
11
vsCAN
CANW 74-48
+14.5
14
@RID
RIDL 68-72
−11.5
19
@SPU
SPUL 63-77
−10.5
22
vsMRMK
MRMKW 61-60
+2.5
24
vsMAN
MANW 66-57
+1.5
30
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-71
−2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsHOF
HOFW 81-73
+9.5
11
@KC
KCW 105-91
+39.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 76-71
−10.5
18
vsPRIN
PRINW 89-69
+3.5
21
vsAKR
AKRL 75-96
−2.5
22
vsORST
ORSTW 91-84
+17.5
24
vsGB
GBL 75-80
+4.5
1
@DEL
DELW 89-66
+5.5
5
vsQUIN
QUINL 68-89
−6.5
7
@SHU
SHUW 81-69
−13.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 69-63
−14.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 64-91
−4.5
20
@UVM
UVMW 83-78
+8.5
29
@MSM
MSML 59-66
−28.5
2
vsSIE
SIEW 75-72
−2.5
4
@MRST
MRSTL 38-83
−27.5
9
vsNIA
NIAW 71-53
−16.5
11
vsCAN
CANW 74-48
−19.5
14
@RID
RIDL 68-72
−1.5
19
@SPU
SPUL 63-77
−1.5
22
vsMRMK
MRMKW 61-60
−22.5
24
vsMAN
MANW 66-57
−30.5
30
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-71
−5.5
over 7under 16avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
23 games played
Straight up
16-7
70% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsBRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vsNIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vsCAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsMRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsMRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
over 9under 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iona
14-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fairfield70–71
- Wvs Manhattan66–57
- Wvs Merrimack61–60
- L@ Saint Peter's63–77
- L@ Rider68–72
6 days since their last game.
Siena
16-7 overall · 9-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Canisius78–63
- W@ Niagara82–79
- Wvs Marist69–50
- Wvs Fairfield85–77
- W@ Manhattan74–59
4 days since their last game.